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Melanie Brand 《Intelligence & National Security》2019,34(5):743-757
This article examines the impact of cognitive bias on the analytic output of the United States intelligence community during the Prague Spring. Utilising a range of primary sources, including declassified documents, oral history and contemporary accounts, this article argues that as a result of heuristic biases, analysts formed the mindset that the Soviet Union would not invade Czechoslovakia, and did not alter that assumption in the face of increasing evidence to the contrary. Consequently analysts possessed a distorted understanding of both Soviet intentions and the prevailing political environment and did not accurately convey the likelihood of military action to consumers. 相似文献
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Journal of Chinese Political Science - 相似文献
126.
There have been reports of sexual acts on sleeping women since ancient times. Whether this is possible at all has been under controversial discussion by lawyers and lay people. The paper presents two cases of non-consenting penetrating intercourse with sleeping women and various legal and expert opinions. The authors discuss the possible influence of drugs and alcohol. 相似文献
127.
Cerulli C Gellman RA Nichols C Hall D Conner KR Caine ED 《International journal of law and psychiatry》2011,34(2):80-98
This paper explores the impact of intimate partner violence on victim health and proposes interdisciplinary coordination between legal and mental health services as a means to assist victims. Data was collected from 95 female petitioners at an upstate New York Domestic Violence Intensive Intervention Court (DVIIC). Study participants completed surveys on physical health, mental health, and social functioning. Survey results demonstrated decreased mental health and social functioning as well as a strong willingness to utilize court-based mental health services if offered. Findings from this study support court-based settings as appropriate sites for addressing mental health needs through collaborative efforts between legal and mental health professionals. 相似文献
128.
Environmental and wildlife crime appear recently to be benefitting from an increasing profile amongst those agencies tasked
with their control, as well as receiving growing criminological attention. Despite this, those with responsibilities in this
area report that it remains marginalised, receiving limited resources and suffering from a lack of political impetus to push
such problems higher up the agenda. This is particularly so for those agencies, such as the police, that may be seen to have
many more pressing objectives. This discussion paper considers the problems of relying on an enforcement approach to controlling
such offences, taking, as an example, those activities that may be termed ‘wildlife crime’, focusing on the situation in England
and Wales. Firstly, the legislative framework that criminalises harm or exploitation of wildlife is presented, alongside the
main enforcement methods used. Next, the problems facing an enforcement approach are critically considered, the key issues
being: under-resourcing and marginalisation, the large ‘dark-figure’ of wildlife crime, the possibility of corruption, the
lack of seriousness with which such crimes are viewed, and the lack of deterrent effect. Finally, responses to the problems
of enforcement are presented, categorised as either methods to improve enforcement or, as the author advocates, methods which
are alternatives to enforcement (such as adopting a crime prevention approach). The paper concludes with suggestions for future
research in this field. 相似文献
129.
Waste in the Sewer: The Collapse of Accountability and Transparency in Public Finance in Jefferson County,Alabama 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Following failed auctions for sewer debt in April 2008, major bond rating companies downgraded Jefferson County, Alabama’s bond rating to D (default) triggering massive mandatory payments by the county to its creditors. At the time of writing, the county teeters on the brink of actual default and bankruptcy, unable to pay service on its $3.3 billion sewer debt portfolio. If the county defaults, it will be the largest municipal bankruptcy in United States history, eclipsing Orange County, California’s 1994 default. The intriguingly complex tale of the Jefferson County debt crisis is recounted here by identifying and examining failures of transparency and accountability by local bureaucratic and political actors, private financial institutions, as well as the larger regulatory framework governing public finance. Enhanced regulation of local government and the financial sector plus greater local government capacity to close accountability gaps and thus prevent future crises of similar scale in this or other jurisdictions are recommended. 相似文献
130.