突发公共安全事件扩散动力学模型仿真研究

由于自然—社会—经济系统互动随社会发展不断增加,突发公共安全事件更多地呈现出扩散化的形式,产生的影响远大于单一事件的发生。本文以复杂系统理论和复杂网络理论为基础并借鉴灾害链的相关研究,分别针对单一突发公共安全事件、突发公共安全事件链式扩散和突发公共安全事件网络扩散的特征、共性进行探索,建立事件发生和扩散的复杂系统动力学模型,通过突发公共安全事件扩散网络的动力学模型进行仿真实验,进一步探索不同网络结构和影响因素下的突发事件扩散机理。在复杂网络中,不同网络结构、事件爆发阈值、事件间关联度都会对突发事件的扩散产生影响。     

Falling in love with a [sperm] warrior: conscripting women’s wombs to the dissemination of a religio-political ideology

This article focuses on the screening and marketing of sperm in Israel as a mechanism for enlisting women’s wombs to political goals. The background for the analysis is the recent rise in demand for sperm from combat soldiers during the war between Israel and Hamas. The data-set for the project is comprised of multiple sources which converge to provide evidence for the transfusion of Zionist ideology into sperm donation. The article suggests the compatibility of the venerated status gained by donors who are Israeli Defense Force combatants with Zionist militarism. The banks screen candidates for sperm donation based on their military service and military health profile. The discursive climate which glorifies ‘warriors’ permeates sperm marketing, contributing to the cultural reproduction of a militaristic ideology. The article concludes by contending that sperm banks provide a platform for a subversive discourse that triggers Enloe’s thesis of patriotic motherhood and the role of women in the process of militarization.     

关于构建安全保卫风险评估课程的思考——《安保风险评估》课程设置构建的必要性与可行性论证

安全保卫风险评估是安保、安防行业的一项核心业务,具有高端性、统领性、综合性等特点.但是,它目前在国内安保行业培训中还没有成为一门系统的教学课程.鉴于此,本文在相关调研、工作实践以及教学活动等准备工作基础上,对安全保卫风险评估课程构建的必要性和可行性进行论证和探讨.在此基础上,逐步探索出整个课程的课程定位、构建思路以及课程内容体系架构,以期对安全保卫专业教学培训乃至整个安保行业的持续发展起到积极的促进作用.     

Judgment and Calculation in the Selection of Sentence

Formal sentencing guidelines, which are increasingly seen as the best means of eliminating unwarranted disparity, have undoubted merits. Well-crafted guidelines can promote more transparent and coherent sentencing practices. Their primary goal will usually be to ensure that similarly situated offenders convicted of similar offences receive broadly similar penalties. This, in turn, should increase public confidence in the criminal justice system. Judicially-developed guidance has its own advantages. A judgment, unlike a statute or a formal guideline, must persuade its audience as to the merits of the decision reached. Appeal court sentencing judgments must (or ideally should) engage in some degree of moral reasoning so as to explain why a particular offence or offender deserves the penalty that is being imposed or upheld. Adjudication of this nature plays an important role in stimulating debate and deliberation about the purposes of punishment, the appropriate use of particular sentencing options, the relevance of various offence- and offender-related factors and other fundamental questions about which opinions will inevitably change over time. Although they may have distinct epistemic properties and different objectives, formal guidelines and judicially-developed principles have their own unique merits. We should therefore aim for a system that incorporates the best qualities of both. In practice, this means that guidelines should be so constructed as to leave space for judicial deliberation about fundamental principles and current practice. In this way, guideline creators and courts can continue to learn from each other.     

个体网络借贷(P2P)监管立法例及解读

央行会同其他部委发布的《关于促进互联网金融健康发展的指导意见》明确了'网络借贷业务由银监会负责监管'。十八届五中全会《关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十三个五年规划》要求'规范发展互联网金融'。银监会直面网络借贷(P2P)存在的诸多问题,如何有效地规范发展网络借贷(P2P)活动已经成为亟待解决的问题。规范发展网络借贷(P2...