试论犯罪经济学的原理

犯罪经济学的理论基础是犯罪经济学所阐述的各种具体理论、观点的出发点,是统帅犯罪经济学各种具体理论、观点全局的基本理论。其核心是探讨如何解决和处理由资源的稀缺性同人类欲望的无限性这对矛盾引起的犯罪等非法活动问题。其构成要素主要有效用最大化、具有不同效率和协调作用的市场及市场主体稳定的偏好。犯罪经济学主要应用的理论有理性选择理论、成本和收益理论、惩罚成本和惩罚机率理论、边际效用理论等。犯罪经济学的理论价值在于:它的产生推动了犯罪学的深入发展,表明了经济学家也可以涉足犯罪研究领域,人类在同犯罪作斗争时也应讲求经济效益,等等。     

精英流出与农村稳定

大量农村精英流出是近年来农村稳定的直接原因;精英流动也成为资金、技术、知识、信息、观念向农村转移、促进城乡沟通以及村庄精英资源整合的重要机制,为积极构建乡村稳定局面做出了重要贡献。但精英流出也割裂了村庄的精英资源,对农村经济发展、政治改革、组织建设、文化传承等都存在负面影响。     

Lay-Perspectives on Criminal Deviance,Goals of Punishment,and Punitivity

Empirical studies corroborate a relatively close relation between goals of sentencing and punitiveness. However, it is not clear what aspects of sentencing goals motivate harsh punishment. This study analyzes the structure of sentencing goals and scrutinizes in particular whether the idea of retribution is associated with punitiveness, or whether punishment considerations from a societal perspective (macrolevel) are the source of more punitive responses. A questionnaire was mailed to a random sample drawn in Bern, Switzerland. A total of 357 persons responded to items measuring constructs including goals of sentencing, punitiveness, target of justice considerations, and perceived threat to society, after reading one of three short stories about specific crimes (fraud, physical injury, assault). Results of this study reveal a two-dimensional structure of sentencing goals. One dimension represents readiness to punish and exclude the offender socially. The other dimension refers to concerns of the victim versus the needs of the society as a whole. The analysis provides a new interpretation of sentencing goals.     

The counterfactual fallacy: Confusing what might have been with what ought to have been

The thesis of this article is that reactions to misfortunes are often biased by the counterfactual fallacy: the tendency to view events that can easily be imagined otherwise as events that ought not to have been. Drawing upon a diverse set of empirical findings we demonstrate that victims' and observers' reactions to misfortunes depend on the extent to which the event prompts them to generate counterfactual thoughts or images of more positive alternatives. We discuss the factors that determine the ease with which a negative event can be imagined otherwise, along with their relevance to a variety of justice-relevant responses, including perceptions of deservingness, recommendations for compensation, and blame assignment.     

THE DEVELOPMENT OF SELF‐CONTROL: EXAMINING SELF‐CONTROL THEORY'S STABILITY THESIS*

Research on self‐control theory consistently supports its central prediction that low self‐control significantly affects crime. The theory includes other predictions, however, that have received far less scrutiny. Among these is the argument that self‐control is developed early in childhood and that individual differences emerging then persist over time. The purpose of this study is to provide a rigorous test of the stability thesis. First, we examine the extent of stability and change in self‐control for a national sample of U.S. children age 7 to age 15. Second, we consider whether parenting continues to affect self‐control during adolescence—a period after the point at which self‐control differences should be fixed. The analysis revealed strong absolute and relative stability of self‐control for more than 80 percent of the sample, and this stability emerged in large part as early as age 7. Contradicting the theory was a smaller portion of respondents (roughly 16 percent) who experienced substantial absolute and relative changes in self‐control even after the age of 10. Moreover, parental socialization continued to affect self‐control during adolescence, even after accounting for both prior self‐control and exposure to parental socialization.     

Procedural justice at German courts as seen by defendants and juvenile prisoners

The article summarizes German research on procedural and distributive justice at criminal courts. The first German field studies addressing these topics are presented. Procedural justice characteristics like neutrality, courtesy, equal consideration of evidence, voice, and fairness of procedural rules are relevant for Germans. A study on juvenile prisoners shows no support for equity theory and some for the Group Value model. Lay assessors receive positive evaluations by juvenile prisoners.     

当前我国非法集资活动形势与处置对策分析

2008年金融危机以来,我国非法集资活动日益严重,大案、要案频发,且非法集资活动出现了区域性特征。一些地区和城市出现了几乎全民参与的、传销式的非法集资活动,并引发了多起群体性事件和暴力犯罪案件,严重危及了当地经济秩序和社会稳定。当前非法集资活动呈案件数量逐步增加、新形式和新手段不断涌现、涉案被害人和金额持续增多的特点。全国各地对处置和预防非法集资活动积累了一些经验,这些经验对成功处置非法集资案件以及维护社会稳定具有较大的借鉴意义。     

PuriTyper~(TM)法医学纯化试剂盒的性能验证

目的验证PuriTyperTM纯化试剂盒各项性能指标和法医学应用价值。方法收集及制备抗凝血液、常见案件检材(唾液、烟头、精液、毛发、指甲、骨骼及组织块)、斑痕样本(血斑、唾液斑、精斑)以及模拟添加抑制剂和模仿自然环境中放置的血斑。采用PuriTyperTM纯化试剂盒提取纯化并进行DNA定量,IdentifilerTM复合扩增试剂盒扩增,产物经ABI 3130遗传分析仪进行检测,Genemapper软件分析结果,对该试剂盒灵敏度、稳定性、重复性、检材适应性进行测试。结果采用该试剂盒提取0.1～40μL血液分别获得0.042～26.45ng/μL的DNA。3种斑痕样本DNA产量平行试验结果稳定。不同类型检材重复检验所获IPC的CT平均值在27.60至28.03之间。常见案件检材所得分型与已知结果均一致。结论 PuriTyperTM纯化试剂盒能够满足法医DNA检验的要求,对法医学实践具有重要的应用价值。     

政治稳定:社会转型中服务型政府建设的目标导向

随着改革开放的不断深入和社会主义市场经济体制的建立,中国社会正在经历极其深刻转型的同时,影响政治稳定的不确定性因素也在日益增多。服务型政府建设不仅要有利于推进政治体制改革,而且要有利于维护政治稳定。所以,建设服务型政府就必须以保障政权的稳定性、加强政府的责任性、维护政治生活的秩序性、增强政治制度的内聚性为向度。     

基层维稳视阈下破解非正常上访难题的路径探析

非正常上访与基层维稳的内在勾连关系表现为:非正常上访意味着基层维稳过程中民众与基层政府间无法进行有效的对话和沟通,以及基层维稳运行过程中民众对基层政治主体、治理规范和程序的不认同。当前非正常上访被广泛地视为一种严峻的社会危机而予以"问题化",并呈现出非正常上访的主体向体制内延伸及非正常上访的方式暴戾化的动向。要有效破解非正常上访问题,应当从以下几个方面入手:一是提高司法公信力,防止法律纠纷溢出司法渠道;二是完善信访问责制度,防止民众将非正常上访作为解决问题的博弈手段;三是完善人大代表的民意沟通功能,防止民众将所有的诉求向基层政府倾泻。