How Many Seats in Congress Is Control of Redistricting Worth?

How large a benefit is partisan control of the redistricting process? Do legal constraints on redistricting—such as the preclearance requirement of the Voting Rights Act—alter this benefit? Are institutions designed to reduce the benefit to partisan control—such as redistricting commissions—effective? To measure the effects of partisan districting on the electoral fortunes of the parties, we collect data on the partisan composition of state government, House election outcomes, and moderating institutions over an 80-year period. Our results suggest that over time, both parties have benefited from unified control, with the effects largest in states where voters were evenly divided among the parties and smallest in states where the controlling party had a large advantage in the electorate. The effects have changed over time, with both parties having equally benefited from control during the middle of the 20th century, the benefit largely disappearing in the late part of the century, and the Republican Party seeing a moderate advantage from control in the current century. The benefits of partisan control were not diminished in states with redistricting commissions. The preclearance requirement appears to have hurt the Democratic Party except when its vote share was very low. The aggregate effects of partisan redistricting are moderate in magnitude—in the modern period, this effect has typically been less than 10 House seats, with the last election where control of the House would have flipped in expectation occurring in 1954.     

上海大型居住社区高质量发展的理论分析与政策探讨——基于上海市五个大型居住社区的经验调查

本文基于上海市五个大型居住社区(以下简称"大居")的问卷调查与实地走访,梳理了上海"大居"现有就业机会、服务资源的配置情况以及居民需求状况。调查显示,上海"大居"在社区商业设施配套、公共交通设施、文体娱乐活动、物业管理服务以及教育资源等公共服务配套方面仍存在供需失衡问题,尚不能满足居民更高层次的需求。因而,要通过加快优质公共服务资源的导入,扭转"大居"弱势群体集聚的薄弱态势,推动人口结构优化,带动市场化资源的注入,培育"大居"社区内生增长动力,将"大居"建成多阶层、多群体共荣共享的高品质社区。     

Why Do Firms Obey?: the State of Regulatory Compliance Research in China

Journal of Chinese Political Science - Enforcement and compliance is a classic issue of concern in regulation literature. Despite a vast literature on regulatory agencies, compliance behavior of...     

The Attitudes of the Chinese Middle Class Towards Democracy

Little has been done to quantitatively establish the connection between the middle class and a specific regime type. In an effort to fill in the gap, this study uses Asian Barometer survey dataset to examine the attitudes and orientation of China’s rising middle class. We find that the Chinese middle class does show higher democratic orientation than those we categorize as lower class, but only if class is defined by occupation or by self-identification, and not by income level. We interpret this result to mean that economic development offers new life experiences with the creation of new types of professions and enhances people’s agreement with modern democratic values by arousing people’s consciousness of their new social class status.

谈团干部的修养

共青团是党的助手和后备军,团干部是共青团事业的承担者.团干部作为党的干部队伍中最年轻的成员,要真正成为一个党放心、群众满意的好干部,加强各方面锻炼和修养是非常必要的.只有加强学习和实践锻炼,提高各方面修养和能力,才能不负党的重托和群众的期望.     

论先秦人文思潮及其深远影响

中华民族是一个富有人文智慧的民族,早在春秋战国之际的百家争鸣时期,就掀起了中国历史上第一次波澜壮阔的人文思潮。"人文"这个概念,最早见于《周易.贲卦.彖传》,其基本含义,指的是围绕对"人"的关爱所创造出的思想观念。在第一次人文思潮中,先秦诸子的人文创造,对我们民族的文明进步,产生过极其深远的影响。尔后,历代思想家都站在自己所处的时代高度,从不同侧面丰富和发展了先秦诸子的人文理念。今天,回顾总结我国古代的人文传统,发掘其优秀成果,对于借鉴历史、服务现实、培养社会主义新人,都有不可低估的积极意义。     

危机不仅仅是经济的,也是社会的和观念的——解读20世纪二三十年代的美国大萧条与罗斯福新政

当今的全球经济危机类似于1929年开始的大萧条.反观那段历史及随后的罗斯福新政,会发现大萧条绝非一个单纯的经济危机,它更是一种观念的危机和一种对"新自由主义"、"社会达尔文主义"的修正.然而,时隔大半个世纪,自由放任主义的政治哲学以各种伪装之态重卷美国乃至整个西方世界,并伴随全球化越演越烈,让东方之国的我们也无法幸免于其所酿的经济危机的冲击.对这场经济危机作系统的、历史的回顾和社会的、观念的反思,正当其时.     

现代公民意识的觉醒:北京市公民的政治价值观报告

就政治价值观的现代程度而言,北京市公民已经做好了接受现代民主政治模式的准备.而且,在北京市公民的政治价值观的分析中,我们发现了明显的转型,即现代公民意识逐渐显现.在北京市公民的政治价值观中,传统与现代意识正在进行着一场交接,而现代的公民意识已经占据了上风.     

国企改制过程中及国有控股参股公司中职务犯罪的法律适用问题

从2000年起到现在,我国国企改制工作不断加快,随着国企改制后经济效益的显著提升,一些国企改制过程中或国有控股、参股公司中的职务犯罪便成了高发区。本文通过对这一问题的法律适用问题研究,旨在加强国有资产保护,维护公平正义,促进社会和谐稳定。     

关于搞好行政执法与刑事司法衔接的刍议

加强行政执法与刑事司法衔接的法律监督,是检察机关法律监督职责的重要方面,构建这方面的监督机制,是新时期保民生、保稳定、保发展,学习实践科学发展观的要求,也是法律监督发展的必然要求。为此,要加强监督、转变观念、摆正行政执法与刑事司法的关系,建立监督机制,形成执法监督合力。