Party cues and incumbent assessments under multilevel governance

Politicians' party membership allows voters to overcome incomplete information issues. In this article, we maintain that such ‘party cues’ in multilevel governance structures also induce voters to incorporate their assessment of incumbents at one level of government into their assessment of incumbents at other levels of government. Moreover, we argue that these assessment ‘spillovers’ increase in magnitude with voters' level of political information. They become particularly prominent for voters with higher levels of political knowledge and interest as well as during election periods (when information is less costly and more readily available). Empirical analyses using survey data from Germany covering the period 1990 to 2018 corroborate our theoretical propositions.     

当下国际金融监管法律制度改革的焦点与问题

由美国次贷危机引发的国际金融危机爆发后,国际社会出台的金融改革方案都把国际金融监管法律制度的改革作为整个金融改革的不可或缺的有机组成部分,这是金融全球化条件下防控金融风险和危机的需要和必然反映。从目前来看,加强和健全国际监管规则和标准、健全国际监管责任的划分、建立国际金融监管机构等方面,是国际金融监管法律制度改革的焦点。国际金融监管法律制度的改革关系着国际间利益的分配,我国对每一项国际金融监管法律制度的改革都应视其情况,研究和采取恰当的策略。     

党校推行案例教学法的探索

党校推行案例教学法是创新培训方法、提高领导干部执政能力的有效途径,是党校落实理论联系实际教学方针的重要环节,是党校师生互动共赢的一种高质量的教学手段。党校推行案例教学法分准备、实施两个阶段。党校推行案例教学法,一要提高教师自身的综合素质;二要建设党校案例库;三要提供必须的案例教学条件;四要营造良好的案例教学环境。     

Mixing Habermas with Bayes: Methodological and Theoretical Advances in the Study of Deliberation

Two challenges stand out in the study of deliberation: the development of appropriate methodological tools and the development of more unified analytical frameworks. On the one hand, analysing deliberative processes is demanding and time‐consuming; hence we tend to have only few and non‐randomly selected cases at the group or context level. In addition, the real world of deliberation presents us with a complex matrix of nested, cross‐classified, and repeated speakers. This article shows that Bayesian multi‐level modelling provides an elegant way to tackle these methodological problems. On the other hand, we attempt to enrich comparative institutionalism with individual characteristics and psychologically relevant variables (such as group composition). Focusing on Swiss and German parliamentary debates we show that institutional factors ‐ in particular, consensus systems ‐, the gender composition of committees and plenary sessions, and age matter for the quality of deliberation. Furthermore, we also show that partisan affiliation ‐ government or opposition status of MPs ‐ affects deliberative quality and can refine institutional arguments. We conclude that a multi‐level approach to deliberation focusing on contextual and actor‐related characteristics and using Bayesian hierarchical modelling paves the way toward a more advanced understanding ‐ and methodological handling ‐ of deliberative processes.     

英国“第三条道路”评析—兼评布莱尔十年执政之功过

布莱尔十年执政中铸就了一个第三条道路的时代。"第三条道路"是界于欧美现实资本主义的两种模式———美国的新自由主义模式和欧洲大陆的社会民主主义模式之间的一种资本主义模式。在"第三条道路"新型理念的引导下,布莱尔在政治、经济、外交、社会诸多方面取得了成就,备受称赞与好评;但布莱尔在战争与丑闻方面屡犯错误,这也使他备遭非议与责难。布莱尔执政十年的功过是非,从长远来看,应该是功大于过。     

中共八大前后刘少奇对执政党建设的卓越贡献

1949年中华人民共和国成立,中国共产党成为全国的执政党,面临的形势和任务发生了重大变化。在新的历史条件下,党如何继续保持先进性和纯洁性,巩固党的执政地位,充分发挥党的领导作用,成为摆在全党面前的重大课题。刘少奇同志作为党和国家的主要领导人,对加强执政党建设进行了深刻的思索,取得了丰硕的成果。     

Whatever Happened to the Progressive Century?

In the mid-1990s, after eighteen years of Conservative rule, there was much talk about the prospects for a progressive century. Tony Blair, under the tutelage of Roy Jenkins, made it clear that he wanted to end the schism on the centre-left. Paddy Ashdown saw the same opportunity. Ironically, the electorate's desire to kick out the Conservatives and vote in progressives of any stripe delivered a Labour landslide that made cooperation impossible for Blair and Ashdown. Some progressive policies, notably on the constitution, have been implemented, but the political and intellectual roots to create a progressive century have yet to be properly established. Foreign policy divisions, especially on Iraq, have made this much more difficult. This article looks at the prospects for progressives—under new leadership—up to and after the next election in terms of ideas and policy.     

全面理解"5.31"讲话的重大意义

江泽民同志的"5.31"讲话,是继"七·一"重要讲话后对"三个代表"重要思想的又一次全面阐述,是马克思主义中国化的最新成果."5.31"重要讲话,为党的十六大召开奠定了思想和理论基础,将对新形势下党的建设产生深远的影响.     

坚持从严治党巩固执政地位

学习江泽民同志“七一”重要讲话 ,认识苏联、东欧共产党丧失政权的教训 ,分析我党巩固执政地位的优势和面临的考验 ,提出按照“三个代表”要求 ,从严治党 ,加强党风廉政建设 ,保持党和国家长治久安的落实措施。