Logical evaluation of evidence when a person is suspected of committing two separate offences.

We consider the problem of drawing inferences within a legal framework when a person is a suspect for two separate offences. Although we are primarily concerned with scientific evidence the issue inevitably arises as to how that evidence interacts with other, non-scientific evidence. We show that, in this particular context, the evidence can be conveniently classified into three categories that concern, respectively: the first crime only; the second crime only; and evidence that relates to similarities between the two crimes. Two case examples are considered and we consider DNA, fibres and eyewitness evidence. These are viewed from the perspective of a prosecutor who has to decide whether or not to charge a suspect with one or both crimes. Graphical sensivity analyses are presented which have features that are not intuitively obvious.     

20世纪90年代以来中印贫困问题比较研究

本文对中印贫困的现状、外在表征和内在成因等方面做出了深入细致的分析与研究,揭示出中印贫困现象背后深层次的运行机理,进而为两国政府探索消除贫困、制定切实可行的因应对策提供了全新的理论视角。     

＂Dislocation＂

Over the past five years since September 11, the international community has been highly focused on the increasingly serious terror- ist threat. In order to strike the international terrorist force, with al Qaeda as its core, the United Nations Security C…     

东西南北都有变化

2006年,国际格局调整加快,世界热点问题升温,大国协调进一步展开,中国外交硕果累累。2007年,世界将进入深度调整,国际形势总体趋向缓和,但局部紧张可能加剧,尤其是伊朗核问题有可能升级,中国外交则在面对新机遇的同时有可能遭遇更复杂的挑战。鉴此,《现代国际关系》编辑部于2007年1月6日举办“2007年国际大势前瞻”研讨会,特别邀请30多位京内外专家学者在总结、回顾2006年国际形势的基础上,着重对2007年国际形势及中国外交的变化趋势进行前瞻性分析。现将研讨会主要观点辑录如下,以期有助于读者更准确把握国际形势走向。     

我国台湾问题的法理探析

近年来,台独分子的“法理台独”愈演愈烈。前不久陈水扁的“废统”闹剧又引起两岸形势紧张。台湾问题有国内和国际两大因素,台湾问题的解决也要从国内和国际两个层面出发。无论是从国际法还是国内法层面分析,法律手段都是解决台湾问题以和平统一祖国的重要途径和有效手段。     

掀开法律的男权主义面纱——对中国当代性犯罪立法的文化解读与批判

我国当代的性犯罪立法中还残留着许多男权主义的印记,具体表现为:受男主女从的文化影响,把强奸罪的实行主体限定为男子,受害人限定为女子;受生殖文化的影响,将强奸中性交的概念定义为男女生殖器的媾合;由于将强奸视为对男人权利的侵犯,因而对其引起的纠纷由国家垄断处理权.现行立法与社会现实存在着一定的矛盾,因此,立足中国现实,借鉴西方经验,改革我国现行的性犯罪立法是当务之急.     

Foreign exchange interventions in a small emerging market: the case of Croatia

This paper studies the impact of daily official foreign exchange interventions on the exchange rates in Croatia for the period from 1996 to 2004. Using the event study methodology and a variety of GARCH models reveals that the Croatian central bank was in a position to influence, to some extent, the level of the exchange rate during the period studied. This lends support to the view that foreign exchange intervention may be effective in emerging market economies.     

知识分子与和谐社会的构建

知识分子在和谐社会的构建中发挥着重要的作用,他们是先进生产力的开拓者、先进文化的创造者和传播者,也是社会主义政治文明的推动者。为了进一步发挥知识分子的作用,必须进行体制创新,完善知识分子政策;知识分子也必须努力学习,提高自己,具有自觉的历史使命感。     

论欧安组织的中亚战略——以阿拉木图中心为例

自苏联解体之始,欧安组织就积极地介入了中亚事务。对中亚事务的介入不仅历史较久,而且这种介入涵盖相关国家的政治、经济、文化和科技等各个领域。它既有各种正式、官方的途径,也有一系列形式多样的非官方方式。本文通过对欧安组织阿拉木图中心的工作来考察它在哈萨克斯坦的活动领域、工作重点、活动特征和社会效果等方面的情况,以此勾勒欧安组织的中亚战略。     

PROFILE: CHILD CUSTODY MEDIATION SERVICES IN CALIFORNIA SUPERIOR COURTS

California is now in its 11th year of mandatory child custody mediation, with a current yearly case volume statewide estimated at 65,494. This article profiles the variations in programs and mediation styles in 56 of the state's 58 Superior Courts. Two research studies provide the basis for the information on program structures, case activity, procedures, agreement formats, recommendations, facilities, security, and fees.