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This paper considers the question of the symmetry of inflation, exchange rate changes and GDP shocks between the EU15 and the new member countries. It applies a relatively new technique, the orthogonal GARCH model, which allows us to calculate a complete time varying correlation matrix for these countries. We can then examine the way the conditional correlation of shocks between the EU15 and the new member countries has been evolving over time. Our results suggest that the shocks which hit the EU are not symmetrical with those affecting the majority of new member countries. In addition, most of the new member countries seem to exhibit relatively low correlation with EU15. 相似文献
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The bulk of the research on predatory crime focuses on characteristics, profiles, and patterns of offenders. This information
is important, but from the perspective of police agencies, information about the victims of predatory crimes, including victims
of white-collar predatory crimes, and how they officially respond to victimization is also important. Using survey data from
a random sample of 400 residents of Knox County, Tennessee, we investigated the characteristics of victims of thirteen different
types of fraud. After dividing individuals into categories of non-victims, one-time victims, and repeat victims, we develop
profiles of personal fraud victims by examining differences in key demographic and offense characteristics. Next, we investigate
the official reporting behavior of victims. The results are instructive for police agencies as they highlight common characteristics
of fraud victims and suggest methods for encouraging fraud victims to report their victimization to police. 相似文献
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Political parties are in a transitional phase. A declining, socially restricted membership, decreasing levels of activism and a shift towards more individualistic modes of political engagement threaten the linkage role that parties have played in modern democracy. The development of the Internet in a period of change has meant that it quickly became intertwined with debates about reviving representative political organisations. Using data from a survey of party activists in the UK (N = 4,770), this article answers questions about the perception and use of new media by party activists, the Internet's potential for members' participation and engagement and the penetration of the Internet in pre-existing political careers. In general, the article asks which role new media are playing in the transition of political parties. 相似文献
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