Predicting Initiator and Near Repeat Events in Spatiotemporal Crime Patterns: An Analysis of Residential Burglary and Motor Vehicle Theft

Near repeat analysis has been increasingly used to measure the spatiotemporal clustering of crime in contemporary criminology. Despite its predictive capacity, the typically short time frame of near repeat crime patterns can negatively affect the crime prevention utility of near repeat analysis. Thus, recent research has argued for a greater understanding of the types of places that are most likely to generate near repeat crime patterns. The current study contributes to the literature through a spatiotemporal analysis of residential burglary and motor vehicle theft in Indianapolis, IN. Near Repeat analyses were followed by multinomial logistic regression models to identify covariates related to the occurrence of initiator (the first event in a near repeat chain) and near repeat (the subsequent event in a near repeat chain) events. The overall findings provide additional support for the argument that neighborhood context can influence the formation and context of spatiotemporal crime patterns.     

Effectiveness of hotline, advocacy, counseling, and shelter services for victims of domestic violence: a statewide evaluation

The authors report the results of an evaluation of services provided by 54 Illinois domestic violence agencies. In collaboration with the University of Illinois at Chicago evaluation team, domestic violence advocates identified services to be evaluated, specified desired outcomes of those services, and participated in developing measures of those outcomes in both English and Spanish. With in the limitations of the study, outcomes were positive in all four program areas: hotline, counseling, advocacy, and shelter. The authors then discuss implications for evaluation of domestic violence programs that maintain victim safety as a guiding principle.     

A multiple drug fatality involving MK-801 (dizocilpine), a mimic of phencyclidine

MK-801 (dizocilpine) is a non-competitive antagonist at the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) family of glutamate receptors in the central nervous system. It is an anticonvulsant and also shares several pharmacological properties with phencyclidine and ketamine. It is not observed routinely as a substance of abuse. The deceased, a 45-year-old white male, obtained MK-801 surreptitiously in an attempt to treat a self-diagnosed depression. He was discovered the next morning, unresponsive on the bathroom floor. An empty bottle, labeled to contain 25mg of MK-801, was found near the body.The autopsy was performed at the Joseph A Jachimczyk Forensic Center, Houston, TX. Body weight at autopsy was 88kg. Lungs were edematous and congested (right: 775g; left 700g). The heart had proportionate chambers and was otherwise unremarkable. The kidneys (right: 220g; left 225g) were smooth surfaced. The brain (1550g) was congested and without trauma. Microscopic evaluation of the heart, kidneys and lungs showed normal histology and confirmed pulmonary congestion and edema. Samples of heart blood, liver, bile, vitreous humor, stomach contents and urine were collected at autopsy. There were 550ml of stomach contents.Drugs in blood were screened by EMIT II Plus immunoassay procedures and by gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS) of an organic solvent extract of basified blood. Alcohol was determined by gas chromatography with headspace injection. MK-801, benzodiazepines and alcohol were detected in blood.Amounts of MK-801 present in blood, bile, liver, vitreous humor and urine were 0.15, 0.29, 0.92, less than 0.1 and 0.36 mg/l (kg), respectively.The cause of death was benzodiazepine, dizocilpine and ethanol toxicity and the manner accidental.     

The distribution of controlled drugs on banknotes via counting machines

Bundles of paper, similar to sterling banknotes, were counted in banks in England and Wales. Subsequent analysis showed that the counting process, both by machine and by hand, transferred nanogram amounts of cocaine to the paper. Crystalline material, similar to cocaine hydrochloride, could be observed on the surface of the paper following counting. The geographical distribution of contamination broadly followed Government statistics for cocaine usage within the UK. Diacetylmorphine, Delta(9)-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) and 3,4-methylenedioxymethylamphetamine (MDMA) were not detected during this study.     

Validation of the AmpFlSTR Profiler Plus PCR amplification kit for use in forensic casework

According to TWGDAM guideline 4.5 (1), prior to implementing a new DNA analysis procedure or an existing DNA analysis procedure developed by another laboratory, the forensic laboratory must first demonstrate reliability of the procedure in-house. Seven phases were designed to validate the use of the AmpFlSTR Profiler Plus PCR Amplification Kit, as well as the PE Applied Biosystems 310 Genetic Analyzer. This report summarizes the results obtained for each of the seven phases of the validation study which included the following evaluations: polymer, reproducibility, sensitivity, stutter, precision, mixtures and nonprobative casework.     

Beliefs and errors in voting choices: A restatement of the theory of fiscal illusion

This paper reformulates the theory of fiscal illusion to make it more compatible with the median-voter model of collective choice. It emphasizes the requirement that misperceptions about marginal tax-costs and benefits must be permanent to have any significant effect on the level of public expenditures. The Lancaster-Becker model of consumer demand is then used to demonstrate the peculiar effects of permanent misperceptions on consumer demand. It can be shown, for example, that other things being the same, a Republican who underestimates continuously the marginal benefits of public activities may demand more public goods than a Democrat who overestimates those same benefits in a permanent fashion.     

Linguistic and socioemotional influences on the accuracy of children's reports

A basic but largely neglected issue in research on the reliability of children's testimony is the impact of certain questioning tactics (e.g., use of legalese and socioemotional intimidation) on the accuracy of children's reports. In the present study, 5- to 7-year-old children were interviewed about a standardized play event with free-recall cues and detailed questions that were specific or misleading. Linguistic complexity of questions (complex or simple) and socioemotional context of interview (supportive or intimidating) were varied between subjects. Results indicated that children were significantly less accurate in reporting the event when questioned with complex, developmentally inappropriate questions rather than simple questions, yet children rarely voiced their comprehension failures. In addition, children interviewed by a warm, supportive interviewer were more resistant to misleading questions about the event than were children interviewed in an intimidating manner. Theoretical interpretations and implications for investigative interviewing and policy are discussed.