A spatial analysis of county-level outcomes in US Presidential elections: 1988–2000

This paper identifies spatial patterns of county-level presidential election outcomes from 1988 to 2000, and tests the retrospective (reward–punishment) and issue–priority models of voting behavior within the context of county-level geographical clusters. Based on our spatial analyses, we find that: the geographical concentration of the partisan vote has increased at both the global and regional scales. Globally, counties have become more likely to be clustered with similar counties in terms of their partisan support. Regionally, Democrats have increasingly received more votes from the East and the urban areas than Republican candidates while the opposite is true in the West and the rural areas. The regression analyses also support aspects of the issue–priority model of voting behavior, while the retrospective theory is confirmed only for 1996.     

唐高力士传记资料辨析

本通过近年考古出土的有关高力士的两种碑志资料，进而重审有关高力士的传世传记资料，与《两唐书》、《资治通鉴》等正史比勘汇校，尝试对于唐玄宗一代政局的突变作出新的分析，对于高力士以及唐玄宗的评价提出新的评判。     

试论案件侦查中的“习惯“

侦查人员要善于了解、掌握习惯的特性及种类,并为侦查活动所用。本文主要从习惯的特性、种类及意义三个方面对习惯进行了研究,对侦查实践具有一定的理论指导价值。     

Mapping the production of political communications: a model to assist in understanding the relationships between the production and consumption of political messages

High public interest today in political communications such as ‘spin’ and in political participation such as electoral turnout suggests that there may be value in exploring the processes by which political messages are produced and consumed, and their inter‐relationship with participation. It may be that what citizen‐voters think of message production influences how they consume political news and publicity (through observing and evaluating), and that the propensity to political participation is subsequently affected. This paper offers a model which traces the production of political communications, starting at their origins in the political class, and flowing via traditional political journalism or controlled media and new media to citizen‐voters who both observe and evaluate them (ie consume them) before, during and after making any political choices. It is hypothesised that the observation and evaluation of message production and content by political consumers influences both their types and levels of participation. Research of this nature into political organisations is relatively rare. Similarly, there is little evidence of investigations into other aspects highlighted in the model: attitudes of the political class towards political communications, the production of political communications before they reach the media and how they are received by the media, and their consumption by citizen‐voters in relation to the propensity to participate in politics. Copyright © 2003 Henry Stewart Publications     

试论图解分析与现代室内设计

在现代室内设计过程中，图解分析的思维方式是十分重要的。本文重点对图解方式、方法以及重要性做了全面的阐述。     

银广夏诉讼案实体法分析——《证券法》的虚假信息民事责任制度设立

对《证券法》的民事制度增设和完善工作的必要性 ,人们已达成普遍的共识。本文的行文正是基于如此基调之下 ,结合银广夏虚假信息披露案 ;同时从经济学角度 ,进一步分析虚假信息民事制度设立的可行性和效率性 ,作出一套完整、明晰的虚假信息民事制度的设计 (选择 )。     

伪造犯罪现场:对25起案例的分析研究

文章评述了伪造犯罪现场的研究历史 ,并对 2 5例伪造犯罪现场案件从罪犯特点、受害人特点、案件特点、犯罪动机及执法人员犯罪等五个方面进行了分析研究。把伪造犯罪现场和作案人结合起来研究的目的 ,是为了更好、更深入地研究伪造现场作案人 ,给刑侦人员和物证学家对伪造犯罪现场的勘查、取证以及现场重建提供一些参考     

论非法证据排除规则及其本土化构建

非法证据排除规则自产生之日起就倍受争议,但由于它具有重要的价值,因而在许多国家和国际条约中得到确认。在我国全面确立这一规则存在一些现实困难,所以应结合国情,确立对非法言词证据绝对排除的原则,对非法实物证据采取原则性与灵活性相结合的立场。     

热水锅炉供热系统的技术改造及应用

冬季采暖热水锅炉 ,效率不高和尾部受热面腐蚀现象比较严重 ,对 15t热水锅炉进行了原因分析 ,并制定了相应的节能技术改造措施 ,在实际应用中取得了良好的效果     

关于“法理分析”和“法律分析”的断思

经过二十余年的法学复兴,中国学者开始重视法学方法论的研究,其中以法律分析、法理分析、法理透视、法哲学思考命名的论文日益增多.这表明学者已认识到法学乃至于法理学是一门相对独立的学科,其学科知识的体系性、思维方式的独特性已受到程度不同的关注.但是,那种简单贴标签式的命题值得推敲.本刊编辑陈立风与山东大学法理学专业的部分师生举办对法律分析和法理分析进行反思的小型学术沙龙,展开了对话式的探讨.现刊载部分,意在引起学界对此问题的共鸣.