新加坡:2016年经济回顾与2017年展望

2016年,新加坡经济呈低速和缓慢增长态势,经济增速、主要产业、对外贸易及投资均出现不同程度的下降,就业形势日益严峻.在此背景下,新加坡多举措促进企业发展,积极参与国际经济合作,推动重大国际项目建设,并成立未来经济委员会以保障经济稳定发展.2017年,在政府多种措施的刺激下,新加坡经济将保持低速稳定发展,但仍充满不确定性.     

The Education Gap of China’s Migrant Children and Rural Counterparts

Rural residents in China today face at least two key decisions: a) where to live and work; and b) where to send their children to school. In this paper we study the second decision: should a rural parent send their child to a public rural school or have him or her attend a private migrant school in the city. While there is an existing literature on the impact of this decision on student academic performance, one of the main shortcomings of current studies is that the data that are used to analyse this issue are not fully comparable. To fill the gap, we collected data on the educational performance of both migrant students who were born in and come from specific source communities (prefecture) in rural China and students who are in rural public schools in the same source communities. Specifically, the dataset facilitates our effort to measure and identity the academic gap between the students in private migrant schools in Shanghai and Suzhou and those in the public rural schools in Anhui. We also seek to identify different sources of the gap, including selection effects and observable school quality effects. According to the results of the analysis, there is a large gap. Students in public rural schools outperform students in private migrant schools by more than one standard deviation (SD). We found that selection effects only account for a small part of this gap. Both school facility effects and teacher effects explain the achievement gap of the students from the two types of schools, although these effects occur in opposite directions.     

Explaining incumbent re-election in authoritarian elections: evidence from a Chinese county

Despite the burgeoning comparative literature on authoritarian elections, less is known about the dynamics of competition in authoritarian subnational elections where opposition is not allowed to organize into parties. Local elections without partisan competition in single-party authoritarian regimes provide considerable advantages to the incumbents and may well turn the incumbent advantage common in liberal democracies into incumbent dominance. What economic factors can break incumbent dominance in such competition without parties? With quantitative and qualitative evidence from grassroots elections in China, this article illustrates that economic growth and industrial economic structure offering more economic autonomy help to break incumbent dominance and increase the prospects of successful challenge to incumbency by non-party outsiders. The examination of the findings in a broad context in China and against the backdrop of local democratization in the developing world suggests that though we may observe successful challenge to incumbency, liberalization of the political system requires not only competition, but also a relatively autonomous economy to sustain liberalization prospects. The findings contribute to the literature on electoral authoritarianism, subnational democratization and China’s grassroots elections.     

Reproducibility of Artificial Cut on Heel Area of Rubber Outsole

Randomly acquired characteristics (RAC) are seldom used for exclusion in footwear examinations because they can disappear owing to wear. To help examiners explain discrepancies in RAC, this study investigated the reproducibility of cuts. One cut was made on the heel area of each shoe outsole and then measured. Changes in cuts were statistically evaluated, correlations between their variations and the weight/height of the subject were assessed, and the Support Vector Machine was used for the first time to study their discrimination probability. Most cuts became larger at first and then became smaller. The solidities of most cuts increased after 21 days, and the variation in the cut and the subject's weight/height were negatively correlated. Although the discrimination probability declined as the cut aged, 77% of the same-source and 96.88% of the different-source cuts could be identified correctly after 6 months, indicating that cuts on the heel area are relatively reliable.     

The Effect of Political Participation and Village Support on Farmers Happiness

Journal of Chinese Political Science - This paper explores the internal transmission mechanism and influence of political participation and village support on farmers’ happiness based on an...     

Improving the Health and Education of Elementary Schoolchildren in Rural China: Iron Supplementation Versus Nutritional Training for Parents

Abstract

We report on the results of a randomised controlled trial conducted among over 2,000 children in 60 elementary schools in rural Shaanxi Province, North-west China. We find that providing children with daily iron supplements for six months improved children’s haemoglobin levels and standardised maths scores. In comparison, educating parents about nutrition and anaemia in a special parents meeting produced a modest impact on children’s haemoglobin levels. We also find heterogeneous intervention effects by children’s gender, anaemia status and boarding status. Overall, iron supplementation is more effective. However, given its low cost and simple implementation, parental education should still be considered.     

浅谈和谐企业的特征及创建路径

构建和谐企业是构建社会主义和谐社会的重要组成部分,是推动企业科学发展的迫切需要。和谐企业具有经济效益持续增长、利益结构相对平衡、劳动关系协调稳定、文化理念上下认同、人文自然环境和谐优美五个基本特征,推进和谐企业建设要以增强核心竞争力、切实尊重"主人翁"、打造"利益共同体"、着力管控风险点、坚持弘扬先进性为基本路径。     

民族型恐怖主义犯罪防范浅议——中国语境下的探讨

民族型恐怖主义犯罪,就是以民族主义为思想基础,采用暴力等手段打击无辜者以制造社会恐慌,以为实现民族独立、民族自治或取得政治优势目标服务的犯罪。我国的恐怖主义犯罪主要是由民族主义引发的,突出表现为西藏“独立”和新疆“东突”问题。在防范民族型恐怖主义犯罪中,政治和刑法手段只能治标,社会政策则是治本之策。通过完善和加强我国的民族区域自治、经济、语言、教育、移民和宗教等政策,消解民族型恐怖主义犯罪思想基础的民族主义情绪。     

青少年犯罪成因实证研究

青少年犯罪的成因相当复杂，对其探讨已涉及到了各种学科和社会层面，并渐有“科际整合”的趋势。本研究立足于具有“科际整合”特点的国内外代表性学说一般犯罪理论和犯罪综合动因论的理论基础上进行实证研究，探讨家庭、学校、同侪以及低自我控制等因素对青少年出现违法、犯罪行为的预测作用。     

王震在红星垦殖场的日子

“文革”中,王震将军遭林彪、“四人帮”迫害,被以“战备疏散”的名义下放到江西红星垦殖场劳动锻练,一呆就是3年。在这3年中,他以强烈责任感和使命感扶正压邪、延纳人才、改造荒山、发展生产,给红星群众留下了永远难忘的回忆。一提起当年的情景,想到他对红星人民和那里一草一木的深切关怀,想到他那体现党的优良传统和作风的崇高节操,那里的人们便会从心底里涌出无限崇敬和感激之情。