A Changing India and Its Trend

The political situation in India marked a dramatic turn.TheBharatiya Janata Party that was universally expected to winfailed in the general election while the Indian National Congressresumed power after years of disappearance.Why did it happen?Whatdid it mean?Can Indian National Congress shoulder the mission of carryingon?What will be the future trend of India?All these questions needanswers for those readers who pay much attention to India that deservesattention.Therefore,we invite six …     

Somali Piracy： Causes and Countermeasures

The recent rampant piracy off the Somali coast has caused serious consequences and become a top concern internationally. In the latter half of 2008 the United Nations has successively adopted four resolutions calling on all nations in the world to actively participate in the actions of combating Somali piracy. In order to effectively repress and completely eradicate Somali piracy, an international public hazard, the international community must continue to push forward the peaceful process in Somalia, enhance cooperation in the fight against the evil and strengthen crackdown efforts on it. China, as a big responsible country, is striving to play an active role in resolving this problem.     

Change Ideas and Take Initiative in Taking Countermeasures

After the September 11 events, the international pattern and great power relations have readjusted. The importance of non-traditional security factors in international politics rise rapidly. The homeland security issue that various sovereign states are confronting has become prominent. These changes re-challenge the traditional security concept.     

Power at Sea: A Naval Power Dataset, 1865–2011

Naval power is a crucial element of state power, yet existing naval data sets are limited to a small number of states and ship types. Here we present 147 years of naval data on all the world’s navies from 1865 to 2011. This country-year data set focuses on warships with ship-based weapons capable of using kinetic force to inflict damage on other structures or peoples. After identifying a country’s active naval forces, we create a measure of naval power based on the aggregate tonnage of the active ships. Additionally, we create count variables for ship types such as aircraft carriers or battleships. This article introduces the country-year data, describes variables of interests for use in country-year, dyadic, or systemic studies, and suggests potential questions of interest scholars could explore using the naval power data set.     

Kazakhstan： Impact of and Countermeasures to the Global Financial Crisis

Kazakhstan, a big power in Central Asia, is one of the first countries affected by the U.S. financial crisis. As the funds of Kazakh banks are mostly from the international bank loans, Kazakhstan has suffered a slowdown in the international capital flows after the outbreak of the U.S. subprime lending crisis. In the second half of 2007, many other issues such as the decline in bank solvency, the increase in non-performing loans and the problem of ＂loan stint＂ emerged in Kazakhstan. Several projects had to be stopped due to capital-strand break.     

China and Its Northeast Asian Neighbors

I Nrtheast Asian countries have held an important position on China's diplomatic chessboard. Their bilateral relations can be traced back to the ancient times, and they are im-     

China-US Cybersecurity Dilemma and Its Impacts

The interaction between China and the US over cybersecurity has plunged into mutual opposition,causing a dilemma of cybersecurity cooperation and negatively impacting China-US relations.A more negative attitude of US society to China supports policymakers in their assertive anti-China concept of security.Because this situation will prevail and will further aggravate competition,repositioning China-US cyber relations and maintaining its stability is of great significance for the two sides to avoid conflicts,build trust,and explore limited cyber cooperation.     

Strategic Adjustments and Countermeasures of Central Asian Countries against Extremist Forces

All Central Asian countries have made stragetic adjustments after the 9/11 incident. First, with their traditional strategy of     

A "Declining" Power and Its Counter measures

The Iraq war and anti-terrorism became major topics during thisyear's presidential campaign in the United States.Heated debates overthe two issues as well as long-term and unusually fixed"strict half-and-half"division of U.S.media and society also caused by the two issues,to a great extent,have deeply revealed the changes of America's powerstatus in world politics.Compared with U.S.summit of power and willingness to usepower in the early days after the Cold War and the new summit in theyea…     

"权力向往"和俄罗斯刚柔外交

国家既然有"集体谋求强权的向往",那么,"权力"就会对国家这一行为体的外交行为构成支撑.本文以"权力向往"所引导的结果这一视角来对俄罗斯刚柔外交的行为进行解读,同时指出,俄罗斯刚柔外交的运用,其根本的依靠就是俄罗斯的硬权力和软权力.为了更好地说明问题,本文还列举了俄罗斯针对北约东扩所采取的刚柔相济的外交的典型案例.     

