TRENDS IN FEMALE DELINQUENCY

National arrest statistics combined with juvenile court, self-report, and field observational data are used to evaluate current conceptions of the changing nature of female delinquency. Adolescent females made arrest gains in the categories of larceny (e.g., shoplifting). liquor law violations (e.g. underage drinking), and runaways. Studies of juvenile gangs show no increase in female violence or gang-related delinquencies while self-report data show that, with the exception of marijuana use and drinking, female delinquency has remained generally stable over the past decade. We conclude that patterns of female delinquency, especially as revealed in nonofficial sources of evidence, have changed very little in recent years and that female delinquency continues to reflect traditional sex roles. The evidence suggests that the Women's Movement has had little or no effect on female delinquency. At the end of the report. we suggest alternative views regarding female delinquency and the forces shaping it.     

Burden of Womanhood: Tamil Women’s Perceptions of Coping with Intimate Partner Violence

Helping women victimized by intimate partner violence (IPV) is a challenge, particularly when the women belong to diverse ethnic groups. The objective of our study was to collect information on perceptions of coping with IPV from the perspective of a specific immigrant group of women. Sixty-three women from the Tamil community in Toronto representing different generations and experiences of IPV were interviewed in focus group settings about their views of coping with IPV. Study findings suggested that their views were deeply embedded in their sociocultural context and influenced by the gender-role expectations from the community. The women showed a marked preference for “passive” modes of coping rather than “active.” Study findings have implications for the development of alternative approaches to helping ethnically diverse women deal with IPV.     

Can Light-Touch College-Going Interventions Make a Difference? Evidence from a Statewide Experiment in Michigan

I conduct a statewide experiment in Michigan with nearly 50,000 high-achieving high school seniors. Treated students are mailed a letter encouraging them to consider college and providing them with the web address of a college information website. I find that very high-achieving, low-income students, and very high-achieving, minority students are the most likely to navigate to the website. Small changes to letter content affect take-up. For example, highlighting college affordability induces 18 percent more students to the website than highlighting college choice, and 37 percent more than highlighting how to apply to college. I find a statistically precise zero impact on college enrollment among all students who were mailed the letter. However, low-income students experience a small increase in the probability that they enroll in college, driven by increases at four-year institutions. An examination of persistence through college, while imprecise, suggests that the students induced into college by the intervention persist at a lower rate than the inframarginal student.     

美国国家安全战略视阈下的中美关系50年

自1972年中美关系“破冰”以来,美国国家安全战略视阈之内的中美关系经历了1972—1989年、1989—2017年以及2017年之后三个阶段。在这三个阶段中,制衡、塑造与争胜先后成为美国对华战略的逻辑核心。在第一阶段,美国对华的国家安全战略逻辑是“借重以制衡”,即借助中国来平衡苏联,中国在20世纪80年代一度被美国视为“友好的非盟国”。在持续时间最长的第二阶段,美国的国家安全战略逻辑是通过“接触以塑造”,希望塑造中国的政治经济模式以及对外行为方式。在20世纪90年代末期中国一度被美国视为潜在的战略伙伴。在2017年以来的第三阶段,美国试图通过“竞争以制胜”,防止中国的发展超越美国,美国国家安全战略视阈内的中国以及中美关系全面转向消极。50年来,中美关系经历过两次转向和重构,目前第二次转向和重构仍在进行中。过去50年,中美关系总是关系到美国全局性国家安全利益的重大问题;美国国家安全战略中的涉华部分超越党派之争,有着较强的一致性和连贯性,很多议题和提法都长期存在,或者早有伏笔。在美国国家安全战略中,涉华议题的内容越来越多,也越来越丰富;中美关系的合作面和竞争面都有明显增长,但竞争面的比重大幅上升。     

Book reviews

Central Asia and Transcaucasia: Ethnicity and Conflict Vitaly V. Naumkin (editor) Westport, CT.: Greenwood Publishing Group, 1994, 239 pp, $60.00

Turks and Greeks: Neighbours in Conflict Vamik Volkan and Norman Itzkowitz Huntingdon, Cambs: Eothen Press, 233 pp, biblio, ISBN 0906719 25 9 £24.95 hardback; ISBN 0906719 30 5 £12.50 paperback

Moguls and Mandarins: Oil, Imperialism and the Middle East in British Foreign Policy, 1900–1940 Marian Kent Frank Cass Publishers, 1994, viii‐169, pp bibliography, index, $70.00

Central Asia: Its Strategic Importance and Future Prospects Hafeez Malik (editor) London: Macmillan Press, 1994, 337 pp, £47.50

Religion, State and Politics in the Soviet Union and Successor States John Anderson Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1994, 236 pp, index, biblio., hardback £35/$54.95, paperback £14.95/$18.95

China Considers the Middle East Lillian Craig Harris London: I. B. Tauris, 1993, 345 pp, £34.50

Splendours of the Bosphorus: Houses and Palaces of Istanbul Chris Hellier London: Taurus Parke, 1993, 228 pp, index, £35

The Remaking of Istanbul Zeynep Celik Berkeley: University of California Press, 1993, 183 pp, paperback

Afghan Embroidery Bernard Dupaigne, Françoise Cousin and Roland Pavia Paris: Fondation de France, Musee de l'Homme and UNHCR, 1993, 136 pp, illus.