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481.
Mock jurors' use of probabilistic evidence was examined in a fractional factorial design manipulating 7 variables: strength of nonstatistical evidence; quantification of nonstatistical evidence; strength of statistical evidence; combination of 2 pieces of statistical evidence; instruction in use of Bayes' theorem; and presentation of fallacies (both prosecutor's and defense attorney's) concerning use of statistical evidence. One hundred eighty-nine subjects viewed 1 of 16 videotapes presenting a condensed mock trial. Subjects completed dependent measures after each of 4 witnesses and at the end of trial. The strength of both nonstatistical and probabilistic evidence affected verdicts; the other manipulations did not. Overall, subjects slightly underused the probabilistic evidence, as compared to their individualized Bayesian norms, and subjects did not succumb to fallacies. However, subjects greatly varied in over-or underutilization, even after Bayesian instruction. Future research should examine use of weak nonstatistical evidence, and should test different probabilistic instructions. 相似文献
482.
Becker (1983) hypothesized thatinterest groups compete strategically forinfluence with policy makers; thatimportant model has been assumed or ignoredrather than tested. This paper buildstheoretical and econometric frameworks thatcan test hypotheses about strategicbehavior when data on interest-groupactivity are limited and discrete. Itapplies those frameworks to data oninterest-group pressure regarding additionsto the U.S. endangered species list. Theresults do indicate that these interestgroups respond to costs and benefits, butdo not support the hypothesis that pressurefrom one interest group increases ordecreases with the pressure intensity of anopposing group. 相似文献
483.
Amy L. Fletcher 《政策研究评论》2008,25(6):598-607
Amid the current biodiversity crisis and the ongoing threat of mass extinctions caused by modern anthropogenic factors such as industrialization, poaching and habitat destruction, conservation genetics provides tools (such as somatic‐cell nuclear transfer) that could help to ensure the survival of species and ecosystems. Yet as conservation genetics shifts from the laboratory and scientific communities into mainstream awareness, numerous political questions arise. For example, which species should be priorities for research and restoration via expensive biotechnology interventions? Does the increasing availability of biotechnological tools alter our perception of the biodiversity crisis and the natural world? Why are some stakeholders so opposed to using advanced biotechnology in conservation? Finally, and perhaps most controversially, what are the realistic outer limits of such tools with respect to the idea of “conquering extinction”? 相似文献
484.
This study examines three previously unexplored aspects of the biasing impact of pretrial publicity. First, this study tests the differential effects of several different types of pretrial publicity on juror decision making. Second, this study explores the impact the presentation of trial evidence has on biases created by pretrial publicity. Finally, the study explores the psychological processes by which pretrial publicity effects may operate. Results indicate that pretrial publicity, particularly negative information about the defendant's character, can influence subjects' initial judgments about a defendant's guilt. This bias is weakened, but not eliminated by the presentation of trial evidence. Character pretrial publicity, and both weak and strong inadmissible statements appear to operate by changing subjects' initial judgments of the defendant's guilt. This initial judgment then affects the way subjects assess the evidence presented in the trial and the attributions they make about the defendant. Prior record pretrial publicity appears to have its effects by influencing subjects' inferences about the criminality of the defendant and this is related to posttrial judgments. 相似文献
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David J. Hansen Gina M. Pallotta Amy C. Tishelman Loren P. Conaway Virginia M. MacMillan 《Journal of family violence》1989,4(4):353-368
Failure to solve problems related to parenting and other aspects of daily living is hypothesized to result in frustration or inability to cope, and lead to deviant parental behavior such as aggression or neglect. The present investigation provided support for a procedure for measuring parental problem-solving skill and compared the problem-solving abilities and child behavior problems of maltreating and nonmaltreating parents. Subjects were 40 parents with at least one child between the ages of three and twelve. Subjects were assigned to one of four groups: (a) physically abusive parents (n = 9); (b) neglectful parents (n = 9); (c) nonmaltreating clinic parents seeking help for child behavior problems (n = 11); and (d) nonmaltreating, non-help-seeking community parents (n = 11). Abusive and neglectful parents were deficient in problem-solving skill as compared to clinic and community parents, yet there were many similarities in parental reports of child behavior problems for maltreating and nonmaltreating parents. Parental problem-solving skill did not correlate significantly with parental ratings of child behavior problems. 相似文献
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