论我国涉恐资产冻结法律制度之发展性思考

涉恐资产冻结是金融反恐的重要组成部分,对于防治恐怖活动犯罪具有重大意义。随着反恐法治的逐步完善,我国确立了以金融制裁为目的的涉恐资产冻结制度。相关法律对涉恐资产、金融机构等概念进行了精细化的界定,明确了相关主体的法律责任,遵守了正当程序的相关要求并且注重加强国际合作。但是,我国涉恐资产冻结法律应当进一步注重相关法律制度之间的衔接,协调好涉恐资产冻结与其他保全措施之间的关系,同时应当注重涉恐资产冻结中的权利保障,以便有效地防治恐怖活动犯罪。     

网络环境中公民参与的时代价值及路径选择

以互联网为核心的信息网络技术革命更加凸显了公民参与的时代价值,同时也给公民参与带来了许多困境。全面分析网络环境中公民参与的尴尬局面,寻求摆脱这些困境的路径选择,对于引导中国公民理性地进行参与活动,促进中国公民参与的有序化发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。     

CDK5的表达与脑损伤时间推断的相关性研究进展

细胞周期蛋白依赖激酶5(cyclin-dependent kinase 5,CDK5)是CDK家族中一类不直接调控细胞周期的蛋白。CDK5通过靶蛋白的磷酸化在神经细胞的发育、修复及退行性变等方面发挥着不可替代的作用。脑损伤是指暴力作用于头部造成的脑组织器质性损伤,由于损伤发生后机体启动应激及修复机制,脑组织中变化的多种蛋白及酶类物质可作为损伤时间判定的指标。本文就CDK5的分布、活性机制、生理作用及其脑损伤研究与其作为脑损伤标志物可能性的研究进展进行综述。     

简论当代中国社会转型及其对法治化的影响

当代中国社会处于由传统向现代转型的深刻变革过程中。社会转型是社会在整体意义上与质的意义上的嬗变。社会转型在各种利益与关系的冲突撞击中追求社会朝法治方向发展 ,同时转型时期的社会环境也为法治的发展提供了契机。     

大型活动安保中的区域警务合作机制研究简

大型活动安保面临着很多潜在风险和不确定因素。公安机关原先相对封闭的警务模式,无法适应大型活动安保要求。公安机关应进一步深化和完善区域警务合作机制,有效整合各方警务资源,建立大型活动安保联勤指挥机制、重点人员共同监管机制、突发事件应急互援机制,深入推进情报信息沟通和共享,合力共同做好大型活动安保,确保“万无一失”。     

Do party leadership contests forecast British general elections?

When assessing election forecasts, two important criteria emerge: their accuracy (precision) and lead time (distance to event). Curiously, in both 2010 and 2015 the most accurate forecasts came from models having the longest lead time—albeit at most 12 months. Can we increase the lead time further, supposing we tolerate a small decrease in accuracy? Here, we develop a model with a lead time of more than 3 years. Our Party Leadership Model relies on the votes of MPs when selecting their party leader. We assess the forecasting quality of our model with both leave-one-out cross-validation and a before-the-fact forecast of the 2019 general election. Compared to both simple forecasting methods and other scientific forecasts, our model emerges as a leading contender. This result suggests that election forecasting may benefit from developing models with longer lead times, and that party leaders may influence election outcomes more than is usually thought.     

IMMIGRATION AND THE RECENT VIOLENT CRIME DROP IN THE UNITED STATES: A POOLED,CROSS‐SECTIONAL TIME‐SERIES ANALYSIS OF METROPOLITAN AREAS*

A good deal of research in recent years has revisited the relationship between immigration and violent crime. Various scholars have suggested that, contrary to the claims of the classic Chicago School, large immigrant populations might be associated with lower rather than higher rates of criminal violence. A limitation of the research in this area is that it has been based largely on cross‐sectional analyses for a restricted range of geographic areas. Using time‐series techniques and annual data for metropolitan areas over the 1994–2004 period, we assess the impact of changes in immigration on changes in violent crime rates. The findings of multivariate analyses indicate that violent crime rates tended to decrease as metropolitan areas experienced gains in their concentration of immigrants. This inverse relationship is especially robust for the offense of robbery. Overall, our results support the hypothesis that the broad reductions in violent crime during recent years are partially attributable to increases in immigration.     

过度机械通气致肺损伤TNF-α、IL-1β及NF-κBp65的表达

目的探讨过度机械通气致肺损伤后,炎症因子TNF-α、IL-1β及NF-κBp65在肺组织中不同时间表达的变化规律。方法将51只雄性新西兰大白兔分为正常组、对照组、实验组。利用呼吸机建立过度机械通气致肺损伤模型。应用免疫印迹技术观察兔急性肺损伤后肺组织中TNF-α、IL-1β及NF-κBp65的表达,并用凝胶图像处理系统进行分析,所得数据经SPSS 10.0统计软件处理。结果正常组与各对照组之间比较,均无明显差异(P>0.05)。TNF-α在损伤后0h表达即增加,1h达高峰,以后逐渐下降,而在24h后又有反弹性增高;其中在0.5、24、48h组有差异性(P<0.05),1、3h组有显著差异性(P<0.01)。IL-1β在损伤后0.5h逐渐增加,3h达高峰,以后逐渐下降,其中在1、6、12、24h组有差异性(P<0.05),3h组有显著差异性(P<0.01)。NF-κBp65在损伤后0.5h逐渐增加,6h达高峰,以后逐渐下降,其中在1、12h组有差异性(P<0.05),3、6h组有显著性差异(P<0.01)。结论TNF-α、IL-1β及NF-κBp65在过度机械通气致VILI发病中有重要作用;TNF-α、IL-1β及NF-κBp65在损伤早期即表达,且在时间上有一定的变化规律,可为损伤时间的推断提供参考。     

民事权利限制的时间界限

权利限制是对权利范围和权利行使所作的限制性规定。私法视野下,权利限制是确保权利人正当行使权利的需要。民事权利的时间界限是权利限度的形式之一,民事权利限制的时间界限,表现为宏观和微观两个方面。民事权利的时间界限的合理性和二元性有利于实现个人利益和社会利益的统一。     

The impact of after‐school programs on the routine activities of middle‐school students: Results from a randomized,controlled trial*

Research Summary Unsupervised after‐school time for adolescents is a concern for parents and policymakers alike. Evidence linking unsupervised adolescent socializing to problem behavior outcomes heightens this concern among criminologists. Routine activities theory suggests that, when youth peer groups congregate away from adult authority, both opportunity for and motivation to engage in deviant acts increase. After‐school programs are a possible solution to unsupervised teen socializing during afternoon hours and are much in demand. However, empirical research has yet to test the relationship between the availability of after‐school programs and youth routine activities. This study presents evidence from a multisite, randomized, controlled trial of an after‐school program for middle‐school students in an urban school district. Policy Implications Youth in the treatment group engaged in less unsupervised socializing after school than youth in the control group but not as much less as would be expected if the after‐school program was providing consistent supervision to youth who would otherwise be unsupervised. Additional analyses examined why the influence of the after‐school program was not more pronounced. We found that, although program attendance was related to decreases in unsupervised socializing, the program did not attract many delinquency‐prone youths who were unsupervised, which suggests that the students most in need of the program did not benefit. Furthermore, data obtained from a mid‐year activity survey revealed that youth in the study were highly engaged in a variety of after‐school activities. The addition of the after‐school program into the mixture of available activities had little effect on the frequency with which students participated in organized activities after school.