Nonseparable Preferences, Measurement Error, and Unstable Survey Responses

A person has nonseparable preferences when her preference onan issue depends on the outcome of other issues. A model ofsurvey responses in which preferences are measured with errorimplies that responses will change depending on the order ofquestions and vary over time when respondents have nonseparablepreferences. Results from two survey experiments confirm thatchanges in survey responses due to question order are explainedby nonseparable preferences but not by the respondent's levelof political information, partisanship, or ideology.     

Inter-observer error for area of origin analysis using FARO Zone 3D

In a bloodletting incident, the area of origin (AO) of an impact bloodstain pattern is crucial when establishing the sequence of events. The use of laser scanners and other three-dimensional (3D) technologies to document and analyse bloodstains have been the subject of previous papers, especially where AO analysis is concerned. FARO Zone 3D (FZ3D) is a relatively new software programme that can be used for bloodstain AO analysis. FZ3D requires a greater understanding of inter-observer errors associated with AO. This study looked at the inter-observer variation between 21 examiners when repeatedly calculating the AO six times for a single impact pattern on a plain white wall. An impact rig which consisted of a spring tension arm was positioned and fixed 45 cm from the X wall (right wall), and 45 cm from the Y wall (left wall). This experimental design resembles an impact blow for a bloodletting event. The AO was unknown to all examiners, making it a blind study. The collected results were documented in a Microsoft Excel datasheet and later analysed. From previous literature, a 30 cm acceptable allowance was utilised for AO analysis; however, there is currently no accepted standard error for this type of analysis. The overall total 3D mean error for all examiners was 5.62 cm. The maximum error for any one impact analysis was 24.27 cm. The variation of the data, which was collected by all examiners, was documented as X = 1.14 cm, Y = 1.24 cm, Z = 1.68 cm, and the total 3D error = 2.28 cm. The total 3D error for any one examiner and the variance between examiners did not exceed the 30 cm acceptable allowance utilised in previous literature.     

文化创意产业集聚区的管理模式分析

在中国,文化创意产业集聚区大量涌现,但由于认识和经验的不到位,文化创意产业集聚区出现了显著的管理与运营问题。本文依据文化创意产业集聚区的形成机制和管理主体的差异,分析了集聚区的基本类型,探讨了不同类型文化创意产业集聚区的运营与管理模式。     

我国第三方政府绩效评价组织的自律实现问题探析

政府绩效评价作为一种评价和改进政府绩效的实用工具,已经被广泛地应用于当今世界各国政府治理实践中。经过长期的探索与实践,目前已形成了多种评价模式,其中第三方评价依靠其自身人才、理论和技术方面的优势,在政府绩效评价中占据极其重要的地位。本文主要针对我国第三方政府绩效评价起步较晚以及缺乏相关评价机制的现状,从组织自律的相关概念出发,提出了在构建责任和效能政府过程中,如何发挥我国第三方政府绩效评价组织自律机制作用的设想。     

政府公信力的信息互动选择机理探究

政府公信力事关政府存亡,是提高政府工作效能的重要保障。当前政府绩效提升与公信度不一定呈正向演进趋势,其中政府、媒体、公众三者对于政务信息的选择性接受和传播造成的沟通变异是其重要根源之一。为了提升政府公信力,本文在借鉴国内外相关理论研究的基础上,剖析了政府公信力的GMP信息选择机理,并运用此机理对政府公信力流失的过程进行了研究和探索,同时提出了相关对策建议。     

论中国核战略的演进与构成

中国核战略有两个基本出发点,即中国国家安全和人道主义。中国核战略具有很强的连续性,同时又根据国内外情况的变化有所调整,经历了一个从反核讹诈战略逐步演变到最低核威慑战略的进程。与其他核武器国家的核战略相似,中国的核战略也由五个具体政策构成:声明政策、发展政策、部署政策、使用政策、核裁军政策。由于具体情况和战略文化的不同,中国的核战略又具有自己的特色。     

县政改革:中国改革下一步的关键点

县政改革已经成为学术和媒介场域的公共话语。本文从话语分析的视角,考察了县政改革话语的由来以及学术场域关于县政改革的话语生产的逻辑。在此基础上,通过对近几年现实层面县域群体性事件所暴露的县域治理危机以及县域治理实践的分析,提出县域治理改革是中国改革下一步的关键点,而官民关系的重构是县政改革的核心。     

我国食品公共安全规制体系的政策取向

食品公共安全规制体系包括四个基本要素:规制主体、规制客体、规制工具和规制目标。本文基于确保公众身体健康和生命安全的规制目标,分析了我国食品公共安全规制其他三个基本要素各自的现状及问题,提出了完善我国食品公共安全规制体系的政策取向:一是加强规制主体之间的协调,克服规制失灵;二是强化对规制客体的规制,克服市场失灵;三是设计和优化规制工具组合,提高规制效率。     

The Issue of China＇ s Land ＆ Sea Frontiers and the Proper Response

China is located at the eastern end of Eurasia and on the western side of the Pacific.Since ancient times,China has had both land and sea territory.In addition,China has common land or sea borders with many neighboring countries.So China has always regarded her land and