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171.
Do voters judge their national economy relative to economic performance abroad? In 2013 we took advantage of the German Bundestag election to test this hypothesis predictively. Nearly two months prior to the election, we published an election forecast relying on a theory-driven empirical model of election outcomes that draws on previous election outcomes; characteristics of the government and of voters; and, most originally, the relative economic performance of Germany (‘benchmarked' growth) in comparison to the three other most important economies in Europe – France, the UK and Italy. Our forecast put the outgoing coalition government of CDU/CSU and FDP at 47.05 per cent of the popular vote deviating from the actual outcome of 46.3 by 0.75 points. This makes our forecast one of the most accurate in this election cycle. Despite one-and-a-half months of lead time, our forecast performed on par or slightly better than the last poll results issued only two days before the election. 相似文献
172.
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174.
This article examines the Mischief Reef and Scarborough Shoal disputes in the context of the dynamic political interaction between China, the Philippines, ASEAN and the United States. A review of recent development indicates that these particular incidents and the Spratly disputes in general have increased in intensity and complexity drawing in ASEAN and the United States. China is the main player and several conclusion are drawn regarding its strategy and tactics. We see the status quo as unstable and propose a few possible directions of actions in the interest of conflict prevention. 相似文献
175.
176.
T. F. Brenchley 《亚洲事务》2013,44(1):59-69
Central Asia To the Great Ocean. The Taming of Siberia and the Building of the Trans‐Siberian Railway. By Harmon Tupper. London, Seeker and Warburg, 1965. Pp. xv+ 536. Maps. Illus. Bibliog. Index. 55s. Afghanistan. Highway of Conquest. By Arnold Fletcher. Cornell University Press, 1965. Pp. 325. Illus. Bibliog. Index. $7.50. South and South East Asia The Security of Southern Asia. By D. E. Kennedy. London, Chatto and Windus, for the Institute for Strategic Studies, 1965. Pp. xi + 308. Maps. Index. 35s. The Glass Curtain between Asia and Europe. Ed. by Raghavan Iyer. London, Oxford University Press, 1965. Pp. xii + 356. Bibliog. 52s. South and East Asia since 1800. By Victor Purcell. Cambridge University Press, 1965. Pp. 228. Maps. Index. 25s. Asian Economic Development. Ed. by Cranley Onslow. London, Wiedenfeld and Nicolson, 1965. Pp. xi + 243. Index. 36s. The Story of Malaysia. By Harry Miller. London, Faber, 1965. Pp. 264. Maps. Illus. Bibliog. Index. 30s. Communalism and the Political Process in Malaya. By K. J. Ratnam. London, Oxford University Press, 1965. Pp. 248. Sketch map. Bibliog. Index. 48s. The Development of British Malaya 1896–1909. By Chai Hon‐Chan. London, Oxford University Press, 1964. Pp. 364. Maps. Bibliog. Index. Cloth 50s. Paper 33s. Indonesia. By Leslie Palmier. London, Thames and Hudson, 1965. Pp. 240. Maps. Illus. 30s. Mohammed, Marx and Marhaen. The Roots of Indonesian Socialism. By Jeanne S. Mintz. London, Pall Mall Press, 1965. Pp. 224. Bibliog. Index. 36s. Communism in North Vietnam. By P. J. Honey. London, Ampersand Books, 1965. Pp. 206. 7s. 6d. South West Asia The Arab Cold War 1958–1964. A Study of Ideology in Politics. By Malcolm Kerr. Published for Chatham House by Oxford University Press, 1965. Pp. 139. 10s. 6d. The Struggle for Syria. A Study of Post‐war Arab Politics 1945–1958. By Patrick Seale. London, Oxford University Press for Chatham House, 1965. Pp. 344. Maps. Illus. Bibliog. Index. 42s. Revolutions and Military Rule in the Middle East. The Northern Tier. By George M. Haddad. New York, Robert Speller and Sons, Publishers, Inc., 1965. Pp. 251. Illus. Bibliog. Index. $6.00. The Economic Development of Kuwait. Report of Missions organized by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development at the request of the Government of Kuwait. London, Oxford University Press, 1965. Pp. xiii+ 194. Maps. Index. 52s. Far east China in Crisis. By Sven Lindqvist. Trans, by Sylvia Clayton. London, Faber, 1965. Pp. 125. lllus. 25s. China and the Bomb. By Morton H. Halperin. London, Pall Mall Press, 1965. Pp. 166. Index. 30s. The Communist States at the Crossroads between Moscow and Peking. Edited by Adam Bromke. With an Introduction by Philip E. Mosely. London and New York, Praeger, 1965. Pp. 270. Index. Cloth 45s. Paperback 16s. Chinese Civilization and Bureaucracy. By Etienne Balazs. New Haven and London, Yale University Press, 1964. Pp. xix + 309. Chronology. Index. 63s. Report from a Chinese Village. By Jan Myrdal. New York, Pantheon Books; a Division of Random House, 1965. Pp. 374. Illus. $6.95. Biography and Autobiography High Noon of Empire. India under Curzon. By Michael Edwardes. London, Eyre and Spottiswoode, 1965. Pp. 266. Map. Illus. Bibliog. Index. 35s. A Roll of Honour: The Story of the Indian Army 1939–45. By Major‐General J. G. Elliott. London, Cassell, 1965. Pp. 392. Maps. Illus. 36s. The Memoirs of a Malayan Official. By Victor Purcell. London, Cassell, 1965. Pp. 373. Map. Illus. Index. 42s. One More River. By Gordon Hunt. London, Collins, 1965. Pp. 255. Illus. 