公民社会参与区域治理:一种双向进程——兼与汪伟全先生商榷

区域治理与公民社会既相互制约,又互为促进,构成一种双向进程。一方面,区域治理功能的整合提升,是以满足公民社会多元化与多样化的需求为基本前提;另一方面,公民社会自主化的发展,形成了对区域治理中公权力的分割与制衡。为优化区域治理中的公民社会的发展环境,需要处理好两个方面深层次的法律运作关系,即区域法律协调机制与公民社会利益代表机制。     

突发事件应急决策生成机理:环节、要素及序列加工

面对突发公共事件时,在时间紧迫、资源受限、信息不对称、目标冲突为突出特征的应急决策情境下,通过情景表征、风险认知、经验提取、信息参照、研判互动、政治考量、策略生成和风险选择八个环节及应急决策者、决策情境、算法规则和启发策略四个要素的序列心理加工而生成应急决策的基本规律,构建应急决策生成机理的“天秤模型”.     

A NEW DAWN FOR DEMOCRACY

The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) concluded its seventh election of the Legislative Council (LegCo) on December 20. Ninety elected lawmakers from a total of 153 candidates, with different backgrounds and across the political spectrum, make up the first legislature established since the region's electoral system was improved in March. The election is considered momentous in the development of democracy with Hong Kong characteristics. Under the Basic Law of the Hong Kong SAR, the main functions of the LegCo are to enact laws, examine and approve budgets, taxation and public expenditure, and monitor the work of the government. It also has the power to endorse the appointment and removal of the judges of the Court of Final Appeal and the chief judge of the High Court.     

社会治安综合治理定义探析

社会治安综合治理一词,在中国共产党各级机关和中国各级政府文件中经常出现,已经成为时下中国社会热词之一。同时,社会治安综合治理,也是中国共产党和中国政府的一项重要社会政策和努力建设的社会管理工程。然而,长期以来,对于社会治安综合治理一词的内涵,人们却存在着相互差别很大的理解。这种状况不仅影响了学术界对社会治安综合治理制度进行研究探讨时的交流,更为严重的是,必然影响到对有关政策文件精神的领会和贯彻,从而影响社会治安综合治理系统工程的建设效果。在总结、评述目前各种对社会治安综合治理一词定义的基础上,给出了自己对社会治安综合治理一词的定义,即社会治安综合治理,是指在社会公众参与下,各级党和政府部门为维护社会政治稳定协调行动,运用各种合法有效措施防治严重治安违法行为和刑事犯罪活动的一项社会管理系统工程。     

A Comparison of Logistic Regression,Classification and Regression Tree,and Neural Networks Models in Predicting Violent Re-Offending

Previous studies that have compared logistic regression (LR), classification and regression tree (CART), and neural networks (NNs) models for their predictive validity have shown inconsistent results in demonstrating superiority of any one model. The three models were tested in a prospective sample of 1225 UK male prisoners followed up for a mean of 3.31 years after release. Items in a widely-used risk assessment instrument (the Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20, or HCR-20) were used as predictors and violent reconvictions as outcome. Multi-validation procedure was used to reduce sampling error in reporting the predictive accuracy. The low base rate was controlled by using different measures in the three models to minimize prediction error and achieve a more balanced classification. Overall accuracy of the three models varied between 0.59 and 0.67, with an overall AUC range of 0.65–0.72. Although the performance of NNs was slightly better than that of LR and CART models, it did not demonstrate a significant improvement.     

海外新生代工作创新研究——以浙江省青田县为例

海外华侨华人是我国极其宝贵的人才宝库.近年来,海外华侨华人新生代群体正在日益壮大,影响广泛.正确看待和重视这个群体,推进海外华侨华人新生代工作的创新研究,具有十分重要的意义.文章以“侨乡”浙江青田县为研究样本,对华侨新生代的现代特性等方面进行剖析,结合共青团的工作内容进行探讨,提出—些可行性建议.     

“两项实践活动”的理论依据与现实意义

＂两项实践活动＂是本届重庆市政协一张闪光的名片。本文在对＂两项实践活动＂内涵特质分析的基础上,提出了＂两项实践活动＂的理论依据,那就是：马克思主义的实践观和群众观,以及中共中央文件和领导人的讲话;＂两项实践活动＂的开展,既有利于更好推进和谐与发展两大社会主题,也有助于深化人民政协功能并更好地体现人民政协的价值,还有助于继承和发扬＂三不朽＂文化传统。     

民事诉讼生成权利规制探析——以“人脸识别第一案”为切入点

2019年11月1日,媒体称之为"中国人脸识别第一案"的浙江杭州理工大学副教授郭兵起诉杭州野生动物世界案,正式在杭州市富阳区人民法院立案。近两年来新兴案件如"代孕子女监护权案""冷冻胚胎案"频发,社会对司法的期待很高,民事诉讼对于新兴权利的权利诉求要做出回应,而如何回应及回应的限度就涉及到对法官裁判的规制上面。从程序法角度理解的规制,是由程序启动时的起诉受理、经由程序续行的审理过程、至判决达成三维角度对通过诉讼生成权利进行的规制。     

司法运作中未成年人犯罪预防探析

近年来未成年人犯罪率不降反增的现象仍然困扰着世界各国。在法律的直接作用面临缺位或者虚伪的时候,将犯罪预防理念提前到案件受理和侦查起诉阶段,对非犯罪性行为、虞犯行为与犯罪行为进行合理的区分以及执行期间和刑满释放的特殊干预,可以实现未成年人犯罪的有效预防。因此,未成年人的犯罪预防理念应被纳入到司法运作过程中的各个阶段。     

An Empirical Investigation of Factors Contributing to Item Nonresponse in Self-Reported Bullying Instruments

ABSTRACT

Researchers often use self-reported instruments to collect data from students when investigating the causes and effects of bullying. When completing the instrument, students may skip items despite anonymous data collection. To interpret data accurately, researchers must identify the causes of nonresponse. This study examined the impact of item (types of bullying and position) and student (sex and grade level) factors on nonresponse in bullying items. The sample included 10,681 students from grades 8, 9, and 11 who skipped at least one bullying item in the Minnesota Student Survey. Results showed that students were more likely to skip the items presented toward the end of the survey. The type of bullying had no impact on nonresponse. Male students and students at higher grade levels were more likely to skip the items. To alleviate the nonresponse issue, researchers are recommended to consider both survey length and student factors when administering bullying instruments.