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Vladimir Putin has managed to achieve strikingly high public approval ratings throughout his time as president and prime minister of Russia. But is his popularity real, or are respondents lying to pollsters? We conducted a series of list experiments in early 2015 to estimate support for Putin while allowing respondents to maintain ambiguity about whether they personally do so. Our estimates suggest support for Putin of approximately 80%, which is within 10 percentage points of that implied by direct questioning. We find little evidence that these estimates are positively biased due to the presence of floor effects. In contrast, our analysis of placebo experiments suggests that there may be a small negative bias due to artificial deflation. We conclude that Putin’s approval ratings largely reflect the attitudes of Russian citizens. 相似文献
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Social Justice Research - Longevity bias is the tendency to assume that longstanding states of the world are better and more right than their more recent (but otherwise identical) counterparts. In... 相似文献
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Research Summary The U.S. Supreme Court in In re Gault granted delinquents the right to counsel in juvenile courts. Decades after Gault, efforts to provide adequate defense representation in juvenile courts have failed in most states. Moreover, juvenile justice administration varies with structural context and produces justice-by-geography. In 1995, Minnesota enacted juvenile law reforms, which include mandatory appointment of counsel. This pre- and post-reform legal impact study compares how juvenile courts processed youths before and after the statutory changes. We assess how legal changes affected the delivery of defense services and how implementation varied with urban, suburban, and rural context. Policy Implications We report inconsistent judicial compliance with the mandate to appoint counsel. Despite unambiguous legislative intent, rates of representation improved for only one category of offenders. However, we find a positive reduction in justice by geography, especially in rural courts. Given judicial resistance to procedural reforms, states must find additional strategies to provide counsel in juvenile courts. 相似文献
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In Ameron Int'l Corp. v. Ins. Co. of Pennsylvania, the California Supreme Court issued its long-awaited reconsideration of Foster-Gardner v. National Union Fire Ins. Co. which adopted the minority position that administrative notice letters are not “suits” that trigger a CGL insurer's duty to defend. In an important development for insurers and policyholders alike, Ameron limited Foster-Gardner, holding that an administrative process that resembles a court proceeding is a “suit” insurers must defend. This article surveys the majority rule, Ameron, and Ameron's possible impact in minority rule jurisdictions with Foster-Gardner-like precedent. 相似文献
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Scott A. Bonn 《Critical Criminology》2011,19(3):227-249
Critics argue that the G.W. Bush administration deliberately misled the U.S. public about an Iraqi threat after 9/11 but empirical
evidence that presidential deception influenced public support for war has been lacking. An examination of presidential rhetoric
concerning Iraq in the U.S. media revealed that it changed in tone after 9/11, consistent with moral panic processes. Logistic
regression analysis of public opinion leading up to the war revealed that shifts in support for invasion directly mirrored
presidential rhetoric. The findings of this study suggest that the Bush administration engineered a moral panic over Iraq
with the support of the media. 相似文献
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Few studies have examined how school characteristics are associated with obesity. The purpose of this study was to examine
the student- and school-level characteristics associated with being overweight and obese among 12,049 students in grades 9
and 10 (junior students) attending 76 secondary schools in Ontario, Canada. The sample was 49.2% female and the average age was 14.7 years. Overall,
15.0% of the sample was considered overweight and 6.3% of the sample was considered obese. Multi-level regression analysis
revealed significant between-school random variation for the likelihood of a junior student (grade 9 or 10) being overweight
or obese. For each 1% increase in the prevalence of obese senior students (grade 11 and 12) at a school, the odds of a junior
student at that school being overweight or obese increased significantly. Important student-level characteristics included
physical activity, screen time sedentary behaviour (e.g., watching television), participation in varsity sports and gender.
Future research should evaluate if the optimal population level impact for school-based obesity prevention programming might
be achieved by targeting the schools that are putting students at the greatest risk. 相似文献