Modelling the impact of world bank policy‐based lending: The case of Malawi's agricultural sector

This article uses a multi‐market agricultural pricing model to analyse the impact of the World Bank's three structural adjustment loans (SALs) to Malawi on the smallholder agricultural sector. Three price policy scenarios are simulated on the model representing zero, partial and full compliance with the Bank's SAL price policy conditionality. These scenarios are analysed in terms of their impact on: the government budget; smallholder real incomes; maize production; exportable cash crop production; and the balance of payments. Critiques of the Bank's programme and the government and Bank bargaining strategies are assessed in the light of the modelling results.     

An Awesome Decade of Growth-and Fallacy

正China is rapidly approaching its once-in-a-decade change in president and government,which seems an appro-priate time to survey the country’s economic performance over the last decade.     

Local initiatives for working women: Feminism,economics, or both?

This article examines a public/private sector initiative instigated by Leeds City Council to redress gender inequality in employment. It uses this independent initiative, Opp2k, to assess the business case for equality of opportunity in a ‘post‐feminist’ context. It considers whether or not intended outcomes will make a coherent attempt to redress structural inequality, or whether this is a response to demographic and economic trends indicating increased demand for female labour, finally it addresses the potential impact of public/private partnerships in implementing equal opportunities.     

Inquiries on intraspousal transmission of hepatitis C virus: benefits and limitations of genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis.

During recent years, courts had to decide in some notable cases whether or not defendants infected the plaintiffs with HIV. Lawsuits on the transmission of other viral pathogens up to now have hardly become known. We report here on the use of genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis to investigate possible intraspousal transmission of hepatitis C virus (HCV). The high degree of genetic relatedness observed in phylogenetic analysis among the HCV strains isolated from the couple demonstrates that the man and the woman are infected with the same isolate of the virus. After other plausible routes of infection have been virtually excluded by anamnestic and conventional epidemiological evaluation we could infer that the man most probably has infected his girlfriend with HCV. This conclusion was further supported by the finding that both are also infected with closely related isolates of GB virus C (GBV-C). Thus, the results from molecular biological investigations and epidemiological evaluation are complementary pieces of evidence in inquiries on possible intraspousal transmission of HCV.     

Securing reliable information in investigative interviews: coercive and noncoercive strategies preceding turning points

ABSTRACT

Investigative interviewers apply a range of physical, cognitive, social or legalistic strategies to secure information from suspects. The perceived effectiveness of coercive and noncoercive strategies on turning points was examined by interviewing 34 practitioners and 30 high value detainees in East Asian and Western jurisdictions. Each recounted an interview with an initially uncooperative detainee who became cooperative, or an initially cooperative detainee who became resistant or silent. Analyses of interview narratives identified perceived turning points in the practitioner-suspect relationship associated with clear outcomes. Independent of jurisdiction, 56% of the noncoercive strategies were associated with cooperation, yielding reliable information in 49.4% and true admissions in 20.0% of the cases. In contrast, coercive strategies were perceived as more ineffective (58.9%) than effective (14.6%) in securing information. Physical coercion, intimidation and deception were most frequently acknowledged to yield false information. These findings suggested prioritisation of noncoercive social and physical interview strategies and international consensus on best practices.     

The new Middle East

Burma: The Struggle for Independence (2 Vols.) Ed. By Hugh Tinker. London H.M.S.O. 1983/84. £95.00 each Volume.