霓裳羽衣动地来——2008大红门国际服装节予记

从一个不为人知的荒凉洼地，到成为财富之门、服装之都，成为国内最重的服装产业集结地之一。这是改革开放30年的硕果，不仅是丰台，一年一度的“大红门服装节”的骄傲，也是北京的骄傲。服装节已成为北京和国内一个著名的品牌，而且一年比一年影响大，不仅辐射亚洲，对欧美服装市场也形成了吸引力。谁说北京“大红门”不会成为继法国巴黎、意大利米兰、英国伦敦、美国纽约、日本东京这五大时装之都后，又一个引领服装潮流的圣地？     

广西中小企业应用电子商务开拓东盟市场的策略研究

随着中国一东盟自由贸易区建立，南宁市成为中国一东盟博览会永久举办地后，广西从经济版图的边缘走向了区域中心，成为中国和东盟国家双向进入的“桥头堡”，成为新一轮改革开放的前沿地带。近年来，广西与东盟各国的贸易一直在稳步健康发展。广西与东盟自由贸易区之间的商务往来越来越多，广西经济的发展也越来越快，更重要的是，中小企业的迅速发展带动了广西与东盟贸易增长。     

经济重心回归亚洲 携力实现共同复兴

世界经济重心回归亚洲，亚洲正在成为世界上最大的区域贸易和投资市场。虽然世界权力中心仍在西方，但是，亚洲存在广阔的商机和巨大的盈利空间，因此，亚洲正在成为大国博弈的主要舞台，亚洲国家要高度警惕外来大国的挑拨和利用，妥善解决国家间的分歧或争端，发扬亚洲精神，实现共同复兴。     

奥巴马胜选连任的原因

2012年11月6日，美国大选投票结果显示，奥巴马获得270张选票，击败对手罗姆尼，顺利成为美国第57届、第44任和第43位总统。奥巴马的成功连任，再次创造了历史，不仅成为第一位少数族裔（非裔）谋求连任成功的总统，而且成为二战以来，第一位在失业率高达7．9％的情况下，仍然连任的美国总统。当然，罗姆尼作为一位摩门教徒成为共和党总统候选人，同样在美国政治舞台上创造了历史。奥巴马再创奇迹顺利卫冕，既是自身优势使然，也是共和党竞选阵营表现不佳所致。     

漫步中华枫叶之路

枫叶已经成为本溪一张火红的名片，成为本溪县走向全国乃至走向世界的窗口和桥梁。每年的本溪枫叶节，从四面八方赶到本溪观赏万山红遍的游客，除了东北各地的游客，还有国内外各地游客慕名而来。     

战后中苏关系中的东北问题

抗日战争胜利后，东北成为具有重要战略意义的地区，形成了三国四方——苏联、美国、中国共产党、中国国民党，为争夺东北的控制权而激烈斗争的局面。中国共产党因势利导，利用国际国内各种有利条件，适时调整战略和策略，最终成为东北地区的胜利者。     

里海问题的历史与现实

里海问题是苏联解体后围绕里海权限划分而出现的，并因“拥有国”的增加而日益凸显。目前，除阿塞拜疆、俄罗斯和伊朗外，哈萨克斯坦和土库曼斯坦也成为里海问题的直接相关国。在里海的划分问题上，目前沿岸五国还未达成共识。阿塞拜疆与哈萨克斯坦、土库曼斯坦三国立场不尽相同，阿哈两国较为接近，阿土两国分歧较大。里海由于其蕴含丰富的油气资源以及优越的地缘战略位置，不仅成为里海相关国家的竞争对象，也成为外来大国的争夺目标。     

促进不同文明之间的交流

在经济全球化和科技革命日新月异的当今时代，全民关注外交，不同形式地参与外交。外交已不仅是政府之间的事，公共外交应运而生，内容广泛，其间，不同文明之间的文化交流成为人与人心灵和情感的桥梁；成为国与国加深理解和信任的纽带，对中国整体形象的传播，发挥着来越来越重要的作用。     