25s. Lady Wu. By Lin Yutang. New York, G. P. Putnam's Sons, 1965. Pp. 255. $4.95. Culture and civilization Islam and International Relations. Edited by J. Harris Proctor. London, Pall Mall Press, 1965. Pp. 221. 42s. Islamic Art. By David Talbot Rice. London, Thames and Hudson, 1965. Pp. 286. Maps. Illus. Bibliog. Index. 18s. The Fortified Cities of India. By Sidney Toy. London, Heinemann, 1965. Pp. 118. Maps. Illus. Index. 50s. Indian Pandits in the Land of Snow. By Sarat Chandra Das, Calcutta, 1893. Reprinted, with Introduction by Nirmal Chandra Sinha, by Firma K. L. Mukhopadhyay, Calcutta, 1965. Pp. xii + 134. Rs. 10. History The Course of Empire. The Arabs and their Successors. By. Lt.‐General Sir John Glubb. London, Hodder and Stoughton, 1965. Pp. 424. Maps. Index. 42s. Centralised Legislation. A History of the Legislative System of British India from 1834 to 1861. By S. V. Desika Char. London, Asia Publishing House, 1963. Pp. xv + 359. Bibliog. Index. 45s. The Agrarian System of Mughal India. By Irfan Habib. London, Asia Publishing House, 1963. Published for the Department of History, Aligarh Muslim University. Pp. ix + 453. Appendices. Bibliog. Index. 50s. Agrarian Relations and Early British Rule in India. A Case Study of the Ceded and Conquered Provinces (Uttar Pradesh), 1801–1833. By Sulekh Chandra Gupta. Asia Publishing House, London, 1963. Pp. xix + 338. Glossary. Bibliog. Index. 45s. Nepal and the East India Company. By B. D. Sanwal. Asia Publishing House, London, 1965. Pp. viii + 345. Maps. Appendices. Index. 45s. The Kol Insurrection of Chota‐Nagpur. By J. C. Jha. Thacker, Spink and Co. (1933) Private Ltd., Calcutta, 1964. Pp. x + 242. Bibliog. Glossary, Index. Maps. Rs. 14. Travel The Georgeous East. One Man's India. By Rupert Croft‐Cooke. London, W. H. Allen, 1965. Pp. 195. 25s. World in a Grain of Sand. By Erica Linton. London, Anthony Blond, 1965. Pp. 191. 21s. Persia Revisited. By Anne Sinclair Mehdevi. London, Michael Joseph, 1965. Pp. 173. 25s. Persian Lions, Persian Lambs. By Curtis Harnack. London, Victor Gollancz, 1965. Pp.279. 3os. The Great Chinese Travellers. Edited by Jeanette Mirsky. London, Allen and Unwin, 1965. Pp. 309. 30s. 相似文献
177.
M.V. Baglai T.G. Morshchakova 《Statutes & Decisions: The Laws of the USSR & Its Successor States》2013,48(1):72-76
In Nal' chik they are estimating the losses caused at residences during an attack by fighters and are replacing glass in the buildings in the Iskozh neighborhood, located near the third city division of internal affairs, where the fighters held hostages for more than a day. 相似文献
178.
N. T. Anders Strindberg 《冲突和恐怖主义研究》2013,36(4):263-273
Abstract Violence against abortion clinics and other activities directed toward patients and staff of abortion facilities have been termed terrorism by the pro‐choice movement. However, the Federal Bureau of Investigation denies that these actions are terrorism. Instances of abortion clinic violence for 1982–1987 were examined in order to determine whether there is a correspondence between these incidents and definitions or models of terrorism. It appears that these incidents do fit the classification of “limited political” or ‘subrevolutionary” terrorism. Reasons why the FBI has made the decision not to include these acts as forms of terrorism are entertained. One is that current international tensions have resulted in a preoccupation with only certain types of events which for administrative, i.e., juris‐dictional, reasons have come to essentialize terrorism. Another explanation, posited by pro‐choice activists, is that the FBI's decision is a consequence of political influence: the current administration is openly anti‐choice. 相似文献
179.
I. VIKTOROV T. ASHITKOVA 《Statutes & Decisions: The Laws of the USSR & Its Successor States》2013,48(2):40-46
For a long time, land use in the Russian Federation (RF) lacked a proper legal foundation. On October 30, 2001, the Land Code of the Russian Federation entered into force. In many respects it has facilitated a positive solution to questions of land use. The experience of application of the law accumulated over the period of its effect was analyzed by the procurators of subjects of the Federation, who in the first half of 2003 on the instructions of the General Procuracy of the RF conducted a verification of the implementation of the Land Code of the RF. 相似文献
180.
Alexander H. Türk 《European Law Journal》2013,19(1):126-142
The role of the courts in the review of administrative rulemaking raises profound questions as to the legitimate interference of courts in the exercise of administrative activities, which are often carried out in the pursuance of a legislative mandate. In contrast to the review of administrative acts of individual application, the Union courts have shown a more hesitant approach in the review of administrative rulemaking activities. This contribution will discuss the review by the Union courts of administrative rulemaking for compliance with procedural as well as substantive standards and will explore whether a convincing rationale for their more deferential attitude to the review of administrative rules can be provided. The article will explore to what extent lessons can be learned from the jurisprudence of the federal courts in the USA, which have struggled, even after the adoption of the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), with similar problems. 相似文献