台湾经济波动的实际冲击效应——基于封闭和开放实际经济周期模型的比较分析

本文分别建立了一个封闭实际经济周期（RBC）模型和一个小型开放RBC模型来模拟台湾经济周期波动,并在模型参数校准的基础上分析和比较两种模型对台湾经济波动典型化事实的模拟能力,以及小型开放RBC模型中主要宏观经济变量对台湾经济的冲击效应。研究结果表明,小型开放模型对台湾经济波动的模拟能力较封闭模型有较大程度的提高。同时,小型开放RBC模型的动态响应函数表明技术和对外贸易冲击是造成台湾经济波动的重要因素。     

浅谈我国参政党自身建设问题

当前,民主党派要切实履行参政党职能、提高参政能力建设,就必须重视自身能力建设.加强参政党自身建设具有一定的客观必然性,这是由参政党的地位、性质和特点所决定的.参政党加强自身建设的总体目标是,实现思想观念、组织结构、政治功能和活动方式的现代化.要以思想建设为核心,以组织建设为基础,以制度建设为保障,以作风建设为动力,切实加强自身建设,增强自身的凝聚力、战斗力、团结力.     

加快城镇化建设,着力推动少数民族发展

城镇化是指人类生产和生活方式由乡村型向城市型转化的历史进程,表现为乡村人口向城市人口转化以及城市不断发展和完善的过程。城镇化是人类由农业经济类型向工业经济类型转变的必然产物。在城镇化过程中,少数民族的发展遇到了生产方式和生活方式的转变,以及职业技能培训的缺失。加快城镇化建设可以推动少数民族生产方式、生活方式的转变,可以有效地提升少数民族的人力资本,可以有效地保护资源和环境。城镇化的重点是创造农村人口进得来、留得住的环境,把农民变市民。必须加大中学后职业技能教育培训,注重民族文化的保护、传承与创新,消除城镇化建设的体制和政策障碍。     

中国共产党90年来探索解决民族问题发展道路探析

理论创新是实践的必然要求,中国共产党90年来不断把马列主义民族理论创造性地运用于解决中国民族问题的实践,制定了符合中国国情的民族政策,开展了卓有成效的民族工作,促进了中国民族问题的解决,丰富和发展了马列主义民族理论。新世纪新阶段,民族工作面临机遇与挑战,我们要在以胡锦涛同志为总书记的党中央领导下,紧扣各民族共同团结奋斗、共同繁荣发展的民族工作主题,努力探索解决民族问题的新途径,促进各民族的团结和发展繁荣。     

RemoteForensicCSI: Enriching teaching,training and learning through networking and timely CPD

The COVID-19 pandemic brought about rapid, transformational change to pedagogic practice on a global scale. During this time, educators across all levels needed to significantly broaden and upskill their digital skills and competence to instantaneously turn face-2-face content into remote, online provision, particularly during periods of national lockdown. Whilst there was significant e-content available in some subject domains, there were limited e-resources available to those working within the criminal justice sector. The #RemoteForensicCSI network was established in attempts to fill this gap and support both practitioner and learner transition within further and higher education and industry.This article evaluates the value and impact that the #RemoteForensicCSI initiative had on the personal development of network participants, their peers and learners, whilst considering, reflecting on and recommending how remote delivery may influence the future of teaching, training and learning within education and the wider criminal justice sector.     

Voter responses to refugee arrivals: Effects of settlement policy

In this paper we leverage a sudden shift in refugee settlement policy to study the electoral consequences of refugee settlements. After the 2013 Norwegian parliamentary election, the newly elected right-wing government made a concerted effort to spread newly arrived immigrants across the country, with the consequence that some municipalities with limited experience in settling refugees accepted to do so. We propose that such policy changes have political consequences, increasing the salience of immigration issues and shifting voters’ preferences to the right. We further propose that successful refugee integration can move (parts of) the electorate to the left, with stronger political polarization as a possible effect of the policy change. Applying difference-in-differences techniques, we find no evidence of unidirectional shifts in voter sentiments, but support for the hypothesis of stronger political polarization.     

Institutional Arrangements and State and Local Financial Forecasting

Abstract

The articles in this symposium present various consequences that effectively result in changes from adopted budgets during the implementation phase, which derive from institutional structure. The institutional structures referred to include such attributes as internal policy, procedural methodology, longevity in office, and reward and incentive systems related to performance outcomes

For local governments, structural influences studied include changes in leadership in the executive and legislative branches, longevity in office of budget administrators, and differences related to mayor-council vs. council-manager forms of government. Internal policies reported on cover methodology used to forecast revenues such as quantitative methods versus informed judgment, budgetary controls and spending policy related to mandated spending beyond local government control, and procedures for benchmarking within the agency as well as with peer groups and professional standards.

Consortia of governments are referenced regarding performance evaluation as is the process for gaining consensus between the executive and legislative branches, including expert outside opinion. Other influences on performance outcomes reported on are those tied to the risk-reward system built in to the institutional structure, which includes risk tolerance of the individuals who make pension fund investments.     

民办教育发展中的几个法律问题探析

<中华人民共和国民办教育促进法>及其实施条例等法律法规的颁布,给我国的民办教育带来了机遇,但对于民办教育发展中出现的一些问题,现行法律还存在模糊和有争议之处,在一定程度上影响了民办学校的正常发展,抑制了民办教育投资者的积极性.本文探讨了我国民办教育的概念界定及民办教育中几个突出的法律问题,并在此基础上提出了完善民办教育的相关对策和建议.     

论通货膨胀

随着社会经济的发展，国内国际环境更加复杂多变，通货膨胀现象越来越严重。如何使通货膨胀率控制在可控范围并成为经济发展的润滑剂就显得越发重要。中国作为社会主义大国可以运用经济手段、行政手段、加强法制管理等方法进行综合治理，从而走出世界经济危机的阴影，实现经济的稳步发展，并逐步提高在国际事务中的地位。     

新生代农民工与城乡统筹的内在逻辑及耦合路径

新农村建设和新型城镇化既是中国农村发展的两大主题，也是驱动中国城乡统筹发展及现代化建设的两个巨轮。愿意返乡创业的新生代农民工是新农村建设的内生动力，实现返乡新生代农民工在县域城镇的市民化梦想则是新型城镇化的重要标尺。政府创造条件响应其诉求，是城乡统筹的实践突破和人文回归。