Three views of the expert's role in policymaking: Systems analysis,incrementalism, and the clinical approach

This paper compares three approaches to improving policymaking: systems analysis, disjointed incrementalism, and the clinical approach (elsewhere referred to as the planned change or human relations approach or organization development). It pays particular attention to the way in which these three approaches view organizations and the role of the expert in reform-mongering.It is suggested that systems analysis and incrementalism are quite compatible and that, in fact, systems analysis has, in large measure, accepted the incrementalists' view of the policymaking process. But this acceptance has served not so much to strengthen policy analysis as to increase awareness of its weaknesses.The clinical approach, on the other hand, holds out the promise of strengthening policy analysis, since it focuses on changing organizations, an area in which both systems analysis and incrementalism are weak and, as action-oriented approaches, hampered by their weaknesses. The potential contributions of the clinical approach are considered as well as the likelihood of an eventual synthesis.The first version of this paper was prepared for presentation to the Systems Analysis Group, Canadian Treasury Board.     

The Development of Renewable Electricity Policy in the Province of Ontario: The Influence of Ideas and Timing

This article examines the development of policy to promote renewable electricity in the province of Ontario (Canada) between 1995 and 2006. Drawing upon both the role of ideas in policy development and a “multiple streams approach,” it is argued that changes in the problem, policy, and politics streams—and their coupling by key political entrepreneurs—account for two significant shifts in Ontario's efforts to promote the increased use of renewable electricity. The first shift occurred on July 3, 2003 when the Ontario Commissioner of Alternative Energy, Steve Gilchrist, announced that sole dependence upon free markets to support renewable electricity was being displaced by a new commitment to a renewable portfolio standard. The second shift occurred on March 21, 2006 when the Ontario Premier, Dalton McGuinty, announced that dependence upon a bidding system to promote renewable electricity was being supplemented by a commitment to feed‐in tariffs. A focus upon the evolution of ideas, combined with an appreciation for timing, continues to provide the explanation for the development of renewable electricity policy in Ontario.     

Should it be curtains for some of the IMF’s lending windows?

Increasing attention is being paid to IMF governance and operations, but not to how IMF programs are differentiated under the array of available lending windows. This paper examines empirically the economic and political circumstances associated with the use of IMF facilities. It therefore extends existing research into the determinants of IMF arrangements by investigating the extent to which different influences are at work in the case of different facilities. Focusing initially on extended arrangements as compared to stand-bys, the results indicate that although initially the facilities were used in different economic circumstances, since the mid 1980s these differences have largely disappeared. Instead the differences between user countries have become more political than economic. There are, however, some differences between concessionary and non-concessionary facilities beyond the income levels of countries using them. The policy implications for the range and design of the Fund’s lending windows are discussed.

The situation in Iraq

General

The Global Politics of Arms Sales. By Andrew J. Pierre. Princeton University Press, 1982. Pp. xvi + 352. Figs. Tables. Notes. Index. £14.10 (hardback); £4.20 (paperback).

Estimating Foreign Military Power. Edited by Philip Towle. London (Croom Helm), 1982. Pp. 276. Index. £13.95.

Eurasia

The Cambridge Encyclopedia of Russia and the Soviet Union. General Editors Archie Brown, John Fennell, Michael Kaser and H. T. Willetts. Cambridge University Press, 1982. Pp. 482. Bibliog. Index. Illus. £18.50 (hardback).

Central Asia

Trespassers on the Roof of the World: The Race for Lhasa. By Peter Hopkirk. London, John Murray, 1982. Pp. x + 274. Illus. Maps. Bibliog. Index. £9.75.

South Asia

India's Preferential Policies: Migrants, the Middle Classes, and Ethnic Equality. By Myron Weiner and Mary Fainsod Katzenstein. The University of Chicago Press, 1981. Pp. vii + 184. Tables. Maps. Notes. Index. £9.95.

Pakistan: Energy Planning in a Strategic Vortex. By Charles K. Ebinger. Indiana University Press, 1981. Pp. x + 155. Notes. Bibliog. £13.50.

The British Raj and the Indian Princes: Paramountcy in Western India, 1857–1930. By Ian Copland. London, Sangam Books, 1982. Pp. xvi + 345. Map. Bibliog. Index. £6.95.

British Policy Towards the Indian States 1905–1939. By S. R. Ashton. London, Curzon Press (London Studies on South Asia No. 2) 1982. Pp. xii + 231. Appendix. Gloss. Bibliog. Index. £6.75.

Goa. By J. M. Richards. London, Hurst &; Co., 1982. Pp. xii + 143. Map. Illus. Plates. Bibliog. Index. £7.50.

The India Museum 1801–1879 (India Office Library and Records). By Ray Desmond. London, H.M.S.O., 1982. Pp. xv + 215. Plates. Index. £25.00

The Arts of India. Edited by Basil Gray. Oxford, Phaidon Press, 1981. Pp. 224. Map. Illus. Bibliog. Index. £25.00

Views of Medieval Bhutan: The Diary and Drawings of Samuel Davis, 1783. Michael Aris. London, Serinda Publications; Washington,\Smithsonian Institute, 1982. Pp. 124. Maps. Plates. Illus. Bibliog. Index. £18.00

Middle East

Yemen: the Search for a Modern State. By J.E. Peterson. London, Croom Helm Ltd., 1982. Pp. 221. Map. Appendixes. Bibliog. Index. £11.95

Atatürk: Founder of a Modern State. Ali Kazancigil and Ergun Özbudun, eds. London, C. Hurst &; Co., 1981. Pp. vi + 243. Notes. Index. £8.50

South East Asia

Years of Upheaval. By Henry Kissinger. London, Weidenfeld and Nicolson and Michael Joseph, 1982. Pp. 1152. £15.95

? Sideshow. Kissinger, Nixon and the Destruction of Cambodia. 1979.

