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ALI BAYRAMOGLU ORHAN PAMUK YUSUF MUFTUOGLU JOSCHKA FISCHER AYAAN HIRSI ALI AMARTYA SEN RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN MOHAMAD MAHATHIR BERNARD LEWIS JACQUES ATTALI ANTHONY GIDDENS BENAZIR BHUTTO SHIRIN EBADI NADINE GORDIMER ALAIN DE BOTTON GOLI TARAGHI TATIANA TOLSTAYA ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER PAUL WOLFOWITZ GEORGE OLAH 《新观察季刊》2008,25(1):82-85
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GENERAL DETERRENCE THROUGH CIVILIAN GUN OWNERSHIP: AN EVALUATION OF THE QUASI-EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE*
It has often been argued that civilian firearm ownership acts as a deterrent to crime. Much of the support for this claim is based on incidents that have called attention to the prevalence of privately owned guns. We examined several such incidents and failed to and persuasive evidence of a deterrent effect. 相似文献
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ALAN FINLAYSON 《The Political quarterly》2010,81(Z1):S165-S176
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This paper examines the relationship between a mother's age at first childbirth and the delinquent behavior of her children. Using data from the Rochester Youth Development Study (RYDS), an ongoing longitudinal study of adolescent development, we found that children born to mothers who began childbearing at a young age were more prone to general delinquency, violence, and arrest than were children born to mothers who began childbearing when they were older. This “early first‐birth effect” was far larger in white and Hispanic families than in African‐American families. Mediating analyses found that the early first‐birth effect was most attributable to the unstable composition of families in which early childbearing occurs. That said, a substantial portion of the effect remains unmediated. 相似文献
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We propose a latent trait model that simultaneously accounts for both participation in crime and the frequency of crimes, phenomena that the criminal career model attributes to different causal processes. The criminal career model is predicated on a categorical distinction between active offenders and nonoffenders, but the latent trait model assumes a continuous distribution of propensity to offend. Our specific statistical model relates a relatively stable and general latent propensity to engage in crime to the frequency of criminal behavior. The latent trait model successfully fit both the proportion of offenders (participation) and frequency of offending for several samples and several measures of offending. The model fit both samples of whites and nonwhites and both males and females. This shows that separate causal processes are not necessary to account for group differences in frequency and in participation, which disproves the major evidence in favor of the criminal career model. Finally, the latent trait model yielded evidence that disparate sex differences in rates of participation for different categories of offenses are consistent with a single difference on a latent trait. This demonstrates the latent trait model's potential for parsimoniously unifying knowledge about criminal careers. 相似文献