东亚文化圈和东亚价值观的历史考察——以中日韩(朝)越为主体的历史分析

本文拟对东亚文化圈和东亚价值观及两者之间的关系作一个历史的考察,进而分析传统的东亚价值观与构建当代价值观的关系。当代东亚各国都已成为现代化程度不同的独立的主权国家,东亚经济社会的发展、合作的加强和一体化的要求都使他们重新审观东亚各国共同拥有的历史文化遗产尤其是传统的东亚价值观的作用,特别是它在构建当代东亚价值观的作用。但一个时代有一个时代的价值观,儒家伦理已不可能作为当代价值观的体系和核心,但就有着深广影响的传统的东亚价值观和思想文化遗产而言,其优秀成份对于构建21世纪的东亚价值观大有裨益,需要我们取其精华,挖掘、整理、诠释。     

基层民警心理健康状况调查

用动态、非线性的角度来看待民警心理问题的形成和发展,采用问卷调查的方式收集基层民警生活、工作状况的原始资料,共收回有效问卷1721份,其中男性1436份,女性285份.经过分析、整理,得到了民警的心理初态和价值取向,在工作过程中所受不良因素的影响强度,主要心理压力来源,所向往的工作以及希望解决工作问题采取的措施等关键性数据.     

An economic appraisal of the Egyptian revolution

Historical research, mainly focused on early-modern Europe, has suggested a positive link between taxation and democracy. This study approaches the connection in a present-day developmental context by looking at differences between taxpayers and non-taxpaying citizens in terms of political interest, a precondition for accountability demands. Using survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, a multilevel analysis shows that taxpaying increases political interest. The causal direction of this finding is confirmed through an instrumental variable analysis. The results support the existence of the mechanisms underlying the theory of taxation working as a generator of political engagement and democracy.     

西安网上青年自组织发展调查报告

网上青年自组织是在青年中自发成立、自主运作、自由发展的非正式组织。研究西安市网上青年自组织的发展状况,准确把握其发展特点和规律,分析其发展趋势和社会影响,对发挥网上青年自组织在倡导优秀网络文化,丰富青年社会生活和文化生活,推动青年投身社会公益活动等方面具有积极作用,同时监测和规避其消极影响,引导网上青年自组织健康有序发展,能够为推进新时期党和政府全方位做好青年工作,为共青团改进和加强青年工作提供参考和决策依据。     

美国警察心理学的历史沿革及现状述评

本文对美国警察心理学的历史沿革和现状,以及相关研究领域取得的重大成就进行了介绍,其中有很多值得我们借鉴和学习。     

The Effect of State Welfare Waivers on Family Earnings and Income Growth of AFDC Recipients, 1993-1995

SUMMARY

Many observers of welfare reform have argued that self-sufficiency on the part of welfare recipients is desirable. This would require, at least, that recipients' economic well-being not fall as a result of welfare reform. That question is addressed here by analyzing the impact of early state-level welfare waivers on the growth of earnings and income received by welfare recipients. Analysis of data from the Current Population Survey found that among welfare recipients (1) early work-related welfare reforms generally did not improve the growth in family earnings, and (2) waivers often had a small but negative effect on the growth of family income. Waivers were less detrimental for rural than for urban recipients. Since research has shown that rural employment and earnings generally lag behind urban areas, this is an interesting finding. It suggests that even though rural residents face greater barriers to employment, welfare reform has a smaller marginal effect on rural recipients.     

新疆社区美沙酮维持治疗的调查报告——以乌鲁木齐市美沙酮维持治疗中心门诊为例

美沙酮药物维持治疗作为中国社区戒毒康复的一个有效措施,经过近十年的实践已初见成效。多民族的新疆地区,毒情形势和吸毒人员有着不同于内地的特点,在新疆实施美沙酮药物维持治疗已取得了一定效果,但也暴露出了相当多的、亟待解决的问题。本文试就从乌鲁木齐美沙酮维持治疗8个中心门诊的调查找出解决问题的对策。     

Looking to the future: Prospective economic voting in 2008 Presidential Elections

Despite the economic turmoil of the time, a typical study of vote choice in the 2008 US Presidential Election would (falsely) find little evidence that voters’ opinions about the future state of the economy affected their vote choice. We argue that this misleading conclusion results from serious measurement error in the standard prospective economic evaluations survey question. Relying instead on a revised question, included for the first time in the 2008 American National Election Study, we find that most respondents condition their prospective economic evaluations on potential election outcomes, and that these evaluations are an important determinant of vote choice. A replication in a very different political context – the 2008 Ghanaian election – yields similar results.     

INTIMATE PARTNER VIOLENCE IN U.S. METROPOLITAN AREAS: THE CONTEXTUAL INFLUENCES OF POLICE AND SOCIAL SERVICES*

Although community responses to the problem of intimate partner violence typically focus on increasing and improving policing and social services, few studies have examined the relationship among police force size, social service providers, and women's safety at home. To address this issue, we use data from the National Crime Victimization Survey to examine patterns of intimate partner violence for 40 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) over a 16‐year period (1989–2004). We analyze the data using three‐level multilevel models, with individual respondents (N = 487,166) nested within years, nested within MSAs. Net of other important individual and contextual factors, the results show that women's likelihood of victimization is significantly lower in MSAs that employ more sworn officers per capita, whereas the states’ mandatory arrest laws are not found to have significant independent effects. Above and beyond the effects of police force size, we also find a significant negative relationship between the size of the social service workforce and intimate partner violence. Future research should develop collaborative data collection efforts to examine the specific activities of police and social service workers in dealing with intimate partner violence so that the mechanisms underlying these significant relationships can be understood more clearly.     

From War to Prison: Examining the Relationship Between Military Service and Criminal Activity

In February of 2008 the New York Times ran a series—War Torn—on Iraq and Afghanistan war veterans and their adjustment to civilian life upon return from the war zone. The authors assessed the criminal involvement of veterans by using newspaper accounts and other open source data to identify homicides in which the offender was an Afghanistan or Iraq war veteran. This particular aspect of the series drew a great deal of criticism, in part because of disagreements about the wisdom of the wars, but also because the sources of data used were perceived as less than systematic and accurate. This series and the debate that it engendered raised once again to prominence the issue of whether veterans are disproportionately involved in crime upon their return from service and specifically from combat assignments. The series also raised the question of whether media accounts of violent behavior by returning combat veterans are simply anecdotal or if they portend a more system-wide problem. This paper uses data from the Surveys of Inmates of State and Federal Correctional Facilities and the Current Population Surveys from 1985 to 2004 to estimate more systematically the prevalence and nature of the offending by military veterans in civilian society. The study seeks to avoid some of the methodological weaknesses of earlier studies that examined the criminal behavior of returning veterans. Specifically, the research considers whether criminal behavior, as reflected in the likelihood of imprisonment, is affected by military service, era of service, or service during wartime after controlling for social and demographic characteristics associated with offending. The findings indicate that military service in general is not predictive of incarceration when key demographic and social integration variables are taken into account. Service during wartime was found to be inversely related to subsequent incarceration, while veterans of the post-1973 All Volunteer Force were more likely to be incarcerated than were civilians and veterans who served during the draft era.