Uncertainty and Turnout

This article develops a model that simultaneously considersindividual turnout and vote choice while also accounting foruncertainty about candidates. The theoretical development ofthis model implies that the effects of uncertainty on turnoutvary with the strength of individual preferences. Applicationof the model to individual choice in the 1996 American presidentialelection confirms that decreasing uncertainty about the charactertraits of the candidates decreases the probability of abstentionfor individuals with strong preferences but increases the probabilityof abstention for individuals with weak preferences.     

略论警务管理科学

"公安管理学"或"警察管理学"应以"警务管理科学"取代之.警务管理科学是研究警务管理活动的科学,可解决公安管理学研究对象涵盖过宽和警察管理学研究对象涵盖过窄两个问题.警务管理科学是将管理学理论应用于警务管理活动的实证分析的科学.其学科特点和理论建构有最显著的两点,一是对管理学规范理论的借用,一是对现代数理科学工具的借用.研究警务管理科学必须在理论概括、经验分析和对策论三方面进行合理的定位.     

Multifactorial analysis of firearm wounds to the head with attention to anatomic location.

Firearm wounds to the head are often fatal and are routinely encountered in the practice of forensic pathology in the United States. Often, the anatomic site of the entrance wound is used to support or refute the manner of death indicated by the scene investigation and/or circumstances of the case. The present retrospective study of 120 fatalities resulting from 140 firearm wounds to the head correlates the anatomic region of the entrance wound and range of fire with the manner of death. Other demographic data analyzed include age, race, and gender of the decedents, as well as evidence of drug and/or ethanol use. It is hoped that this study will provide concrete data to support the largely anecdotal associations between the specific site of entry of firearm injuries to the head and the manner of death.