后发优势与比较优势--中国对外贸易增长的动力分析

改革开放以来 ,我国的对外贸易获得了巨大的发展 ,保持了较高的增长速度。对于贸易增长的原因 ,一般认为是发挥了比较优势作用 ,进一步的分析则发现中国贸易的增长实际上是比较优势和后发优势双重作用的结果。后发优势的利用促进了贸易比较优势的形成与转换 ,以制度学习效应和技术学习效应为核心的后发优势在贸易增长中起到了巨大的作用。     

非洲联盟面临的挑战

非洲面临最重要的挑战就是如何避免并解决冲突,恢复和巩固和平。持久和平是非洲应对其他挑战的先决条件。非洲联盟的建立显示出非洲人民应对挑战的决心,其目标就是要消除贫困,维护和平,使非洲各国走上经济持续发展的道路。中国是最早向莫桑比克提供援助的国家之一,非洲国家视中国为伙伴和盟友,中非合作的前景广阔。     

数量扩张型引进外资模式的负面影响及对策

数量扩张型引进外资模式给中国产业成长带来了不可忽视的负面影响。本文对此有针对性地提出对策与建议。     

转型经济中民营银行的建立与中小企业融资对策

针对中小企业融资不足问题,我国已经出台了许多相关的措施,但效果不佳。民营银行具有信息、现代公司治理机制等优势,建议设立专门为中小企业融资的民营银行,从银行贷款这个直接的角度克服融资难的问题。     

国外政府公共服务的做法、经验教训与启示

政府公共服务问题是一个历史性和世界性的重要课题 ,也是发挥政府作用、履行政府职能的核心问题。许多国家非常重视这个问题 ,并且采取了一系列的措施 ,从法律上、制度上、政策上、财力投入上予以保证 ,不断提高公共服务的水平和公共产品的质量。借鉴国外政府的做法和经验 ,汲取教训和规避风险 ,对于强化我国政府公共服务职能和建设服务型政府具有积极的意义。     

入世后绿色壁垒对我国经济的影响及对策

随着中国加入WTO和关税壁垒的逐渐消失，绿色壁垒将成为我国出口的一大障碍。现阶段，我国在应对绿色壁垒的问题上存在认识不够和难以建立自己技术标准等许多问题。实行可持续发展的工业化模式；提高绿色产品和有机食品的生产力；增强绿色技术研发能力是应对绿色壁垒的根本途径。     

How foreign policy recommendations are put together: A computational model with empirical applications

This paper presents and applies empirically a computational model of the way in which bona fide high level foreign policy recommendations by U.S. policy makers are assembled. We begin by pointing out that policy making can be seen as the connection of certain strings of words to other strings. We then discuss how these connections constitute certain types of foreign policy making phenomena as such. To theorize about such connections, one first needs to specify essential features of these phenomena, and we do so for one phenomenon: bona fide recommendations. We next turn to a discussion of the theory that links together the categories by which these features are represented. That theory explains how certain strings of words are assembled into new proximate goals, missions, and tools. The theory can be modeled computationally using the programming language Scheme, and we next present that model. We conclude by presenting a run of the model, showing the close fit between actual and generated strings.     

The Taliban: a new proxy for Iran in Afghanistan?

Abstract

Iran has pursued a highly contradictory policy towards Afghanistan. On the one hand, it became a significant beneficiary of the overthrow of the Taliban regime by the US-led military intervention in 2001 in Afghanistan. The new Afghan government established cordial ties with Iran, allowing it to expand its political, economic and cultural influence in the country. Yet Iran has also provided significant support to the Taliban in its campaign to violently upend the political, social and economic processes in the country. This article examines the underlying domestic and regional security dynamics that contribute to this contradictory behaviour. It offers an assessment of how tensions between the United States and the Islamic Republic, as well as Tehran’s growing threat perception following the rise of the Islamic State – Khorasan in 2014, impact on Iran’s policy towards the Taliban. The paper argues that Tehran views the Taliban as an instrument to disrupt the influence of other actors in Afghanistan. The instrumentalisation of the Taliban, however, is likely to be counterproductive for Iranian security in the long run as it contributes to Afghanistan’s instability and insecurity and undermines Iran’s own long-term interests.     

The More Assertive and Pragmatic New Energy Policy in Putin’s Russia: Security Implications for Northeast Asia

The article examines Russia’s New Energy Policy (NEP) and its impact on Northeast Asian security and the development of the Russian Far East. In contrast to analyses highlighting competition between China and Japan for Russian resources, to the contrary it is argued here that greater cooperation among consumer states in Northeast Asia would be beneficial for Russia. Although the NEP has resulted in changes in the composition of foreign investors in Russian energy projects, the author suggests that Moscow is interested in multinational cooperation in the energy sector because it would help diversify the regional energy market and contribute to the development of the Russian Far East and eastern Siberia.

欧盟东扩与俄罗斯的对外经济贸易取向

在 90年代 ,通过东西欧经济一体化和对俄共同战略 ,欧盟已成功地把中东欧候选国和俄罗斯纳入欧盟的国际分工体系 ,并将最终把它们融入欧洲的政治和法律体系。欧盟东扩不仅使俄罗斯的对外贸易地理方向明显偏向西欧 ,而且使俄罗斯成为欧盟原材料和燃料的主要提供者。东扩后的欧盟将与俄罗斯拥有漫长的共同边界 ,从而使双方经贸关系更加密切 ,这无疑会成为 2 1世纪制约中俄贸易发展的一个重要因素。只有早日形成以产业内贸易为主体的贸易格局 ,中俄贸易才有可能取得较快的发展。