关于预防和处置群体性事件对策的思考

预防和处置群体性事件已经成为首都公安民警的一项重要任务,正确认识和妥善处置群体性事件,切实维护社会稳定,促进社会和谐,是首都公安机关预防和处置群体性事件的关键。     

群体性事件心理分析

近年来,因各种人民内部矛盾引发的群体性事件不断增多,社会影响越来越大,成为影响社会稳定和治安秩序的突出问题。不少专家学者从群体性事件的成因及处置对策方面进行了许多有益探讨,本文拟从犯罪心理学的角度,对这一现象产生的心理原因、心理过程及心理预防等问题进行一些探讨。     

Factors Contributing to Gender Differences in Depressive Symptoms: A Test of Three Developmental Models

In a longitudinal study on 115 early adolescents, the impact of major events, relationship stressors, and coping style in interaction with biological changes on depressive outcome in late adolescence were explored. Three developmental models proposed by Nolen-Hoeksema and Girgus (1994, Psychol. Bull. 115: 424–433), which attempt to explain the emergence of gender differences in adolescent depressive symptoms, were tested. Multiple regression analyses conducted to test Model 1 identified two etiological factors associated with gender differences of depression, namely, stress in the adolescent–mother relationship and a more negative body image. Tests of Model 2 revealed etiological factors which correlated with depression in adolescent girls but not adolescent boys. The correlational patterns of avoidant coping and body image emerged as relevant factors for Model 2. Finally, tests of Model 3 searched for factors which were more likely to be observed in adolescent girls than boys and which would put girls at risk should they interact with a third etiological factor. Early maturational timing emerged as a factor for Model 3.     

冷战后的民族主义新浪潮及其消极影响

世界现代史上的民族主义发展经历了三次浪潮,它们有进步的与反动的之分.当今世界民族主义表现为民族分离主义、宗教民族主义、"泛民族主义"、部族民族主义等不同形态,特征各异,但就其作用而言以消极影响为主导.冷战后,民族主义问题具有国际化、暴力化以及民族主义与宗教势力连体发展的趋势,造成的恶果日趋严重,并有持续发展之势,但受多种条件的制约,其发展力度有限.     

略论公务员公共突发事件应对能力提升

我国目前处在公共突发事件的高发时期,在未来很长一段时间内,我国都将面临公共突发事件所带来的严峻考验。面对新时期公共突发事件的发展态势,许多公务员公共危机意识淡薄,应对能力不强。因此,必须大力提高公务员应对和处置突发事件的能力,最大限度地减少损失,保障经济持续发展,促进社会和谐稳定。     

群体性事件预警指标体系研究

在社会系统稳定因素及社会评价指标体系分析的基础上,构建群体性事件的预警指标体系,并通过建立指标权重模型,运用管理学定性、定量等研究方法,完善群体性事件预警机制。     

A survival model with dependent competing events and right-hand censoring: Probation and parole as an illustration

Researchers are frequently interested in estimating the elapsed time until the occurrence of an event, such as an arrest following release from prison, dissolution of a marriage, and death following the onset of a disease. Estimation is often hindered by the occurrence of a competing event, which prevents the event of interest from being observed, and by limited follow-up periods. A parametric procedure developed in this paper is suitable for dealing with nonrepeatable competing events when the events are correlated and when independent righthand censoring also exists. Weak distributional assumptions are accommodated by using a Box-Cox transformation and by explicit modeling of heteroscedasticity. The procedure is applied to data pertaining to failure on probabation and parole.     

俯瞰我国省级政府突发公共事件总体应急预案

我国各省都编制了突发公共事件总体应急预案，这些总体应急预案的框架内容基本尚可，但还存在一些问题，文章对这些问题提出了解决的对策。     

Optimism as a Mediator Between the Experience of Child Abuse,Other Traumatic Events,and Distress

In this study, we examined the role of dispositional optimism in mediating distress among students who experienced traumatic events, including child physical abuse, emotional abuse, and sexual abuse. Participants included 199 undergraduate and graduate students (aged 18–63 years) from a private university in Oregon. In this study, dispositional optimism partially mediated distress among individuals who had experienced child physical abuse and child emotional abuse; participants with higher levels of optimism had lower levels of distress. In addition, dispositional optimism fully mediated distress among individuals who had experienced traumatic events such as rape, assault, and fire; participants with higher levels of optimism had lower levels of distress. Contrary to prediction, the experience of child sexual abuse was not associated with distress. Clinical implications of these results are addressed.     

权利的防御权能与行政机关的消极义务

权利的防御权能,是指权利主体应享有的一种要求他人承担不得侵害其权利的不作为义务的能力。在一个真正实行宪政和法治的国家,基本权利的防御权能应该主要是针对国家机关的。从基本权利的防御权能充分化的角度出发,可对国家行政机关应承担的相应消极义务进行系统的条理化分析。