养老金结构与金融结构的相关性研究——来自典型OECD国家的经验证明

为了更好地剖析新一轮养老金制度改革的条件和深层次原因,了解金融结构性因素在一国养老金制度改革中所发挥的作用,从金融结构的视角出发,研究养老金结构与金融结构之间的相关关系,探讨金融组织(金融中介机构和金融市场)在养老金系统中的功能及其演化.从宏观和微观两个层面,分别对养老金整体结构、私人养老金结构与金融结构的相关性进行了分析,并在宏观层面运用部分OECD国家面板(Panel)数据模型对金融市场发展与自治养老基金规模的相互关系进行了实证检验.通过研究发现:无论是养老金整体结构还是私人养老金结构,在很大程度上都取决于金融结构的发展状况,私人养老金结构同时还与养老金整体安排密切相关,而养老金制度改革将进一步促进金融结构以及金融机构之间竞争格局的演化.     

Parenting Plans for Special Needs Children: Applying a Risk‐Assessment Model

Family courts are seeing an increasing number of separating or divorced families who have a special needs child. These cases present complex challenges for family law professionals charged with crafting parenting plans based on best interests standards. For many of these children, the typical developmentally based custodial arrangements may not be suitable, given the child's specific symptoms and treatment needs. We present a model for understanding how the general and specific needs of these children, as well as the demands on parents, can be assessed and understood in the context of divorce. This includes an analysis of risk and protective factors that inform timeshare and custodial recommendations and determinations. The risk assessment model is then applied to three of the most commonly occurring childhood neurodevelopmental and psychiatric disorders likely to be encountered in family court, namely, attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder, depressive disorders, and autistic spectrum disorders.

Key Points for the Family Court Community
• There has been a dramatic rise in the population of children with neurodevelopmental, psychiatric, and medical syndromes whose parents are disputing custody in the family courts.
• Family law professionals of all disciplines should develop a fundamental knowledge base about the most commonly seen special needs children in family court, such as those with neurodevelopmental conditions like autistic spectrum disorder, attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and severe depressive disorders (especially with teenagers), which may involve suicidal or self‐harming behaviors.
• Commonly recommended parenting plans may be inappropriate for many special needs children, as some function significantly below their chronological age and pose extreme behavioral challenges.
• A systematic analysis of risk and protective factors should inform timeshare arrangements and determinations with this varied population, including the safety of the child and severity of the disorder, parental commitment and availability to pursue medical, educational, and therapeutic services, the parental attunement and insightful about the problem, and the differential parenting skills of each parent.

     

Innovative Family Mediation Research Initiative Embedded in the Community In Ireland

The Family Mediation Project is a not‐for‐profit means‐tested research initiative at Waterford Institute of Technology, based on an innovative family mediation model developed by Dr Roisin O’ Shea, following her Irish Research Council funded doctoral research. The project, led by W.I.T.’s Dr Sinéad Conneely (coordinator) and Dr Roisin O’ Shea (principal investigator), is test‐running the next iteration in family mediation, embedded in the community, comprising of the most effective elements sourced globally, with a particular focus on innovations in Canada, and is gathering empirical data to evidence outcomes. The final “real world” phase of the project commenced in May 2018, an exciting collaboration between voluntary, statutory agencies and a research institution to further test the effectiveness of this innovative approach on a larger scale at community level in the south Dublin area. This paper will discuss the project innovations and efficacy of the projects objectives, to provide effective mediation as quickly as possible for families and their children, within their community, by experienced family mediators, with hook‐ups and sign‐posting to trusted existing resources, such as the support services offered by the Family Resource Centres, and on‐line and face‐to‐face resources, with the court‐room as an end of pipe‐line solution or emergency forum only.     

