俄罗斯经济增长因素实证分析

俄罗斯建国十多年以来,纵观其各年GDP增长,1995年经济开始有了起色,虽然1997、1998年受到金融危机的影响GDP有所下降,但是危机过后到现在,一直保持增长趋势。经验认为,俄罗斯经济增长与其能源出口、制度改革、居民消费、汇率贬值和稳定的政治局势有很大关系,通过建立多元回归模型,对影响俄罗斯经济增长的主要因素进行实证分析,来验证学术界存在的观点,并根据结论提出保持经济稳定性增长的对策。     

借俄罗斯经济复苏契机振兴东北老工业基地

近年来,俄罗斯经济持续增长,呈现出明显的经济复苏的新气象,过度依赖自然资源的经济增长模式正在改变,吸引外资力度在不断增大,这一切对东北老工业基地的振兴产生巨大的影响。尤其是俄东部大开发和大型基础设施的建设,更是直接给东北振兴带来了新的机遇。东北地区应借助这一有利时机,发挥自身优势,确定“桥头堡”战略,把东北建设成为对俄产业链条的核心、贸易基地、经贸活动的咨询中介中心,推动东北老工业基地的振兴。     

“钓鱼式执法”的法学思考

行政执法不仅需要事实正义。也需要程序正义。“钓鱼式执法”．这一典型的“请君入瓮”式“执法”无论是在事实正义上，还是在程序正义上都无疑是不成立的。其违法性不言自明。但其长期存在，即使曾有过血的教训，却依然禁而不绝，这固然有其人为因素在作祟，但根本在于具体体制上的不足：执罚经济、指标体制以及行政监督的不力等。因此，解决途径上的选择当属对催生“钓鱼式执法”的体制上的原因进行修正。铲除其赖以生存的土壤。     

美国经济趋缓对东南亚国家经济的影响

美国经济增长放缓和美元的持续贬值正冲击着东南亚国家经济的稳定发展.尤其是美国对东南亚国家出口产品的需求萎缩影响这些国家的出口和经济增长,这些国家货币升值直接影响到出口产品的国际竞争力,国际能源价格不断上涨也使东南亚石油进口国财政负担进一步加重.然而,东南亚国家正采取一系列措施应对不利的外部经济形势.由于这些国家经济基本面还比较好,对外经济关系的多边化已取得明显进展,对美国的依赖程度较过去减小.只要美国的经济困难没有演变成全球性的经济衰退,东南亚国家通过积极的财政政策,扩大国内消费和投资,是能够克服目前所面临的困难的.     

近代早期中国江南地区在世界经济中的双重作用

本文探讨近代早期中国经济核心区——江南地区在世界经济中的双重作用,得出江南地区既促进世界经济体形成与发展但又阻碍了中国经济社会向资本主义方向发展的结论。     

济南城市文化产业发展分析

济南是一个具有五千年文明历史的古城,作为经济和文化大省——山东的省会城市,具有文化发展的独特优势。济南城市文化的发展应该在政府支持下创新机制,把文化资源保护和开放相结合。     

论节约型政府建设

建设节约型政府体现了现代公共行政的价值取向,是建设节约型社会的关键。其根本目标就是要建设一个低价、高效、公平的政府。     

Context matters: Economics,politics and satisfaction with democracy

Economic and political considerations are important in determining citizens' level of satisfaction with their democratic system, but research analyzing which criteria prevail in which contexts is still limited. We examine under what conditions citizens chiefly rely on economic or political considerations in assessing their level of satisfaction with democracy. Using the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems dataset covering 72 elections in 45 unique countries (1996–2016), we show that the relative weight of economic and political criteria in citizens' evaluation of their democratic regime is a function of their nation's affluence. On the one hand, citizens in poorer countries mostly rely on the economy to assess their level of satisfaction with democracy. On the other hand, political considerations are crucial in citizens' evaluations of richer societies. Our results entail strong implications to understand why citizens' recipes for satisfaction for democracy vary across time and space.     

AN ANALYSIS OF THE CONFLICT IN THE FERGHANA VALLEY

The Ferghana valley which is an ethnically and culturally complex region divided among three Central Asian Republics of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, witnessed a number of problems ranging from inter- ethnic tensions to border incursions; from security related complications to a number of socio- economic difficulties in the recent years. Moreover, it is also the most densely populated areas in Central Asia. Though sometimes the threat of religious extremism and intolerance in the Ferghana valley has been exaggerated yet it is difficult to completely deny their presence in the region and the obvious threat it has been posing for the entire Central Asia in future. The artificial delineation of border in the Ferghana valley which was finalized during the soviet era can be considered as one of the principle reasons behind the occurrences of various conflicts in the valley especially after the disintegration of the Soviet Union. Similarly, economy also plays a pivotal role in accentuating the conflict in the region as it is found that the root cause of majority of the conflicts prevalent in the region are regarding the domination of a particular ethnic group on the economic resources of that very area. However, the rivalry between the elites of the three republics and their struggle for power also play a prominent role in the disturbances that has been taking place in Ferghana valley as the elites of the valley do not want to lose their predominant position in the newly formed political establishments of their respective republics.     

明末清初的平和窑青花瓷绘艺术初探

明末清初的平和窑青花瓷绘艺术，是当时那个历史时期所产生的艺术现象，它们的出现主宰着当时陶瓷装饰的流行走向，在装饰风格上存在着重所描绘物象的精神实质，重作者主观感兴的抒发，重意念的表现，因而较多地采用减笔画法。对于这种减笔画法，我们不能简单地把它理解为单纯的“形式”问题。当我们谈及明末清初的平和窑青花瓷绘艺术的时候，应该把它们看作是那个历史时期多种因素制约下的精神物化现象，并从中探究其风格的本质意义。