文化产业与城市竞争力的双向推动及其战略选择

在工业化、信息化、全球化的进程中,文化产业与城市发展的双向推动,促使其能级逐层提升,而当今世界文化产业的发展已成为城市综合竞争力的重要标志。对此,时序性推进与跨越式发展、保护性策略与开拓性战略、集团型扩张与基地型集聚等,将成为今后我国文化产业进一步发展不可忽视的战略选择。     

“十一·五”期间中国国家安全环境展望

"十一·五"期间(2006-2010年)是中国全面建设小康的历史关键期,中国国家安全面临四大机遇和五方面的挑战,其中挑战尤显紧迫、棘手、严峻与突出.对此要做到心中有数、有的放矢,首先要牢固树立"大安全"观,明确国家安全战略主要任务;其次应推进中美"建设性合作关系",开展大国多极外交,确保中国的战略安全;第三要分片经营、稳打稳扎,以区域经济合作、反恐防扩散等维护中国的"大周边"安全;第四应明确将反独反民分与反恐防扩散列为"十一·五"期间中国国家安全的两大主要战略任务;第五需努力确保中国的能源与经济安全,尽早防范对外开放风险;第六是保障中国海外人员与机构安全,有效维护国内社会政治稳定.总之,应标本兼治,着眼长远与根本.     

中国参与国际军事安全机制刍议

国际军事安全机制的建立与完善对国际社会的和平与发展具有重要意义,面对复杂的国际安全形势,中国必须积极参与国际军事安全机制。值得探索的是,在参与过程中,要考虑到利益标准、权力结构和经济水平等因素的制约,并克服主观愿望与客观现实以及机制的内在限制之间的矛盾,把维护国家安全利益作为核心目标,从而作出科学的、渐进式的战略选择。     

U.K. Needs Clear Choice on China Relations

正CHINA and Britain have potentially one of the world’s most fruitful international economic relationships.Not only do they account for 16 percent of world GDP,but their two economies are mutually complementary rather than competitive.China is now the world’s largest industrial producer,     

Mutual Trust Tried and Tested

正TWO important high-level discussions between Chinese and U.S.policymakers concluded on July 10 in Beijing.The sixth China-U.S.Strategic and Economic Dialogue and the fifth China-U.S.High-Level Consultation on People-to-People Exchanges ended successfully,according to participants from both sides.The latest rounds of dialogue,which featured candid exchanges of views and differences,will help build a new type of major-power relationship between China and the United States.Mutual distrust,the cause of all the ups and downs in Sino-U.S.relations,     

The EU–South Africa Strategic Partnership: Waning affection,persisting economic interests

ABSTRACT

Ten years after the coming into force of the EU–South Africa Strategic Partnership, this article takes stock of this partnership. Our aim, within this special issue, is to assess the EU’s perspective on its strategic partnership with South Africa, and in particular to look at economic and development cooperation within the partnership and to what extent European expectations of closer engagement have been met. Our analysis shows that economic interests have remained central to bilateral relations and the strategic partnership, even if some potential for economic engagement has remained unexploited. At the same time, the relationship has been quite tense in recent years, as bilateral ‘affection’ at the political level has waned. The implications for the partnership are weighed.     

Economic,trade and development relations between South Africa and the European Union: The end of a strategic partnership? A South African perspective

ABSTRACT

The relationship between democratic South Africa and the European Union (EU) has been in existence for over 20 years, with its roots tracing back to anti-apartheid support measures. In its earlier form, it was anchored in the Reconstruction and Development Programme. Currently, it is guided by the National Development Plan of the National Planning Commission. This relationship has been tested over time, especially as a result of negotiations over the Economic Partnership Agreement with the EU. In the meantime, the euphoria that marked new South Africa's participation in the global system, with trade and development cooperation with the EU as one of the cornerstones, has waned considerably. The cancellation of several bilateral investment treaties with EU member states has further strained the relationship. While there are notable successes in the EU–South Africa Strategic Partnership, these may not be reflective of the actual strategic value of the partnership in the context of global shifts and the rising influence of emerging powers with which South Africa is integrating.     

An overview of the EU–SA Strategic Partnership 10 years on: Diverging world views,persisting interests

ABSTRACT

The European Union–South Africa (EU–SA) Strategic Partnership has entered its 10th year. It is a product of its time and particular regional and international circumstances. These having changed somewhat over the course of the last decade, it is not surprising that the dynamics of the relationship, expressed through the strategic partnership's parameters, have undergone commensurate changes. Based on the recognition that the partnership is between a multilateral institution and a state, the difference in their respective strategic positions is inevitable. The challenge, therefore, is for the EU–SA Strategic Partnership to maintain a flexibility that allows for continued contestation, development and relevance. This paper reviews the historical context of the partnership and the challenging dynamics that have evolved over the lifespan of the partnership, providing the basis for the thematic discussion which follows in this issue. The analysis in this article demonstrates that, in spite of acknowledged challenges, the functionality of the strategic partnership based on persisting interests remains intact.     

Strategic coalition voting: Evidence from New Zealand

Whereas the classic literature on strategic voting has focused on the dilemma faced by voters who prefer a candidate for whom they expect has little chance of winning a seat, we consider the dilemma faced by voters in PR systems who do not expect their preferred party to be in government. We develop hypotheses relating to strategic voting over multi-party governments that we test using the New Zealand Election Study (NZES) campaign study of 2002. We find evidence that expectations play a role in structuring vote choice. While there is clear evidence of wishful thinking there is also evidence that voters respond to expectations about government formation. These expectations may mobilize voters and lead them to defect from their first preference.     

Tactical coalition voting and information in the laboratory

Tactical coalition voting (TCV) is a balancing strategy where voters choose to vote for their second preferred party in order to influence the policy direction of the government coalition formed. In this paper, we experimentally evaluate the extent voters in a PR system engage in TCV. We find significant evidence that voters in the laboratory, even those not experienced with PR systems, choose strategically to affect post election coalitions using a balancing strategy, although the percentage of voters who do so is much less than that predicted by the theory. We also find that although voters who are less informed are less likely to use a balancing strategy, strategic motivations are still a factor in their behavior.