推动核裁军与防扩散进程，维护国际和平

和平是人类社会的共同理想和永恒追求。在人类历史的长河中，和平时而给人类带来繁荣和进步，时而远离我们而去，成为人类的一种奢望甚至梦想。对和平的威胁和挑战来自方方面面，其中核武器自从其第一次试爆开始，就成为高悬在人类头上的达摩克利斯之剑，使得几代人一直生活在核恐怖之中。     

对危机概念和危机属性的哲学思考

在当代国际关系中，国际危机频发不仅成为一种普遍现象，也成为影响国际关系稳定 发展的一个重要因素，引起了越来越多的研究和关注。然而，作为这一研究的基础，人们对于危机 的概念、属性的认识却存在着不少的问题，也成为许多观点分歧和矛盾的起点。事实上，在东西方 的语境中，危机都是一个令人不安的词汇，它代表着一种处于生死抉择的极其危险的状态。危机的 客观性与主观性、普遍性与特殊性、绝对性与相对性、独立性与关联性的辩证关系决定了危机的诸 多特点和危机管理的目标、原则。     

Inter-Korean relations and the roles of the US and of the EU

The North Korean nuclear standoff has escalated since North Korea let slip that it was developing nuclear weapons while James Kelly, U.S. Assistant Secretary of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, was visiting Pyongyang in October 2002. The Bush administration has acknowledged that the United States will not discount a preemptive military strike on the suspected nuclear development facilities, and North Korea has stood firm against any pressure to halt its nuclear development from the international community. Dialogue and meetings for international cooperation among the major countries concerned, including Korea, the U.S., Japan and China, have been activated to resolve the nuclear crisis in the Korean Peninsula, especially after the U.S. pronounced an end to its war against Iraq in early May of this year. In the middle of the rapidly changing situation on the Korean peninsula, the inter-Korean reconciliation and cooperation initiated by the Sunshine Policy of the Kim Dae Jung administration and followed by the Roh Moo-hyun administrations Policy of Peace and Prosperity are not separable from the nuclear situation. This paper follows recent developments of inter-Korean relations, illustrates South Koreas stance on the issue and suggests the EUs role on the nuclear issue. This is a revised version of the paper presented at the Asia-EU Journalists Seminar organized by the Asia Europe Foundation and the Korea Press Foundation (KPF), held in Brussels, Belgium, May 22 2003. Financial support from the KPF is gratefully acknowledged.     

美苏政治文化差异与冷战起源

一国政治文化对国家对外决策有不可忽视的影响。美苏政治文化中相互冲突的部分对两国战后初期外交决策以及冷战爆发产生重要影响，国家间的政治文化沟通对处理国家间相互关系具有重要意义。     

Strengthen the Communication Among the Youth and Enhance the Mutual Understanding and Trust

AttheinvitationoftheInternationalInitiativesofChangeAssociationofJapanIICAJIaccompa-niedMr.LiYangCouncilMemberofChineseAs-sociationforInternationalUnderstandingCAFIUonthevisittoJapanfromJune10to18andat-tendedthe27thInternationalConferenceoftheInitiativeofChangeinOdawara.DuringourstaythereweseparatelymetwithTutomuHataAdvi-sortotheIICAJandformerPrimeMinisterofJapanSomaYukikaHonoraryPresidentofIICAJToruHashimotoPresidentofIICAJandAdvisortotheJapanMizuhoFinancialGroupandD…     

海陆复合型地缘政治大国的战略选择与崛起成败

国际体系是一个复杂的利益交互系统,在系统中存在着众多战略层面的施动—反馈模式。地缘政治大国的安全战略选择决定了它与体系其他主要成员间的互动方式,互动方式决定了其可能面临的结构性压力,并最终影响到大国崛起的兴衰成败。通过本项研究可以发现:海陆复合型崛起大国的战略模式可以分为"区域陆权"战略、"全球海权"战略和"区域/全球海陆并举"战略。如果崛起大国尚未形成稳固的陆基周边环境,那么追求"区域陆权"战略是最优选择;如果拥有稳固陆基周边环境,那么追求"全球海权"战略是最优选择。而"海陆并举"战略因"同色竞争"原理,既可能同周边国家陷入"区域陆权"优势的安全困境,也可能同"全球海权"国家陷入争霸战争。因此,"海陆并举"战略往往容易造就一个反对自身崛起的海陆权力联姻。此外,追求单一的"差色互补"原理容易实现海陆功能分异背景下的战略结盟,进而影响大国崛起战略的操作实施。     

