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181.
Paul Vedder John Berry Colette Sabatier David Sam 《Journal of youth and adolescence》2009,38(5):642-653
Correspondence in value orientation between parents and their offspring may be due to actual transmission processes between
generations, but it may also be due to influences from the general value context in society that are common to parents and
their offspring. This common value context is referred to as Zeitgeist. The present study deals with one family relationship
value (i.e., parents’ and adolescents’ obligations toward the family). Participants were 1,252 immigrant and 726 national
adolescent–parent dyads from 10 Western countries. There were significant relationships between the value placed on family
obligations among parents and offspring, and these were independent of gender. Zeitgeist effects, both intergenerational and
intragenerational, were found. The strength of these Zeitgeist effects depended on the basis for defining Zeitgeist, either
a person’s own ethnic group or the wider community including both nationals and immigrants. For explaining national adolescents’
acceptance of their family obligations, both the ethnic and the national Zeitgeist played a role, whereas in the immigrant
groups only the ethnic Zeitgeist played a significant role. In short, in an immigration context it makes sense to distinguish
the influence of a person’s own ethnic group from the influence of the wider community, including other ethnic groups. Explanations
are suggested and implications are discussed.
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Paul VedderEmail: |
182.
Welton Chang Elissabeth Berdini David R. Mandel Philip E. Tetlock 《Intelligence & National Security》2018,33(3):337-356
Structured analytic techniques (SATs) are intended to improve intelligence analysis by checking the two canonical sources of error: systematic biases and random noise. Although both goals are achievable, no one knows how close the current generation of SATs comes to achieving either of them. We identify two root problems: (1) SATs treat bipolar biases as unipolar. As a result, we lack metrics for gauging possible over-shooting—and have no way of knowing when SATs that focus on suppressing one bias (e.g., over-confidence) are triggering the opposing bias (e.g., under-confidence); (2) SATs tacitly assume that problem decomposition (e.g., breaking reasoning into rows and columns of matrices corresponding to hypotheses and evidence) is a sound means of reducing noise in assessments. But no one has ever actually tested whether decomposition is adding or subtracting noise from the analytic process—and there are good reasons for suspecting that decomposition will, on balance, degrade the reliability of analytic judgment. The central shortcoming is that SATs have not been subject to sustained scientific of the sort that could reveal when they are helping or harming the cause of delivering accurate assessments of the world to the policy community. 相似文献
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185.
So Close,but so Far? The Davies Commission and the Contested Politics of UK Airport Expansion 下载免费PDF全文
Aviation expansion and the construction of a third runway at Heathrow airport is firmly back on the political agenda. Yet, the stark fact remains that a growing list of British governments has been unable to engineer a partial or temporary policy settlement in aviation. In exploring the challenges of reaching such a settlement, this article characterises the shifting and contested political and policy contexts of UK aviation. It begins by exploring the ‘wicked issue’ of aviation expansion before foregrounding how the politics of air travel is riven by competing policy frames, fragmented governance and the absence of gatekeepers. It argues that the Davies Commission and its efforts to remove aviation from the domain of partisan politics provided little more than a temporary respite for government. It thus concludes by questioning whether the May government's expansion proposals will succeed this time around, outlining how the contributions in this collection address the themes and issues of this overriding policy puzzle. 相似文献
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188.
David Torrance 《The Political quarterly》2017,88(1):52-59
Since the 1980s the Scottish National Party has presented its political project in progressive terms, but this created a twin dilemma: in order to achieve independence, the SNP needed to win political power, and in order to achieve political power it had to win an election, and orthodoxy dictated that winning elections in Scotland involved a centre‐left platform. But the two have often been in conflict, as is clear as the SNP approaches its tenth anniversary in devolved government and agitates for another referendum. 相似文献
189.
James E. Monogan III David M. Konisky Neal D. Woods 《American journal of political science》2017,61(2):257-270
In federal systems, both state governments and firms have incentives to strategically locate polluting facilities where the environmental and health consequences will be borne as much as possible by residents of other jurisdictions. We analyze air polluter location in the United States using a spatial point pattern model, which models where events occur in latitude and longitude. Our analyses indicate that major air polluters are significantly more likely to be located near a state's downwind border than a control group of other industrial facilities, results that are robust to a wide variety of model specifications and measurement strategies. This effect is particularly pronounced for facilities with toxic air emissions. The observed pattern of polluter location varies systematically across states and time in ways that suggest it is responsive to public policy at both the national and state levels. 相似文献
190.
A House Divided? Roll Calls,Polarization, and Policy Differences in the U.S. House, 1877–2011 下载免费PDF全文
David A. Bateman Joshua D. Clinton John S. Lapinski 《American journal of political science》2017,61(3):698-714
The study of political conflict in legislatures is fundamental to understanding the nature of governance, but also difficult because of changes in membership and the issues addressed over time. Focusing on the enduring issue of civil rights in the United States since Reconstruction, we show that using current methods and measures to characterize elite ideological disagreements makes it hard to interpret or reconcile the conflicts with historical understandings because of their failure to adequately account for the policies being voted upon and the consequences of the iterative lawmaking process. Incorporating information about the policies being voted upon provides a starkly different portrait of elite conflict—not only are contemporary parties relatively less divided than is commonly thought, but the conflict occurs in a smaller, and more liberal, portion of the policy space. These findings have important implications for a broad range of work that uses elite actions to compare political conflict/polarization across time. 相似文献