美国衰落的神话

一美国是否真的如同目前许多人似乎相信的那样正处于衰落之中?或者,美国人是否因为出于对自身权力衰弱的臆想所导致的恐惧而处于主动削减自身巨大权力的危险之中?很多大事的走向取决于对这些问题的回     

The Three Faces of Power

Power is not a matter of simple strength, but a complicated social relationship. The investigation of the current status and development of U.S. power must be put into a specific world political relationship. At present, the economic base of American power＇s first face （that of winning conflict） is fading slowly compared to that of the emerging powers. American power＇s second face （that of limiting alternatives） is currently facing challenges, and the Obama administration is attempting to stabilize or even expand power in this area. Finally, for a long period of time, The third face of power （that of shaping normality） will continue to be dominated by the U.S. and European countries.     

The U.S. Decline Debate and Its Impact

The possibility that the U.S. is in decline has renewed concerns over the international strategic situation and the global order. The World Bank＇ s International Comparison Program （ICP） released data in April 2014 that suggested China＇ s economy could overtake that of the U.S. as soon as the end of this year （based on purchasing power parity or PPP which takes into account the relative costs of goods and services and inflation rates）. Their figures showed that the size of China＇ s economy was 87% of the U.S.＇ in 2011-that is 15% bigger than previously estimated. China＇ s economy is thought to have grown roughly 24% since 2011, while the U.S. economy is expected to have grown less than 8% .2 The possibility that the U.S. economy is in decline has worried both the public and scholars, and has sparked a new round of lively debate on the future of the international strategic situation.     

衰落抑或复兴:美国学者关于美国政党变迁的研究

二战后,美国政党的衰落与复兴成为美国政治学界研究最多也是最富争议的政治现象之一。本文从美国政党衰落的纵向时间维度和横向政党维度两个视角对美国学者已有的研究进行综述和评价,主要涉及政党衰落与复兴的概念、政党衰落与复兴的衡量方法、政党衰落与复兴的时间段、政党衰落与复兴的原因以及政党的三张面孔(即选民中的政党、政党组织、政府中的政党)等方面。本文认为,美国政党在最近几十年出现了复兴的趋势,并且正在试图通过国家政治权力来恢复过去丧失的政党功能。