The EU and Libya and the Art of the Possible

In spite of geographic proximity and a number of shared interests, the European Union and Libya have a history of strained relations. The war of 2011 provided an opportunity for a fresh start, but so far neither side has been able to reap benefits from an entirely new political situation. Instead, Libya’s difficult internal situation has not only slowed down the process of rapprochement, but also increased EU concern. At a time when cooperation becomes a necessity rather than a choice, Libya is now down-spiralling into implosion at the levels of security, bureaucracy and economy, to the point where it cannot absorb the offers being made.     

抗击经济衰退：象和龙

由美国引发的经济危机已经席卷全球,无论是西方发达国家和地区如日本、欧盟,还是发展中国家如印度、中国,都已笼罩在全球经济衰退的阴影中。本文探讨作为正在崛起的亚洲大国——印度和中国,应采取怎样的措施遏制全球经济危机对本国经济造成更严重的伤害,以及印中两国如何借鉴对方在应对经济危机过程中采取的有效政策以尽快重新走上经济发展的正轨。     

China and the WTO: the theory and practice of compliance

Since China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December2001, attention has turned to the issue of whether or not Chinais a responsible member of the organization and how compliantChina is with WTO rules. This article discusses the difficultiesfaced by China, as a responsible rising power, in trying toadjust itself to global trading norms. It examines the theoryof compliance in international relations from the perspectivesof neo-realism, liberal institutionalism and social constructivism,and then tests these perspectives by examining the mechanismsused to gauge China's compliance, both bilaterally by the UnitedStates and multilaterally through the Dispute Settlement Mechanismand the Transition Review Mechanism of the WTO. The result ismixed: different opinions exist as to how compliant China hasbeen but, on the whole, most monitors agree that China has triedhard to comply with WTO requirements in various areas, thoughmuch remains to be done. The most severe tests will come inthe next few years when China's financial and service sectorswill have to face fundamental changes to the way they operate.     

Caught between Europe and the orient: Israel and the EMP

As the case of Transnistria illustrates, the politico-economic arrangements of de facto states are marked by a tendency to sacrifice the economy to political objectives. Despite non-recognition and limited local resources, these entities manage to make use of their ambiguous status and external support to sustain their claims to statehood. Yet, the priority of these claims over economic development, as well as strategies of survival in general can have unintended effects on unrecognised state-building projects, such as the emergence of a spin-off opposition or public disillusionment.     

Campaign Advertising and the Stimulation and Activation of the Authoritarian Personality

This research examines whether authoritarianism can be stimulated and activated by politicians. The traditional belief is that psychological traits are basically quasipermanent structures that consistently determine behavior, but newer research suggests that these traits can be stimulated. This research tests whether campaigns can stimulate traits with targeted messages. I do so by exposing subjects in an experiment to political television advertising that was designed to stimulate known correlates of authoritarianism, such as fear. The results show that authoritarianism is stimulated in treatment groups that watched advertising designed to invoke threat and the strong-father metaphor and the treatment effect is greater on conservatives. I also show that watching these commercials leads to an activation of authoritarianism that influences its predictive power over support for torture. This suggests that politicians can use emotional appeals to stimulate advantageous personality traits, and that these ads also influence the public's attitudes through activation.     

Globalization and the Reform of the International Financial and Monetary Systems

The outbreak of the global financial cdsis has called into question U.S.-style ＂financial capitalism.＂ Protectionism, currency multilateralism, decentralization of financial decision-making power and the nationalism of resources are gaining ground. The emerging economies are on the rise. The world power order is becoming multi-polar. Relations between countries are growing more diverse. The global governance model is undergoing fundamental changes. Global governance mechanisms, which are more representative and reflective of the diverse interests （such as the G20 and the UN climate change conference）, along with a reform of the international monetary system, will also help shape the future world order.