The United States of America

European Journal of Political Research -     

United States of America

European Journal of Political Research -     

United States of America

European Journal of Political Research -     

美国总统特朗普执政与公共政策的秩序维度

美国总统特朗普2017年1月20日宣誓任职后一周内发布了很多行政命令和政策指针。看起来特朗普总统的第一周非常有成绩,但其内在地存在很多秩序维度的冲突。这将使特朗普的执政在第一周看起来很顺利,但实际上隐含着内在的秩序冲突和阻力。本文从秩序维度,分析了特朗普执政第一周所内含的秩序维度的冲突,并展望特朗普总统未来的执政之路会充满秩序维度的冲突,很多政策很可能停留在纸面,而一旦得到有效执行,必将面临更多的来自秩序维度的冲突和阻力,既给美国带来很多麻烦,也给这个世界的公民和其他国家带来很多麻烦。从中可以看出,现实的公共政策并不是理性决策的过程,而是秩序维度的冲突和博弈的过程。     

Does border enforcement deter unauthorized immigration? The case of Mexican migration to the United States of America

This paper asks whether the migration decisions of unauthorized Mexican immigrants to the USA have been influenced by stronger US border enforcement efforts since 1993 that have sharply increased the physical risk and financial cost of illegal immigration. These measures were supposed to have decreased the probability of successful entry, thereby lowering the expected benefits of migration. We carried out a logistic regression analysis of data from a recent survey of 603 returned migrants and potential first‐time migrants in rural Mexico. Our findings indicate that tougher border controls have had remarkably little influence on the propensity to migrate illegally to the USA. Political restrictions on immigration are far outweighed by economic and family‐related incentives to migrate. An alternative, labor‐market approach to immigration control with higher probability of effectiveness is outlined.