论现阶段运行状态下警察权力的社会控制

警察作用的发挥必须通过警察权力的运行来实现。现阶段警察权力运行状态呈现出多样化的状态,即复杂的国际、国内治安形势下警察权力的强化和权力的不当行使衍生警察权力异化现象等。在此状态下考察权力运行特征及内在要求,必须对警察权力加以社会控制。从内容设置和程序设置控制的法律制度控制手段、组织控制手段和文化控制手段上,探讨警察权力超越不良运行状态、努力达成社会控制构想的实现。     

美国在中东的战略困境及前景评估

当前,美国在伊拉克问题、伊朗核问题、哈马斯问题,以及中东民主改造等方面均陷入冷战结束以来最严重的战略困境。这在很大程度上与美国自九一一事件后在中东推行的霸权战略的缺陷有关。首先,在理论层面,美国放弃了行之有效的现实主义,因而也就丧失了明确的利益诉求;其次,在操作层面,美国新战略设定的目标超出美国自身能力,而通过民主改造实现反恐目标,则犯了将复杂现实简单化的错误;最后,美国丧失了国际合法性,因而不得不付出额外成本。中东地区秩序十分脆弱,没有任何外部力量能够彻底改造中东的社会结构。因此从长远看,美国全面介入中东事务的做法,只会使美国国力透支,陷入衰落境地。     

《治安管理处罚法》中治安调解的适用

<治安管理处罚法>明确规定,对某些特定的违反治安管理的行为,可以用调解的方式来代替处罚.本文针对实践中存在的一些模糊认识,依据<治安管理处罚法>及<公安机关办理行政案件程序规定>,对治安调解的适用条件、具体的适用规则以及轻伤害案件的调解等作一浅析.     

Response surface methodology and improved interval analysis method-For analyzing uncertainty in accident reconstruction

Methods used to calculate intervals of accident reconstruction results are research hotspot in the word. The response surface methodology-interval analysis method (RSM-IAM) is a useful method for analyzing uncertainty of simulation results in this field, but there are two problems in this method because of the interval extension problem and inaccurate response surface models. In order to tackle these two problems, based on subinterval analysis thought and response surface methodology, an improved interval analysis method (RSM-IIAM) is proposed. In RSM-IIAM, the stepwise regression technique is used to obtain a reasonable response surface mode of the simulation model; and then, intervals of uncertain parameters are divided into several subintervals; after that, intervals of simulation results in accident reconstruction are calculated according to these subintervals. Finally, four numerical cases were given. Results showed that the RSM-IIAM is simple and high accuracy, which will be useful in analyzing uncertainty of simulation results in accident reconstruction.     

Analyzing the uncertainty of simulation results in accident reconstruction with Response Surface Methodology

This paper is focused on the uncertainty of simulation results in accident reconstruction. The Upper and Lower Bound Method (ULM) and the Finite Difference Method (FDM), which can be easily applied in this field, are introduced firstly; the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is then introduced into this field as an alternative methodology. In RSM, a sample set is firstly generated via uniform design; secondly, experiments are conducted according to the sample set with the help of simulation methods; thirdly, a response surface model is determined through regression analysis; finally, the uncertainty of simulation results can be analyzed using a combination of the response surface model and existing uncertainty analysis methods. It is later discussed in detail how to generate a sample set, how to calculate the range of simulation results and how to analyze the parameter sensitivity in RSM. Finally, the feasibility of RSM is validated by five cases. Moreover, the applicability of RSM, ULM and FDM in analyzing the uncertainty of simulation results is studied; the phenomena that ULM and FDM can hardly work while RSM can is found in the latter two cases. After an analysis of these five cases and the number of simulation runs required for each method, both advantages and disadvantages of these uncertainty analysis methods are indicated.     

毛泽东在中华苏维埃共和国局部执政中的突出贡献

中华苏维埃共和国成立前期,毛泽东主要致力于打破国民党对中央苏区的三次军事“围剿”,没有直接参与筹备工作,但是,1931年11月27日,毛泽东在中华苏维埃共和国中央执行委员会第一次会议上当选为临时中央政府主席。担任中华苏维埃共和国临时中央政府主席后,毛泽东为中央苏区的政权建设、法制建设、经济建设、教育文化建设以至民生建设和政府机关作风建设都作出了重大贡献。毛泽东在中国共产党中央苏区局部执政时期的创造性工作,为我们留下了宝贵的历史启示。     

关注绿色贫困:贫困问题研究新视角

该文基于绿色贫困的内涵和特征,研究绿色贫困主要类型、形成机理.结合新时期国家扶贫战略,提出实施生态补偿、生态建设与绿色产业发展相结合的绿色贫困治理模式.     

山西文化改革发展：脉络、成就与推进

党的十一届三中全会以来,山西文化改革发展经历了初始阶段、起步阶段、跃升阶段及跨越阶段,在文化体制改革、文化产业发展、文艺精品创作生产及城乡公共文化设施体系建设等方面取得了可喜的成就。“十二五”时期,进一步推进山西文化改革发展,要以社会主义核心价值体系为引领,推出一批反映山西精神的文化作品;以山西人民的文化需求为根本,构建完善的公共文化服务体系;以推进转型跨越为抓手,壮大发展文化产业。     

我国农村腐败问题的成因及反腐败机制建设

当前我国农村腐败问题比较突出,已成为影响和破坏农村经济发展和社会稳定的一个重要因素,必须引起高度重视。要彻底根除农村腐败问题,在加强教育、培育良好社会风气的同时,最行之有效的方法就是建立健全完善的教育、制度、监督并重的惩治和预防腐败体系。严密而富有逻辑的反腐机制必须在深刻分析产生腐败原因的基础上,从道德、立法、财务管理、考核、监督、惩处机制等方面深入推进。