世界经济区域集团化发展的理论分析及启示

区域集团化的原因在于:经济全球化和各国国内经济发展之间的矛盾运动;追求市场多元化,克服对单一市场的过度依赖;获得政治竞争优势.关税同盟理论表明,区域集团的贸易创造效应可能对世界经济发展有利,贸易转移效应可能对世界经济发展不利;大市场理论表明,区域集团能够促使规模经济形成,加剧竞争,提高管理和刺激技术发展,增进区域内直接投资;奥尔森的理论表明,区域集团会对成员国的各种特殊利益集团形成约束,促进各国经济效率的提高.区域集团化发展给我们的启示是:应以国家长期利益为重,树立均胜观;加强对内开放;加强与周边国家或地区的合作.     

科学技术可持续发展环境伦理观解读

本文从科学技术带来环境问题的必然性出发,阐述了科学技术决定论的哲学思潮-乐观主义技术决定论和悲观主义技术决定论,对科学技术的负载价值及消极根源进行了逻辑分析。要实现人类持续、健康的发展,必须构建科学技术与社会伦理的良性互动体系。同时,要实现科学技术的可持续发展必须对科学技术采取扬弃态度,确立环境价值观,实现可持续发展的科技转型,提倡可持续发展环境伦理观。     

Symposium: Policy analysis for congress. Policy analysis for congress: Lengthening the time horizon

Policy analysis for the Congress is a timely subject. Several policy initiatives have emerged recently from the “first branch.” Others have demonstrated an independent capacity for analysis that is impressive by historical standards. This article introduces a practitioner symposium of three related works on policy analysis for Congress, with appropriate commentary by a distinguished veteran. It argues that because timing is crucial in the congressional policy process, anticipation and advance preparation are central to the effective use of analysis. The other articles illustrate the stages of advance preparation—of the policy analyst, the congressional environment, and the Member for voting—in the form of case studies.     

Evaluation of a computer-assisted monitoring (CAMO) project: Some measurement issues

This article investigates the effect of Computer Assisted Monitoring of Offenders (CAMO) on probation outcome. In a comparison sample, the effect of CAMO treatment is compared to the effect of “regular” probation. In addition to testing the effects of CAMO as an intermediate treatment, methodological issues, such as level of probation restrictiveness and the effects of prior criminal involvement on probation outcome, are tested. Although the results are mixed, they indicate that level of probation restrictiveness and prior criminal involvement have a greater effect on probation outcome than does CAMO. These findings have ramifications for researchers comparing CAMO probationers to “regular” probationers and for those comparing different CAMO programs. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Western Social Science Association’s 1992 annual conference.     

埃及高等教育走向国际化

20世纪80年代以来,埃及的高等教育不断加大开放力度,具体表现为:1.吸引外国政府和大学到埃及办学。十月六日城大学已成为埃及规模最大的国际化私立大学:2002～2003学年,该校14个系共有注册学生1.67万人(来自亚、非、欧、美四大洲的不同国家)。埃及科技大学实行三学期制,可授予文理学士、文理硕士和哲学博士学位,2002～2003学年,注册学生达9700多人。开罗德国大学作为德国创建的第一所境外大学,校园按照乌尔姆大学校园的风格模式建造;课程安排则与斯图加特大学和乌尔姆大学合作设置。2005年4月24日,中国与埃及有关创建埃及中国大学的合作协议…     

Is Taipei an Innovative City? An Institutionalist Analysis

This paper explores whether Taipei is an innovative city by critically examining Taipei’s industrial and economic performance, developmental visions and spatial planning, as well as institutional settings and political contexts. With the aid of institutionalist perspective, the author argues that Taipei’s innovative efforts are mostly policy innovation, rather than institutional innovation. The author also describes the institutional dynamics that have caused the lack of Taipei’s institutional innovation. The case study of Taipei could be helpful in conducting comparative studies on urban innovation.     

牢固树立社会主义荣辱观

以“八荣八耻”为主要内容的社会主义荣辱观,是社会主义市场经济条件下加强思想道德建设的强大思想武器和重要指导方针。要牢固树立社会主义荣辱观,首先要在明确其提出背景与意义的前提下,把握其深刻内涵与实质,努力提高全社会的思想道德水平。     

Impressions of the Visit to Korea and Japan

At the invitation of National Strategy Institute of Republic of Korea and Japan-China Association, the Young Leaders Delegation headed by Mr. Zhu     

期盼中俄经济合作的『夏天』

中俄经济从自然条件到经济结构都分别有着非常明显的优势和劣势,因而双方之间的"互补性"是毋庸置疑的.过去十多年来,双方对这一特点的认识经过了复杂的"磨合"过程才逐渐清晰,但要实现双方经济和产业优势的真正"互补共赢",要走的路依然很长.