策略人和策略决策模型:草原管理的智能体模拟分析

传统决策理论忽视了对人的策略性行为和策略决策的考察。本文通过对草原管理的智能体模拟分析,发展了策略人和策略决策新模型,并重点研究了策略人的四种典型策略决策:策略性投票、掩盖性、交易性和学习性策略决策。智能体模拟分析发现,在特定条件下,策略人的策略决策深刻影响个体的具体行动,并进而影响个体的行动结果(例,草原的可持续发展)。进而探讨了通过政策或制度安排来利用策略人的策略决策谋取预期政策或制度收益的可能性和其现实响应,并与策略人的四种典型策略决策相对应,依次讨论了策略约束性、保护性、诱导性以及学习性四种政策或制度安排。     

金融发展与产业升级关系研究——以陕西省为例

本文以陕西省1997—2011年的样本数据对产业升级与金融发展的关系进行分析,研究表明,金融发展规模、金融发展效率以及城市化是产业升级的原因。其中,产业合理化与金融发展规模、金融发展效率都存在单向格兰杰关系;金融发展效率是产业高级化的单向格兰杰原因,城市化与产业升级无显著的格兰杰关系。最后,为促进产业升级与金融发展提出建议。     

代的希望:处于变化中的世界的年轻人

青年是从儿童或青少年逐渐被承认作为成年人的一个过渡期.处于儿童期和成年期之间的青年过渡期是一个半依赖期,年轻人试图完成个人的自主性,然而仍依赖他们的父母或国家.这个半依赖期的长短在不同的社会-经济和政治环境下有着巨大的差异.青年发展可以被理解为提高年轻人的地位,赋权年轻人建设他们生活的能力和潜能.积极的青年发展要求一个支持性的环境,且在稳定的政治、法律和经济环境里发展得最好,这种环境允许和鼓励年轻人自由和公开地参与政治和公民生活.青年发展指数是通过对5个领域的年轻人的进步的一个全球性的测量:公民参与、教育、就业和机会、健康和福利、以及政治参与,主要目标是在重要利益相关者之间形成对话,帮助政策制定者识别出干预和改革的优先领域,向年轻人传达信息,为那些需要数据指导他们的投资决策和宣传的人提供事实基础.     

China Also Has a Dream to Pursue

THE world has entered the era of the knowledge economy and, as the key strategic resource for national development, talent is playing an increasingly vital role. For example, today, the use of computers to create wealth and value signals a major change in mankind’s mode of working. Wealth and value were first created from the soil, then in factories, later in banks and now via the Internet and computers. This marks significant human progress.     

Distributional effects of dollarisation: the Latin American case

Over the past two years Ecuador, El Salvador and Guatemala have adopted the US dollar as a legal currency in their countries. Several other Latin American countries, including Argentina, are currently discussing dollarisation. In this policy paper we look at the existing evidence for answers to two basic questions. First, under what general circumstances might dollarisation make sense? Second, are there clearly differentiated winners and losers from dollarisation and, if so, can we identify them, so that policy can take these political economy factors into consideration? Our review of the evidence demonstrates that there are consistent patterns of distributional effects, both positive and negative, from the choice of exchange rate regime. These effects are presently not considered in exchange rate policy decision making, but should be. While the effects are not as pronounced as those from major trade liberalisation agreements, they are significant. Ways to cushion the effects of exchange rate regime choice should be considered in the future by policy makers. Moreover, we find that dollarisation is embedded in the politics of the region. Dollarisation is often sold as a substitute for the deeper institutional reforms needed to improve economic performance and distribution in Latin America.     

韩国大学录取制度改革分析

韩国大学录取经过从大学单独考试到统考与校考相结合、大修能力考试与高中成绩相结合、考试分数等级与中学手册相结合等一系列改革，形成了多元录取、多样方法、多层管理的大学录取管理体制。韩国逐步建立起来的日臻科学、完善、健全的大学录取制度，使各大学充分享有录取新生的自主权，为我国高校自主招生改革可提供很多有益启示。     

At work in the temple of science: theory-building in the university

This paper develops a metaphor that shows academia as a temple of science where acolytes and priests devote themselves to building and developing an arcane lore that supports their faith. Though a somewhat strained metaphor, its heuristic value will become clearer when illustrated by lessons drawn from the sociology of knowledge. Through these lessons, I will attempt to demonstrate that the university setting has inexorably influenced the theories that have developed there, particularly in contributing to the perception of a gap between theory and practice that an applied, problem-solving field such as public administration can ill afford.