Win,lose, or withdraw: A categorical analysis of career patterns in the House of Representatives, 1948–1978

The literature on incumbency advantage has focused on margin as an indicator for electoral security. But while electoral margin is a goodex ante measure, it is a poorex post measure of security. Further, existing work has not integrated the choice of retirement with changes in the level of security. To improve the specification and definition of “marginality”, a multinomial LOGIT model is proposed where the dependent variable is categorical. Account is therefore taken of all the ways a Representative's term in office can end, including reelection, defeat, retirement, or pursuit of other office. The sample includes all U.S. Representatives elected for the first time between 1948 and 1978. The results indicate that (1) margin in the previous election is a significantex ante proxy for the probability of electoral defeat, and (2) while the electoral safety of all incumbents in the House has been increased, the increases are greater for members elected for the first time in the period since 1965.     

EVERYONE'S DOING IT! CODES OF ETHICS AND NEW SOUTH WALES PARLIAMENTARIANS‘ PERCEPTIONS OF CORRUPTION

Abstract: Everyone is doing a code of ethics. But when can codes do good? To find out we interviewed New South Wales parliamentarians about their perceptions of corruption in 10 scenarios weighted from least to most corrupt. The cases were drawn from John Peters and Susan Welch's theory of corruption. We note similar studies in the United States and Canada. There is confusion about ethics, and we note that the episodes of corruption in the 1980s suggest ethical standards could be elevated. Perhaps the most significant conclusion is that parliamentarians come to think alike about corruption in the middle of their careers. Those who want to see ethics enhanced should aim at induction, education, and counselling within parliament. Here codes, if supported, have a role to play. Improvement will not be achieved by searching for a saintly parliamentarian. We found those most sensitive to corruption to be the least and most senior members.     

Manging state government operations: Changing visions of staff agencies

Centralized staff agencies embody the early 20th century bureaucratic reform vision of good government. The behavior of these agencies, as well as the conception of administration contained in the bureaucratic reform vision, are often criticized. Feasible alternative conceptions of staff-line-overseer relations are only beginning to emerge through the contextual development of public management ideas and incremental innovation. This article draws on experience in Minnesota state government in order to formulate a “post-bureaucratic” conception of staff-line-overseer relations. In addition, strategies embedding this conception in the practice of the purchasing, staffing, information policy, and internal service functions are briefly explored.     

HEALTH CARE RATIONING AND COST CONTAINMENT ARE NOT SYNONYMOUS

Much public discussion about health care assumes, explicitly or implicitly, that only by denial of potentially beneficial care (called "rationing") can cost containment be achieved. This piece critically examines the various current usages of "rationing," and argues that it is being misapplied. Fur- ther, the call for rationing may be deflecting us from fruitful exploration of non-rationing alternatives to cost control. Two of these are briefly sketched as examples: physician fee controls and practice guidelines.     

Developing economics expertise for the evaluation of primary health care

Given that government budgets are increasingly stretched in the face of competing demands, there is a pressing need for evidence on the costs and benefits of public sector investments. Nowhere is this need greater than in the health field, where the benefits of programmes are typically difficult to measure. Within the health sector a key area of interest is primary health care, which is generally regarded as a central function and the most important means by which the health of the population can be improved. This paper reports the results of a recent survey of Commonwealth countries which sought to establish the extent of economic evaluation of PHC programmes, the impact on decision-making and the level of health economics expertise available in Third World countries. Based on the results of the survey, suggestions are made for improving the commissioning and conduct of economic evaluations, for interpreting and implementing evaluation results, and for developing government expertise in economic evaluation.     

Sustainability and local government: The case of the British Columbia Islands Trust

Abstract: In recent years environmental values have undergone a popular and political resurgence, one of the central components of which is a demand for greater public participation, especially enhanced local control. This development has important implications for theoretical thinking in public administration. The present article examines the experience of the British Columbia Islands Trust, an innovative example of local administration which is most relevant to the quest for new environmentally sustainable forms of administration as a result of its unusual mandate (“to preserve and protect”) and its locally based planning approach. The article describes the Trust area, reviews the genesis of the Trust in the 1960s and its history to the present, describes its structure, and assesses public attitudes to it. The article draws practical lessons from the Trust experience, noting in particular the powerful effect of merging a conservationist mandate with locally based planning even in the absence of more formal indicators of institutional authority (such as budget, scope of immunity). The article concludes with a consideration of the theoretical implications for public administration of the Trust experience, noting especially the potential role for greater decentralization and democratic participation in planning processes. Sommaire: Depuis quelques années, les problématiques environnementales ont connu un regain d'intérêt auprès du public et des gouvernements. L'une des principales composantes de ce phènomène, qui a d'importantes implications sur la réflexion théorique en matière d'administration publique, est une demande de plus grande participation du public, en particulier au niveau local. Cet article étudie le cas du British Columbia Islands Trust, exemple d'innovation dans l'administration décentraliée, mettant en cause un organisme qui s'efforce d'appliquer de nouvelles formes de gestion favorables à l'environnement dans le cadre d'un mandat particulier (“préserver et protéger”) et d'une approche locale de la planification. L'article décrit la structure et le cadre d'intervention de la société de fiducie, explique son évolution depuis les années 1960 jusqu‘à aujourd'hui, et évalue les attitudes du public à son égard. L'article tire des leçons pratiques de l'expérience de cette société, en particulier concernant l'impact important résultant de la rencontre d'un mandat de conservation de l'environnement avec une activité de planification décentralisée, même en l'absence d'indicateurs d'autorité institutionnelle très formels (budget et immunité entre autres). L'article conclut en étudiant les implications théoriques pour l'administration publique de l'expérience de la société de fiducie, notamment en ce qui touche le rôle possible d'une décentralisation plus poussée et d'une participation démocratique dans un processus de planification.