区域金融发展、居民金融资产与收入分配——以重庆市为例

基于重庆市1990~2009年的数据,运用VAR模型和脉冲响应函数,实证分析了金融发展、居民金融资产与收入分配的关系。重庆市金融发展与收入分配之间非同阶单整变量,并不存在长期均衡关系。但在一阶差分VAR模型基础上所做的脉冲响应函数分析表明,金融规模扩大导致收入差距呈现由缩小到扩大再到缩小的过程;金融效率的提高则使收入差距先扩大后缩小。城乡人均储蓄比和城乡房产比都扩大了收入差距,而农村居民非农就业水平的提高则有助于缩小收入差距。     

构建“和谐世界”：中国外交战略的新理念

2005年9月,胡锦涛向全世界提出"建设一个持久和平、共同繁荣的和谐世界"的战略构想.和谐世界是人类社会发展的理想目标.构建和谐世界的思想是与新中国建立以来几代中国领导人的外交战略思想一脉相承的,是对新中国外交战略思想的继承与发展.构建和谐世界思想已成为当前中国外交的一个新理念和新的战略目标.这一思想无论是在理论领域丰富和发展中国外交战略思想,还是在维护世界和平、促进共同发展、改善和发展中国对外关系等实践中都具有非常重要的战略意义.     

论西部可持续开发战略的法治保障

本文认为 ,我国西部大开发必须坚持走可持续发展道路和建立强有力法治保障体系并举 ,为此 ,就应完善西部开发法律体系 ,营造良好的法治环境、社会环境及投资环境 ,为西部开发五大战略重点的实施提供有效可行的法律手段 ,并应在西部推行经济特区制度 ,健全行政合同法律制度以及充分利用BOT方式来促进西部建设。     

A Test of Generalizability of the Social Development Model Across Gender and Income Groups with Longitudinal Data from the Elementary School Developmental Period

The social development model (SDM) is a theory of behavior that has proven useful in explaining the etiology of delinquency, violence, and substance use among adolescents as well as early antisocial behavior among pre-adolescents. A further test of the model is its generalizability across population groups. A section of the SDM representing prosocial influences in the etiology of problem behavior was compared for boys and girls and for children from low- and non low-income families using three waves of child, parent and teacher survey data on a sample of 851 elementary school students. Multiple group structural equation modeling was used to assess differences across groups in both measurement of model constructs and hypothesized structural paths between constructs. The results indicate overall similarity in the reliability of measurement models and validity of structural models.     

A comparison of Demirjian's four dental development methods for forensic age assessment

The aim of this study was to determine the comparative accuracy of Demirjian's four dental development methods for forensic age estimation in the Western Australian population. A sample comprising 143 individuals aged 4.6 to 14.5 years were assessed using Demirjian's four methods for dental development (original 7-tooth: M(2), M(1), PM(2), PM(1), C, I(2), and I(1); revised 7-tooth: M(2), M(1), PM(2), PM(1), C, I(2), and I(1); 4-tooth: M(2), M(1), PM(2), and PM(1); and an alternate 4-tooth: M(2), PM(2), PM(1), and I(1)). When comparing all four methods, the 4-tooth method overestimated age in both males and females by 0.04 and 0.25 years, respectively. The original 7-tooth was least accurate for males, while the original 7-tooth, the revised 7-tooth, and the alternate 4-tooth were unsuitable for females. Therefore, we recommend the 4-tooth method to be used for forensic age estimation in Western Australian males and females, as it has the lowest overall mean deviation and the highest accuracy.     

A Century of Green Lessons: The Contribution of Nature Conservation Regimes to Global Governance

This paper reviews the lessons learned over the past 100 years in international management and conservation of the Earth's natural heritage and biological resources (fauna and flora), in the face of growing threats of degradation and extinction. The focus is on the effectiveness of intergovernmental and non-governmental institutions – in terms of agenda-setting, regime formation, implementation and compliance, and reactions to non-compliance. Among specific case histories analysed are the ivory trade ban, the whaling moratorium, and attempts at establishing an international forest regime. Innovative governance features highlighted in the field of global living resource management include active NGO participation, the use of selective economic incentives and disincentives (e.g. multilateral or bilateral trade sanctions), and a number of judicial enforcement remedies for both species-based and area-based conservation agreements. The paper concludes by assessing the prospects of transition from the paradigm of 'permanent sovereignty over natural resources' towards new concepts of public trusteeship and stewardship.