法益与罪数

将法益作为判断罪数的唯一标准,确实不尽合理,但是,法益于罪数论意义重大.想象竞合与法条竞合的关于区别在于,在想象竞合情形下,没有哪一个罪名能对行为所侵犯的法益作出全面的刑法评价,相反,在法条竞合情形下,其中一个法条能对法益作出全面的刑法评价.由于连续犯、牵连犯和吸收犯侵犯的都是数法益,从全面评价法益的角度讲,应当实行数罪并罚.认定不可罚的事后行为、事前行为的关键在于,看事后行为、事前行为在本犯之外是否侵犯了新的法益.     

全力防范偶发事件转化为大规模群体性事件——抓好源头治理和初期处置

近年来,因偶发因素引发的群体性事件逐渐增多,社会危害极其严重,已成为影响社会和谐、稳定的突出问题,如不能有效加以防范和控制,极易引发社会骚动,甚至造成局部社会动荡。偶发事件引发社会骚动存在一定的必然因素,它反映的是我国社会转型、经济转轨时期的深层次社会矛盾,所暴露出来的是政府职能部门及其党员干部在工作理念、工作机制、工作方式中存在的一些不足和弊端。     

习观者融入群体性事件的成因及防治对策

在群体性事件中,围观者是影响肇事群体行为的非常重要的因素,围观群众具有成分复杂性、运动形态流动性、认识盲目性和心态剧变性等特点,围观群众可能会成为肇事群体。为此,应坚持“可散不可聚”的原则,充分发挥社会组织、主流媒体的作用,采取各种措施,及时设法阻断围观者与肇事群体之间的互动,疏散和化解围观群众,防止他们融为一体。     

The “Trump Factor” and the Changing Face of Globalization

The victory of Donald Trump’s administration not only meant a change in domestic socioeconomic policy, but also in the sphere of U.S. foreign ties; it has had a strong influence on the development trend of the world economy and trade. Taking the path of protectionism and confrontation with key trade and economic partners in Latin America, Asia, and Europe, Washington has attempted to break the status quo and transform the existing character of the globalization process. The “Trump factor” has become a key element in the formation of a new global order.     

Mapping foreign policy behavior: An assessment and evaluation of events structures

Employing events indices for cooperation and conflict from the COPDAB data set, the graphic structuring process established by Steven Brams, and several alternative methods of quantifying the resulting event digraphs, this paper examines the utility of the graphic structuring process in efforts at explanation and prediction. Arguing that if the graphic structure represents an underlying structural order in the foreign policy behavior of states, predictability should exist between the graphic portrayal and other behavioral structures around it. Despite face validity in the sociometric qualities of the digraph results, little predictive capability was uncovered. The paper explains the testing process, disc asses the test results, and proposes alternative uses for the structural mapping procedure.     

高校学生突发事件的法律应对

迅速、有效地应对高校学生突发事件,是建设和谐校园的必然要求。应采取“控制式升级”体制,赋予高校下设单位一定的突发事件确认权与紧急处置权。高校各职能部门应根据“分类管理,分工合作”原则,行使监测、预警、信息披露、紧急救助等各项具体紧急处置行为,同时完善能尽快控制或消除学生突发事件造成的损害且兼顾保障学生各项基本权利的高校学生突发事件应对法治。     

电话情报系统在处置边境突发性事件中的应用

在处置边境突发性事件中,情报与指挥脱节困扰着公安边防工作。将情报与通信指挥系统有机联系起来,利用电话情报系统,构建基于处置边境突发性事件的指挥和情报预警应用平台,加强情报与指挥的衔接,提高快速反应处置能力。     

Probabilistic forecasting of political events

Political conflicts are modeled as Markovian processes where the states are the possible outcomes and the forecast is the steady‐state probability of each outcome. The input variables are the power of the actors, the salience of the issue to the actors and the desirability of each possible outcome to the actors.

The modeling flexibility of the proposed method is verified by its application to twenty‐eight actual conflicts that include economic and political issues resolved on national and international settings. The predictive capability of the method is established by close agreement between probability intervals of the forecasts and the actual outcomes.     

警察经历枪击事件后的应激反应及其干预对策

警察卷入枪击事件是职业生活中的极端应激源,枪击事件将引发正常的应激反应,当个体的应对策略和社会支持无法应对该事件时,这种正常反应将发展出创伤性应激障碍,严重影响其身心健康和工作效率。因此,探讨警察卷入枪击事件后的应激反应及其危险因素,进而提供相应的评估方法和干预对策,对警察的心理健康很有意义。