“软实力”论

“软实力”(SoftPower)又称“软国力”、“软力量”、“软权力” ,其提出者哈佛大学肯尼迪学院院长、美国国防部前部长助理约瑟夫·奈 (JosephNye)说它是“一种吸引力 ,让别的国家不由自主跟随你”。有学者将之戏称为“在全球化时代游荡在世界各个角落的一个幽灵”。近年来 ,该论越发受世人关注。一、软实力论提出的背景及其发展脉络《美国实力的悖论————世界唯一超级大国为何不能单干》(TheParadoxofAmericanPower :WhyTheWorldsOnlySuperpowerCan’tGoItAlong ,2 0 0 2 )一书 ,是约瑟夫·奈提出软实力论的代表作。此书 2 0 0 2…     

“发现汉语”及其“天下精神”

19世纪末期,以西方国家为中心和参照的现代化进程的铺展和中国国家制度的疾速衰竭,使汉语在世界语言的中心地位也发生了颠覆式的位移,逐渐滑落到边缘地位,"汉字文化圈"也呈现出破裂的态势。21世纪,中国在政治、经济、文化各方面的现代化实践及其重大转型,为汉语的复兴和精神重建提供了一种可能性。在这种全新的时代语境和历史背景下,将重新"发现汉语"及其"天下精神"作为一种新的文化命题,这意味着以西方文化为轴心的单向度的世界文化秩序,面临着巨大的危机。以汉语复兴为切入点,中国文化将成为解构文化帝国主义的重要力量,并提供了一种可能性。同时,在重新"发现汉语"的过程中,我们应该在吸收其他语言文化资源的同时,坚持汉语及其文化形态的输出立场,摒弃中西文化之间的二元对立思维模态,建构一种语言的"天下精神",从而使汉语在文化全球化中发出中国的声音。     

"联合-2003"及其意义

两年前上海合作组织成立时,其公布的两个文件之一就是《反恐公约》。当时的国际舆论颇有不以为然的倾向,有的甚至认为该组织成员国有故弄玄虚之嫌。然而在此后不到三个月就爆发了“9·11事件”,反恐成为整个国际社会面临的共同任务。随着组织机制的不断构建和完善,上海合作组织的五个成员国于2003年8月6-12日举行了代号为“联合-2003”的联合反恐演习。对于这次有中国“首次”参加的联合行动,世界舆论给予了高度关注。那么,此次演习在当前形势下是否必需?有什么突出特点?其真实目的何在?上海合作组织会否由此发展成为地区军事同盟?如何看待这次联合反恐演习的意义?本期的对谈试图就这些问题作出初步解答,希望能对您的思考有所助益。     

美国“虚弱国家”论及其对策

“9·11”事件后,美国认为,国际安全形势迅速变化,国际恐怖主义、大规模杀伤性武器扩散、跨国有组织犯罪、传染病跨国传播、环境恶化与国内冲突的外溢（以民族和宗教为借口的国际分离主义）等成为国际社会的重大威胁源,虚弱和失败国家因向外扩散这些威胁而对美国等西方国家的国家利益和安全构成了重要威胁。因此,美国自1998年以来即将这一问题作为重点关注领域,并提出了针对虚弱和失败国家的一系列政策与战略,     

欧洲“分裂”及其影响

正当法、德两国与美国在伊拉克问题上立场分歧日益严重之时 ,2 0 0 3年 1月 30日 ,英国、意大利、西班牙、葡萄牙、丹麦、波兰、捷克和匈牙利八国在英国《泰晤士报》上联合发表声明 ,号召欧洲在对伊动武问题上与美国保持一致。声明称 ,维持与美国的“团结和凝聚力”对欧洲来说“至关重要” ,“大西洋两岸的关系不能成为伊拉克政权威胁世界安全的牺牲品”。① 2月 5日 ,在美国国务卿鲍威尔向安理会提供了所谓伊拉克违反联合国决议的“不可否认的证据”后 ,中东欧十国 (阿尔巴尼亚、保加利亚、克罗地亚、爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、马其顿、…     

东南亚旅游业危机管理及对策研究

旅游产业由于其在增值、就业等方面的突出作用而被许多国家重视。近几十年来,全球旅游业的发展十分迅猛,自1994年起,旅游业就一直是全球最大的创汇产业。到2004年,东南亚地区的国际游客已达到4996.39万人次①,为世界所瞩目。     

信息时代的地缘政治与"科技权"

随着科技进步对人类生产生活空间的扩展,地缘政治的战略核心不断更新.信息时代,在以往的陆、海、空、天这四维空间之外,又增加了第五维空间--"信息空间".信息空间不仅自身具有极大的战略意义,而且对其他四维产生了巨大的辐射效应,加之新出现的国家行为模式与国际秩序,为古老的地缘政治理论赋予了许多全新的特点.要夺取信息时代的地缘优势,应当遵循新的战略理论--"科技权论".     

法共政治力量及其社会影响现状一瞥

苏东剧变后,法国共产党遭到了沉重打击,但作为欧洲最大的共产党,法共的发展一直受到各方关注.西方报纸认为,法共目前面临严重危机.实际情况是法共在政治实践中依然活跃,是社会党离不开的合作伙伴.它在理论上颇有建树,倍受各国共产党关注.