新军事革命的若干理论问题--记博士生导师梁必骎少将与博士生们的一次对话

人类社会发生的第四次军事革命是智能化军事革命。它以人类文明的发展为社会基础 ,以敌我之间的对抗为内在动力 ,以不断的军事变革为发展过程 ,最终带来社会价值和军事价值的变化。军事革命要求主体不断地更新军事观念 ,以系统而协调的决策与行动来应对军事革命。     

Spousal violence among Anglos,Blacks, and Mexican Americans: The role of demographic variables,psychosocial predictors,and alcohol consumption

Racial/ethnic differences in the prevalence and correlates of self-reported spousal violence in a community sample of Anglo, Black, and Mexican American adults are examined. Females, the formerly married, and Black females in particular (up to 60% of formerly married) were most likely to report both being beaten by and beating a spouse. Multivariate analyses controlling for demographic variables, financial stress, social desirability, sex role traditionalism and drinking quantity (and spouse's drinking among the currently married) did not eliminate the greater likelihood of reports of both beating and being beaten among married Black females. There was little consistent evidence to suggest greater violence propensity among Mexican American than Anglo respondents. The findings raise questions about simplistic socioeconomic status or financial stress explanations of observed racial/ethnic differences in spousal violence. Further, curvilinear effects of alcohol quantity and spouse drinking upon reported violence question simple disinhibition arguments and suggest the need for data regarding couple dynamics.     

Counterrevolution,the countryside and the middle classes: lessons from five countries

This contribution focuses on five societies that experienced successful counterrevolutions. It looks at how the dialectic of revolution and counterrevolution operated in Italy, Indonesia, Chile, Thailand and the Philippines. It seeks to understand the motion of different classes in periods of great political fluidity. It explores the dynamic relationship between conflict in the countryside and the overarching conflict of classes and their political representatives at the national level. Finally, it probes the relationship between domestic counterrevolution and global geopolitics.     

库恩不可通约性论点的语言学转向

作为库恩解说科学革命的必要前提,不可通约性论点是其科学哲学理论的重要组成部分。但他的这一论点在《科学革命的结构》以后,却有了较大的变化,由《科学革命的结构》中的不可通约变成了后来的不可翻译。本通过对库恩在这一问题上的思想变化历程的考察,试图指明,这一变化实际上标志着库恩科学革命理论的语言学转向,既是其应对批评的内在需要,也是他为挽救科学哲学而作的一种努力。     

In search of a theoretical approach to the analysis of the ‘Colour revolutions’: Transition studies and discourse theory

The article aims to identify a theoretical framework which would be able to provide explanation for the cases of political mobilization during the ‘Colour revolutions’ in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. It reviews the existing literature on the topic, which is predominantly oriented by the ‘transition paradigm’. The major shortcomings of this literature are identified: the privileging of either structure or agency when accounting for social change, a strong emphasis on the role of elites and insufficient attention to collective agency. Accordingly, I argue that the methodology of poststructuralist discourse theory may importantly supplement the ‘transitological’ framework owing to its ability to conceptualize the dynamic interdependence between structure and agency, as well as the formation of collective political identities.     

全球化条件下当代中国的改革路径及发展抉择分析

在中国近代社会以及改革开放20多年的实践,以及面向21世纪的全球化挑战中,中国最根本的自己改变自己的能力,就是进行制度革命和体制创新的能力。     

论毛泽东的优秀品质在探索中国革命道路中的重要作用

中国社会的复杂性、中国革命的特殊性和艰巨性 ,对中国革命的领袖提出了很高的要求。毛泽东同志在探索中国革命道路中所表现出来的优秀品质 ,对于我们准确把握毛泽东思想的核心和精髓有着十分重要的意义。     

Continuity and change in Venezuela’s Bolivarian Revolution

Abstract

The aims and outcomes of the Bolivarian Revolution in Venezuela are fiercely contested. A sympathetic view sees the possibility of Left revolutionary transformation as destabilised by aggressive US and domestic opposition actions. Detractors trace an authoritarian path from President Hugo Chávez’s election in 1998 to an inevitable socialist implosion under his successor Nicolás Maduro two decades later. This article emphasises continuities between the Bolivarian Fifth Republic and the Fourth Republic that the Revolution displaced. These account for the limitations of the transformative process. Historical institutionalism explains the reproduction of rentier practices and centralised state management and political organisation, culminating in cascading crisis across regime types.     

国际私法上的“政府利益分析说”探微

柯里教授的＂政府利益分析说＂诞生于上世纪美国冲突法＂革命＂时期,并一举成为美国现代法律选择方法论中重要的学说之一。虽然＂政府利益分析＂理论存在概念难以确定、保护观念过于狭隘、不确定性和理论根基不牢固等缺陷,但它提出对法律的内容和＂政府利益＂进行分析,并将此作为法律选择的基础,突破了传统的冲突规范选法理论,给国际私法理论研究带来了一个全新的视角,影响了美国现代冲突法理论和美国法院的司法实践。＂政府利益分析说＂所提出的分析法律实体内容,以及＂利益分析＂方法符合未来国际私法的发展趋势。