The dimensions of dangerousness revisited

In this article, we extend our previous study on clinical predictions of violence using the Dangerous Behavior Rating Scale by increasing follow-up interval from 2 to 6 years and supplying new data on prediction-outcome correlations for multidiscipline assessors. A total of 162 accused persons remanded for evaluations at METFORS were assessed using three criterion measures: subsequent violence, criminality, and general incidents. Statistical analyses revealed a range of predictive performance, contingent on several conditions including the identities of evaluators, categories of subjects, and length and context of follow-up. Even prognostications yielding the highest magnitude coefficients, reaching 53 in the case of psychometric forecasts of behavior in psychiatric hospitals, failed to account for more than 28% of the prediction-outcome covariance. Implications of the results are considered for the future role of the dangerousness construct.The research project described in this article was funded by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada, the Canadian Psychiatric Research Foundation, the Solicitor General Canada, the LaMarsh Research Program on Violence and Conflict Resolution, the Ontario Ministry of Health, Simon Fraser University, the Clarke Institute of Psychiatry, and the psychopathy project supported under the sustaining grant provided by the Solicitor General, Canada, to the Centre of Criminology, University of Toronto. Thanks for their perceptive commentaries to Ronald Roesch and the two anonymous reviewers ofLaw and Human Behavior. Acknowledged as well are the contributions of the many research assistants and representatives of mental health, police, justice, and correctional agencies who collaborated in the compilation of these data. Research assistance was provided by Michelle Grossman, Simon Hanbury, Lily Keoskerian, Ed Tymosiak, and Cheri Wilner. Bill Glackman offered technical help with the data analysis. A version of this paper was originally presented at the 1991 Meeting of the American Society of Criminology in San Francisco.Clarke Institute of Psychiatr     

入世对消防管理工作的影响分析

入世对消防管理工作来说 ,是机遇与挑战并存 ,具体体现在消防法制建设 ,消防管理行政方式 ,消防日常监督 ,消防设施与装备 ,队伍建设和人才培养 ,社会救援功能等各个方面。     

广义上层建筑体系的构成与演进

历史唯物论应该是广义的社会哲学理论，其上层建筑理论不应局限于对阶级社会上层建筑的剖析，而应揭示所有社会上层建筑的一般本质、构成、功能及其历史演进的一般规律，也即广义的上层建筑。广义上层建筑存在的必要性和可能性是整合与调节社会内外部诸关系以保持其稳定性；它的一般本质是解释体系和规范体系统一的共同体意识；益公性与偏私性是其二重性；人口资源、物质资源、精神资源是其基本构件。无论是上层建筑的一般本质、功能还是构成都经历了一个历史演进的过程。     

关于刑法增设"故意逃避债务罪"的立法探讨

为了有效打击和遏制各种逃避民事债务的不法行为,切实维护债权人的合法利益和保障社会主义市场经济的健康发展,根据当前我国民法、刑法等法律的任务、目的,运用相关的法学理论,从“故意逃避民事债务行为的社会危害性”、“我国刑法增设‘故意逃避债务罪’的必要性”、“刑法‘故意逃避债务罪’的含义及犯罪构成要件”、“对‘故意逃避债务罪’刑事处罚”等四个方面,来论述和探讨我国刑法应增设“故意逃避债务罪”。     

农民增收难的制度因素分析及对策

“三农”问题以农民问题为首,而农民问题的关键是农民收入问题。只有积极稳妥地推进各项制度改革,才能从根本上促进农村经济发展,切实增加农民的收入。     

西部自然资源开发利用管理制度及其创新

自然资源的开发利用和管理在西部大开发中占重要地位,是保障大开发战略正常进行并实现预期效果的关键。我国现有相关自然资源管理制度不能完全满足西部大开发的现实需要,制度创新是必然选择。应在坚持完善现有制度的前提下建立资源存量和使用量公示制度、西部资源评估预警制度、自然资源产权制度、使用者资质审查制度、资源区域监督管理目标制度、资源管理行政首长负责制度,建立以区域或者流域为对象的监督管理机制、环境资源使用信息公示制度、环境灾难群众自救制度等。