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Thomas T. Holyoke Jeffrey R. Henig Heath Brown Natalie Lacireno-Paquet 《Policy Sciences》2009,42(1):33-55
Baumgartner and Jones (1993) showed how radically new policies emerge on government agendas as a consequence of exogenous shocks to policy subsystems displacing privileged interests. But how do these policies evolve post-punctuation? In this paper, we present three different models of policy change. Policies may revert to the old status quo if displaced interests re-assert themselves, or they may be “locked-in” by new interests now reaping the benefits. Alternatively, they may incrementally change as lawmakers “learn” how to better meet target population needs, particularly by witnessing how other jurisdictions address similar problems. We test these models with data on change in state charter schools laws over time. We find that whether old status quos are overthrow, and the fate of charter policies when they are enacted, is influenced more by competing political interests, especially interest groups, than elite and public perceptions of broad systemic crises. Yet, we also find that changing demands on the state and learning from the successes and failures of neighboring states also play significant roles. 相似文献
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Ana C. Brown Sharlene A. Wolchik Jenn-Yun Tein Irwin N. Sandler 《Journal of youth and adolescence》2007,36(7):927-938
Appraisals about the implications of stressful events that are evaluated as involving a threat to self (negative self-evaluation,
negative evaluation from others, rejection by others) have been shown to place youth at risk for the development of mental
health problems. This longitudinal study tested a protective-stabilizing interactive model, in which high maternal acceptance
was predicted to mitigate the prospective relation between threat to self appraisals and change in adolescents’ mental health
problems six months later. Participants were 89 adolescents from divorced families ages 10–12 and residential mothers. Adolescents
reported on threat to self appraisals from the most stressful event experienced in the past month. Mothers and youth reported
on maternal acceptance and mental health problems. Multiple regression analyses provided support for the protective effects
of maternal acceptance on adolescents’ mental health problems. Intervention implications are discussed.
Ana Brown is a pre-doctoral fellow in prevention research (NIMH 2 T32 MH18387–19) and doctoral student in the Department of
Psychology at Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ. Research interests include the study of children’s appraisals and responses
to stressful events in the prevention of mental health problems.
Sharlene Wolchik is a clinical psychologist and professor in the Department of Psychology at Arizona State University, Tempe,
AZ. Her research focuses on identifying risk and protective factors for children whose parents have divorced. She also has
designed and evaluated the efficacy of preventive interventions for children from divorced families and children who have
experienced parental bereavement.
Jenn-Yun Tein is a research associate professor and Co-Director of the Research Methodology Core of the Prevention Research
Center at Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ. Her research interests include analyses of mediation and moderation of preventive
interventions as well as applications of methodology and statistics in prevention research.
Irwin Sandler is a Regents’ Professor in the Department of Psychology and Director of the Prevention Research Center at Arizona
State University, Tempe, AZ. His research interests focus on understanding resilience for children exposed to stress and on
the development, evaluation and dissemination of programs to promote resilience and prevent mental health problems for children
in stress. 相似文献
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William O. Brown Jr. 《Public Choice》1996,86(3-4):247-256
This paper uses anecdotal evidence to identify a group of firms that had significant ties to President Lyndon Johnson and determines the effect of Johnson's unexpected rise to the Presidency on the market value of these firms. The unexpected nature of President Kennedy's death eliminates the confounding event problem typically associated with election results. We are able to identify four separate portfolios of firms that had political ties to Lyndon Johnson. Our research suggests that the market expected significant benefits to accrue to these firms as a result of Johnson's becoming President. When Catholic John Kennedy and Johnson were running together in 1960 a joke hop-scotched around the parties in Texas and Washington that Kennedy had told Johnson, “Lyndon, when we get elected I'm going to dig a tunnel to the Vatican,” and Lyndon had replied, “That's OK with me as long as Brown & Root gets the contract” (Dugger, 1982: 286). 相似文献
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It is often claimed that overlapping government activity inCanada's federal system causes significant government inefficiency.The three major studies on the subject have demonstrated theexistence of extensive overlap, but they resort to qualitativearguments and anecdotal evidence to conclude either that overlapcauses significant government inefficiency (the traditionalprovincial position) or that overlap is fairly well managed(the traditional federal position). Thus, the debate about overlapremains essentially a debate about federal and provincial power,not about efficiency. This is apparently unavoidable, due tothe difficulty of measuring the effect of overlap on efficiency. 相似文献
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