Using Social Media to Measure Temporal Ambient Population: Does it Help Explain Local Crime Rates?

A challenge for studies assessing routine activities theory is accounting for the spatial and temporal confluence of offenders and targets given that people move about during the daytime and nighttime. We propose exploiting social media (Twitter) data to construct estimates of the population at various locations at different times of day, and assess whether these estimates help predict the amount of crime during two-hour time periods over the course of the day. We address these questions using crime data for 97,428 blocks in the Southern California region, along with geocoded information on tweets in the region over an eight month period. The results show that this measure of the temporal ambient population helps explain the level of crime in blocks during particular time periods. The use of social media data appear promising for testing various implications of routine activities and crime pattern theories, given their explicit spatial and temporal nature.     

The Populist Marketplace: Unpacking the Role of “Thin” and “Thick” Ideology

Political Behavior - A growing body of work adopts a “thin” ideology conception of populism, which attributes populist parties’ electoral success to anti-elite and people-centric...     

Dramatising intelligence history on the BBC: the Camp 020 affair

This article considers an episode of the television drama-documentary series Spy!, broadcast on the British Broadcasting Corporation in 1980. The programme proved controversial owing to its depiction of a physical assault during interrogation at an MI5 facility, Camp 020, during the Second World War. Numerous 020 veterans complained, pointing out that, with one exception, such physical violence had never taken place there. As their complaints were largely made in private correspondence with the BBC, which stood by its programme, the association of wartime British intelligence with physical abuse was allowed to go unchallenged in the minds of the viewing public.     

Utility of Postmortem Vitreous Beta-Hydroxybutyrate Testing for Distinguishing Sudden from Prolonged Deaths and for Diagnosing Ketoacidosis

A retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of vitreous beta-hydroxybutyrate (BHB) on 967 forensic cases over a two-year period was conducted. Cases were sorted into six categories of death: (i) sudden traumatic/non-natural (ST), (ii) sudden natural (SN), (iii) prolonged traumatic/non-natural (PT), (iv) prolonged natural (PN), (v) diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), and (vi) alcoholic ketoacidosis (AKA). The mean BHB for all cases was 1.67 mmol/L (17.4 mg/dL; range: 0.11–18.02 mmol/L). The numbers of DKA, AKA, PN, PT, SN, and ST deaths were 21, 5, 155, 258, 275, and 253, respectively. Their mean vitreous BHBs were as follows: 11.04 mmol/L (DKA), 8.88 mmol/L (AKA), 1.56 mmol/L (PN), 1.55 mmol/L (PT), 1.26 mmol/L (SN), and 1.38 mmol/L (ST). There was a statistically significant difference between the mean BHBs of the PN and SN death groups (p < 0.001), as well as between those of the PT and ST death groups (p = 0.004). Given the overlapping ranges seen between the prolonged and sudden death groups, the identified differences did not hold clinical significance. In addition, we sought to determine a threshold value for vitreous BHB to definitely diagnose cases of ketoacidosis. BHB threshold concentrations between 2.5 and 5 mmol/L produced sensitivities >92% and specificities >96%. A receiver operator characteristic curve found 3.43 mmol/L to be the optimal cutoff value, demonstrating a specificity of 98.3% and a sensitivity of 96.2%.     

Pursuing Consilience: Using Behavioral Public Administration to Connect Research on Bureaucratic Red Tape,Administrative Burden,and Regulation

Behavioral public administration (BPA) research aspires not only to draw on developments in behavioral science but also, importantly, to address central themes in public administration. By focusing a symposium on bureaucratic red tape, administrative burden, and regulation, we encouraged BPA scholarship to engage with fundamental public administration topics that are also relevant for the broader literature on organizations and management. Indeed, the symposium contributions demonstrate how BPA can better meld the behavioral science and public administration literatures. They expand on existing conceptions of BPA, with respect to both methodology and topical focus, and provide a basis for demarcating what might and might not be usefully described as BPA. The symposium contributions provide a blueprint for how BPA research might usefully evolve and the introduction offers a philosophical reflection on the future development of BPA and behavioral science.     

Institutional Models for Track Two Interventions

Conflict resolution as an academic field was built by pioneers like John Burton on the idea that conflict resolution academics must accomplish three basic interlocking tasks: conduct cutting‐edge research, educate students, and make a positive contribution to the real‐world work of practitioners engaged in resolving actual conflicts. Over time and as the field has grown, so have the demands to produce research deemed rigorous enough according to increasingly competitive and rigid traditional standards and so too have the demands of teaching growing numbers of students. Research and teaching commitments thus diminish the time and support available to engage in practice. In this article, I consider those pressures within universities and also consider the options available to conflict resolution scholar–practitioners outside the traditional university