Political Conflict in Thailand: Reform, Reaction, Revolution. By David Morell and Chai‐anan Samudavanija. Cambridge, Massachusetts, Oelgeschlager, Gunn and Hain, Publishers, Inc. 1981. Pp. xviii + 362. Appendix. Bibliog. Index. Figures. Tables. £18.75

The Sociology of Secret Societies. A study of Chinese secret societies in Singapore and peninsular Malaysia. By Mak Lau Fong. Kuala Lumpur (OUP ‐ East Asian Social Science Monographs), 1981. Pp. 178. £17.

Far East

China: Politics and Government. By Tony Saich. London, Macmillan, 1981. Pp. xiv + 265. Map. Index. £4.95.

China's New Development Strategy. Jack Gray and Gordon White, eds. London, Academic Press Inc., 1982. Pp. x + 341. Index. £12.20.

Dissent in Early Modern China. By Paul S. Ropp. Ann Arbor, University of Michigan Press, 1981. Pp. viii + 356. Notes. Gloss. Bibliog. Index. $24.00.

MITI and the Japanese Miracle: the Growth of Industrial Policy, 1925–75. By Chalmers Johnson. California, Stanford University Press, 1982. PP. xvi + 393. Bibliog. Index. $28.50.

Japan: Divided Politics in a Growth Economy (2nd edn.). By J. A. A. Stockwin. London, Weidenfeld &; Nicolson, 1982. PP. xiv + 333. Maps. Index. £8.50.

The Roots of Modern Japan. By Jean‐Paul Lehmann. London, Macmillan, 1982. Pp. xviii + 352. Bibliog. Index. £6.95.

Utilitarian Confucianism: Ch'en Liang's Challenge to Chu Hsi. By Hoyt Cleveland Tillman. Cambridge (Mass.) and London, Harvard University Press, 1982. Pp. xvi + 304. Foreword by Benjamin Schwartz. Bibliog. Gloss. Index. $20.00.

Japan's Renaissance: The Politics of the Muromachi Bakufu. By Kenneth Alan Grossberg. Cambridge (Mass.) and London, Harvard University Press, 1981. Pp. xii + 207. Pref. Figures. Appendices. Bibliog. Gloss. Index. £10.50.

Shorter Notices

Guide to Thailand. By Achille Clarac. Edited and translated by Michael Smithies. Kuala Lumpur. Oxford University Press/Duang Kamol Book House, 1981. Pp. ix + 219 (Index 1–35). Notes. Maps. Plans. Illus. Gloss. Bibliog. Index. £12.00 (paperback).

Tales of Burma. By Alister McCrae and friends. Paisley, James Paton Ltd., 1981. Pp. 168. Illus. Maps. Glossary. £2.95.

Academies in Ming China: A Historical Survey. By John Meskill. The University of Arizona Press, Tucson, 1982. Pp. 203. Maps. Illus. Bibliog. Index. $12.95.

The Interlingual Critic: Interpreting Chinese Poetry. By James J. Y. Liu. Indiana University Press, Bloomington, 1981. Pp. 152. Notes. Chinese Name List. Bibliog. Index. £10.77.

The Japanese Crane: Bird of Happiness. By Dorothy Britton (Lady Bouchier) and Tsuneo Hayashida. Tokyo, New York and San Francisco, Kodansha International, 1981. Pp. 64. Bibliog. Illus. Index. £9.30.

Russian Studies of Japan: An Exploratory Survey. By E. Stuart Kirby. London, Macmillan, 1981. Pp. xi + 276.Notes. Bibliog. Index. £20.00.     

Brief review of present conditions in China

Following the end of the Cold War, Turkey has been rebalancing its relations with the Middle East. The author considers how Turkey's unique historic relations with Iran, Iraq and its other neighbours might be of assistance to the European Union.

It also explores the connection between the accession negotiations and Turkish internal politics, with special reference to the Kurds     

Obituaries: Lady Delia Pilcher

The New York-born journalist and travel writer Francis Nichols (1879-1904) is best known for his travels through early 20^th-century China. However, his attempt in 1903-4 to travel through Tibet to Lhasa ahead of the Younghusband Mission, and thus to become the first westerner to reach the city, has been forgotten, partly on account of his death in the field and the loss of his diary. From new research in recently-catalogued documents and letters in the archives of the American Geographical Society (AGS), the author has compiled an account of Nichols’ mission to Lhasa, including the support he received from US backers, including the AGS, his travels in China, Tibet and India, and his relations with Younghusband and the British. Although Nichols was unable to reach Lhasa, the author observes that he should be credited as the first American to travel from India into the Chumbi valley in southern Tibet and across the Tibetan plateau from Phari to the town of Gyantse, 120 miles south-west of Lhasa.