Juvenile Transfers to Adult Court: An Examination of the Long‐Term Outcomes of Transferred and Non‐Transferred Juveniles

Juveniles who are transferred to adult court are more likely to recidivate than non‐transferred juveniles, but limited research has examined how transfer can impact other life outcomes like attending college and employment. To examine this issue, data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (1997) were analyzed from 1998 to 2011. It was found that court involvement during adolescence does not harm educational attainment. However, prosecution of juveniles in adult court significantly impairs earning potential well into adulthood. The current study provides further evidence of the long‐term harms caused by transfer and demonstrates how transfer further disrupts the desistance process.     

我国突发事件应急预案的缺陷及其完善

应急预案是应对突发事件的基础。通过对个案以及对我国现有各级各类应急预案的分析。发现我国应急预案存在诸多缺陷。预案体系尚不完整,缺乏必要的预案;预案内容简单、缺乏可操作性;缺乏部门之间的合作协调;预案的制定和修订程序欠缺。建议借鉴英国、美国和加拿大等国的经验,改进我国应急预案的内容,完善应急预案的制定程序,重视应急预案的修订。     

中国区域经济发展的理论与实践——基于四代领导人区域经济思想的分析

促进区域经济协调发展是当前和今后较长一个时期内中国经济社会发展的重要任务和战略选择。经过毛泽东、邓小平、江泽民、胡锦涛四代领导集俸的努力与探索，我国区域经济先后经历了平衡发展、不平衡发展和区域经济协调发展的伟大实践与战略转变。本文通过解读国民经济的十一个五年计划，全面总结了中央四代领导集体对中国区域经济发展的贡献，为新时期真正落实科学发展观、构建和谐社会提供理论和实践基础。     

Engagement processes in model programs for community reentry from prison for people with serious mental illness

Linking prisoners with mental illness with treatment following release is critical to preventing recidivism, but little research exists to inform efforts to engage them effectively. This presentation compares the engagement process in two model programs, each representing an evidence-based practice for mental health which has been adapted to the context of prison reentry. One model, Forensic Assertive Community Treatment (FACT), emphasizes a long-term wrap-around approach that seeks to maximize continuity of care by concentrating all services within one interdisciplinary team; the other, Critical Time Intervention (CTI), is a time-limited intervention that promotes linkages to outside services and bolsters natural support systems. To compare engagement practices, we analyze data from two qualitative studies, each conducted in a newly developed treatment program serving prisoners with mental illness being discharged from prisons to urban communities. Findings show that the working relationship in reentry services exhibits unique features and is furthered in both programs by the use of practitioner strategies of engagement, including tangible assistance, methods of interacting with consumers, and encouragement of service use via third parties such as families and parole officers. Nevertheless, each program exhibited distinct cultures and rituals of reentry that were associated with fundamental differences in philosophy and differences in resources available to each program.     

Staying Out: Reentry Protective Factors Among Rural Women Offenders

The current study examines protective factors for women who transition from county jails to rural Appalachian communities, areas with limited health and behavioral health services. The study included drug-using women recruited from three jails in rural Appalachia and followed-up at 12-months post-release. Analyses focused on differences between women who remained in the community and those who returned to custody, as well as a multivariate model to determine protective factors for reentry success. At the bivariate level, staying out of jail was associated with being older, having a job, not using drugs, stable housing, receiving health treatment, and having prosocial peers. In the multivariate model, the most robust predictors of staying out of jail were drug use abstinence, health care utilization, and prosocial peers. Most research on criminogenic needs associated with reentry success have focused on men, and most focused on reentry to urban communities where services and resources are more accessible. These findings have important implications for criminal justice systems to implement reentry programs for women offenders during the transition to the community.     

土地流转进程中农村社会管理体制变革

在城乡统筹的进程中,农村的产权制度改革使农村的产业结构、空间结构、农民生产方式、生活方式、行为习惯等发生了极大的变化,传统的农业社会逐步消解：在村庄的产业结构和村民的生活方式上均可以反映出来。由此导致乡村基层社会结构重构：基层社会自治组织、社区治理机制以及居民的参与方式等方面都发生了改变。