越南与俄罗斯经贸合作发展的历程、现状与趋势

1991年底,苏联解体,越南与俄罗斯的关系进入新的历史时期。20年来,两国经贸合作取得了令人瞩目的成效,双边贸易迅猛增长,合作领域不断拓宽,合作层次不断提升。2001年,越南与俄罗斯宣布建立战略合作伙伴关系,随着两国成功加入世界贸易组织,在WTO框架体系下,未来双边经贸合作具有广阔的发展前景。     

《中国—东盟全面经济合作框架协议》签署以来广西与东盟经贸合作分析

2002年11月4日,中国与东盟签署《中国—东盟全面经济合作框架协议》,标志着中国与东盟的经贸合作进入了一个新的历史阶段。10年来,广西凭借区位优势,与东盟各国在各领域都开展积极的合作,尤其是在经贸领域,无论是货物贸易、服务贸易还是投资合作都取得了可喜的成绩。今年是《中国—东盟全面经济合作框架协议》签署10周年,本文重点分析《中国—东盟全面经济合作框架协议》签署以来,广西与东盟经贸合作的成绩、特点和存在的问题,并在此基础上具有针对性地提出相应对策。     

Measuring the Intensity of Intranational Political Events Data: Two Interval-Like Scales

King, Keohane, and Verba (1994, pp. 27-28) argue that we should "maximize the validity of our measurement," "ensure that data-collection methods are reliable," and make all data and analysis replicable. In an effort to improve the measurement of the events data collected by the Intranational Political Interactions (IPI) project, this extension of the project produces two new valid and reliable interval-like scales. Following Azar (1982), Goldstein (1992), and Moore and Lindstrom (1996), I produce interval-like scales of cooperative and hostile political actions based on a group of experts' judgements. The collective scaling procedure produces data suitable for use in OLS regression models as well as a standardized interval-like scale that more accurately represents the true scores of event types. The paper discusses the procedures taken to derive the new measures, proceeds to argue why the new measures are improvements over existing measures, and reports the findings of statistical analytic comparisons. The statistical comparisons demonstrate that the new scales make a difference in various statistical models using different temporal units of aggregation.     

Organized transnational crime in the Black Sea Region: a geopolitical dilemma?

States are unique and individual entities. However, geographic proximity, a common history and fate may cause existential threats to have common causes and solutions. To understand how, and why, states experience transnational organized crime as a national security threat differently, it is necessary to learn about the states and the culture of organized crime in the geographic region in which they are embedded. The objective here is to present the Post-Soviet Political Criminal Nexus as a part of the identity of Newly Independent States in the Black Sea Region (Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine) which poses an international security threat and impedes democratic development.

腐败犯罪的法律控制与国际刑法的演进——以《联合国反腐败公约》为视角

《联合国反腐败公约》是国际社会控制腐败犯罪最重要的国际刑法公约。该公约在国际层面明确了腐败犯罪的定罪范围,扩大了腐败犯罪的主体,发展了国际刑法中犯罪构成理论,首创了腐败资产必须返回机制,突破了双重犯罪原则和政治犯罪不引渡原则,拓展了国际刑事合作领域。     

扫描电镜/能谱法对92式手枪射击残留物检出率与遗留时间相关性的研究

目的研究92式手枪射击残留物检出率与遗留时间的相关性,为射击时间的推断提供依据。方法实验人员使用92式手枪分别射击1枪和3枪,射击后分别在0.5h内,24h,48h,72h,120h,168h,对实验人员的手部及衣袖袖口处进行射击残留物的提取,利用扫描电镜和能谱仪对射击残留物进行检验。结果射击人的手部和衣袖会附着大量的射击残留物,随着时间的推移,手部的残留物数量急剧减少,24h（射击1枪）、72h（射击3枪）后不能检测到枪击残留物。而衣袖处120h（射击1枪）、168h（射击3枪）内均可检测到射击残留物,且射击残留物的检出率与遗留时间呈负相关性。结论随着遗留时间的增加,衣袖处射击残留物检出率递减,对涉枪案件中射击时间的判断有一定的参考价值。     

The international movement to deter corruption： Should China join？

Global concerns over the corruption of weak governments by firms engaged in transnational business are the source of an international movement that emerged in 1997. Special concern is presently directed at the weakness of enforcement of laws enacted in recent times to deter corrupt business practices in international trade that were enacted in response to that movement. One cause of weakness in law enforcement is the failure of China to share actively in those concerns and the efforts to address them. This essay will briefly record steps taken in other nations to address the concerns and the limited effectiveness of those steps. It will urge Chinese participation in the international movement and briefly suggest the need for private enforcement of the law if the movement is to succeed.     

Does the well-being of ‘embedded’ staff affect programme performance? The case of the IGAD initiative in South Sudan

South–South Cooperation is an emerging trend in international development assistance. Since 2011, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) initiative in South Sudan has been one of the most comprehensive attempts at post-conflict capacity development through South–South Cooperation, in terms of both scope and level of funding. This paper looks at the well-being of civil servant support officers deployed under the IGAD initiative, and the relationship between well-being and project performance. The paper explores assumptions underpinning South–South Cooperation and seeks to establish a better understanding of well-being and its impact on project performance. The paper also examines whether the second phase of the initiative has adequately addressed various challenges identified in the first phase. The paper finds that well-being, although often overlooked, has been critical to programme success in the IGAD initiative.     

核安全全球治理:历史、现实与挑战

核安全风险超越国界,可能跨越地区,甚至影响全球,因而核安全的治理必然是全球治理。各国对核安全风险的评估、核安全意识的养成是一个演进的过程,与此同步的是核安全全球治理。核安全全球治理经历了冷战、冷战结束和九一一事件以来的三个发展阶段,治理的主要内容随着国际安全形势的变化而调整。冷战期间的核安全全球治理主要体现为建立国际原子能机构以管理核能的和平利用,防范无核国家以发展民用核能为由发展核武器,签署和履行与核安全密切相关的国际公约、培育核安全的意识;冷战结束初期,国际原子能机构强化了保障监督能力,多边出口管制机制加强了对涉核物项出口的管控,国家间展开了实质性的核安全合作;九一一恐怖袭击之后,核安全全球治理呈现加速度的趋势,国际社会日益形成核安全共识,全球性制度建设加速,多边合作加强。经过多年努力,核安全全球治理的制度建设取得了显著成就,双边和多边国际合作得到实质性推动,但核安全全球治理仍然面临如何有效减少核材料存量、如何推动相关国家切实履行国家责任等挑战。