The Promise and Peril of Automated Negotiators

Innovations in artificial intelligence are enabling a new class of applications that can negotiate with people through chat or spoken language. Developed in close collaboration with behavioral science research, these algorithms can detect, mimic, and leverage human psychology, enabling them to undertake such functions as the detection of common mistakes made by novice negotiators. These algorithms can simulate the cognitive processes that shape human negotiations and make use of these models to influence negotiated outcomes. This article reviews some of the scientific advances enabling this technology and discusses how it is being used to advance negotiation research, teaching, and practice.     

From newspapers to social media? Changing dynamics in Swiss direct democratic campaigns

Switzerland is a laggard in terms of digital campaigning. Direct democratic votes, more particularly, are centered around issues and little personalized. Combined with the specificities of voters’ information behaviour in direct democratic campaigns, these features are likely to disincentivize political actors from extensively campaigning online. Instead, we expect political actors to continue relying on traditional media. These propositions are tested on a large data base of social media posts and newspaper advertisements published before direct democratic votes held in Switzerland from 1981 to 2020 and 2010 to 2020, respectively. Counterintuitively, this research note finds a strong discontinuity in campaign communication practices. Over the past decades, and between 2010 and 2020 in particular, newspaper ads have become less central to direct democratic campaign communication. At the same time, political actors are increasingly shifting their communication to the digital sphere.     

论洗钱犯罪的社会危害性及其防范

洗钱犯罪是一种社会危害性极大的犯罪形式。它主要通过对金融体系的渗入使犯罪非法所得的脏钱合法化。其社会危害性主要表现为 :1 对犯罪活动的侦查设置了障碍 ,妨碍了司法追究 ;2 使财物最初合法持有的国家、企业或个人丧失了请求反还的权利 ;3 破坏金融机构的信誉 ;4 造成政治和社会秩序不稳定。措施 :1 加强对国家金融机构的监管 ;2 加强对有组织犯罪洗钱的防范 ;3 完善刑事立法 ;4 加强国际合作。     

云南跨境民族问题与国家安全研究

(续上期 )云南跨境民族问题在全国具有典型性和代表性。本部分主要论述维护跨境民族地区国家安全和社会稳定的对策与措施。一是坚持马克思主义民族观 ,反对不正确的、歧视少数民族的民族观 ;二是依据民族平等和民族团结的原则制定合理的民族政策 ,逐步消除各民族发展的不平衡性 ,促进各民族的共同繁荣 ;三是依据国家法律、法规及有关政策的规定 ,打击违法犯罪 ,维护国家安全和社会稳定 ;四是评析对策与措施的实施效用     

加快发展社会中介组织 迎接WTO后时代挑战

社会中介组织对社会的组织化程度和社会、经济运行效率及管理的科学性都有重要的作用和影响。发展社会中介组织既是市场经济条件下降低交易成本和我国加入WTO与国际接轨的需要,也是政企分开、转变政府职能的关键性措施,因而是调整国家与社会关系、走向现代化的重要步骤。目前我国社会中介组织的发展面临种种问题,应当制定和采取相应对策。     

试论当代中国社会阶层构成新变化的原因及其走向

自1978年以来,当代中国社会阶层构成发生了重大变化,市场化改革和知识经济化是其变化的深层原因。与西方发达国家相比较,当代中国急需构建橄榄型的社会结构形态,这是今后20年我国全面建设小康社会的目标之一。     

社会心理学与精神分析学及其后现代转向

社会心理学的孕育、产生和发展过程,得益于许多学科或知识领域的推动。尤其值得注意的是,它首先与现代精神分析学及作为其重要知识来源之一的精神病学之间存在着深刻的不解之缘。精神分析学在自身发展过程中的每一次重大进展都会对社会心理学的理论和方法产生不同的影响。精神分析学在20世纪下半叶发生的后现代转向,也或早或晚地涉入到社会心理学有关领域的发展中。其中一个重要结果就是后现代社会心理学的出现。后现代精神分析学既从心理学理论层面又从哲学认识论和方法论层面提供了孕育后现代社会心理学的动因。     

Elite and Everyday Social Contracts in Bosnia and Herzegovina: Pathways to Forging a National Social Contract?

ABSTRACT

The Dayton Peace Agreement ended the violence in Bosnia–Herzegovina, however, it also solidified antagonistic political identities leading to the creation of two social contracts: an ‘elite social contract’ involving primarily political elites of the main ethnic groups and an ‘everyday social contract’ involving ordinary citizens trying to manage a complex social and economic environment. The first social contract is hegemonic, however, alternative, non-nationalist views are slowly emerging. Grassroots groups, the surviving remnants of inter-ethnic coexistence, the integrating pull of market forces and the presence of a large diaspora all constitute resources for the creation of a resilient national social contract.     

B. F. Skinner's utopian vision: behind and beyond walden two

This paper addresses B. F. Skinner's utopian vision for enhancing social justice and human well‐being as it was introduced in his 1948 novel, Walden Two. In the first part, we address the historical, intellectual, and social context that situates the book in the utopian genre, the critiques of its premises and practices, and the fate of intentional communities patterned on the book. In the second part, we review practices in Skinner's book that advance social justice and human well‐being under the themes of health, wealth, and wisdom, and then focus on contemporary practices that are the legacy of his vision. His vision was neither the a priori truth of a particular premise about human behavior or a necessary practice (blueprint) for an intentional community but rather the use of empirical methods to discover premises and practices that work to advance the health, wealth, and wisdom of individuals and survival of the culture.     

人工智能技术发展对城乡收入差距的影响

人工智能技术在提高全要素生产率方面发挥积极效果，为经济良性发展打下基础。但人工智能技术在为经济发展提供新动能的同时，也可能对就业结构、收入分配等方面产生负面影响。受户籍制度与优先发展工业等政策因素影响，国内城市劳动力技能水平优于农村，且国内收入差距主要在城乡收入差距上展现。使用人工智能专利申请信息构造衡量地区人工智能技术发展指标，实证研究发现，人工智能技术的快速发展扩大了省级层面的城乡收入差距。因此，在积极推动人工智能技术快速发展的同时也应重视人工智能技术发展带给中低技能劳动者的就业压力，着力解决再就业问题，共享人工智能技术红利，实现人、技术与经济的和谐发展。