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31.
If we look back at the past two decades, timing seems to point to a close connection between democratic reforms and economic growth in sub-Saharan states. Most countries in the area introduced multiparty politics and made dramatic – if incomplete – democratic progress between 1990 and 1994. Quite strikingly, it is exactly from 1994 to 1995 (and particularly from 2000) that the region began to undergo a period of significant economic progress. Because of the undeniable temporal sequence experienced in the region – that is, first political reforms, then economic growth – some observers pointed to a nexus between democratic progress and economic performance. But is there evidence in support of a causal relationship? As of today, no empirical research has been conducted on the democracy–growth nexus in the early twenty-first century's so-called “emerging Africa”. To fill this gap, we discuss the different arguments claiming an economic advantage of democracies, we present our theoretical framework and carry out an empirical analysis of the growth impact of political regimes in 43 sub-Saharan states for the entire 1980–2010 period. Our findings confirm that African countries, many of which had long suffered the combination of authoritarian rule and predatory practices, derived some economic dividends from democratic progress. 相似文献
32.
To forecast the May 7, 2015 British General Election, we develop party popularity models based on Continuous Monitoring Survey (CMS) data from April 2004 to February 2015. Our models predict party vote shares three months prior to the election, using previous support levels, national economic evaluations, macro-partisanship and political measures. Our Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) methodology allows us to predict support for the Tories, Labour, Liberal Democrats and “other” parties, separately, yet simultaneously, by constraining total support for all parties to 100%. Our model, estimated with data from February 2015, predicts that Labour will win the highest vote share in Great Britain, but that no party will win a majority of seats in parliament. 相似文献
33.
Research focusing on the relationship between the economy and satisfaction with democracy often presents mixed results. This article argues that this uncertainty is mainly due to model specification, number of surveys and measurement. After discussing why the role of the economy should not be overlooked, by using an empirical strategy that applies Bayesian cross-classified mixed models to 572 national surveys in 28 European countries from 1973 to 2013 drawn from the Eurobarometer, it is shown that objective macro-economic indicators and a subjective indicator seem to substantially affect citizens’ satisfaction with democracy in Europe. The findings are robust when controlling for various institutional and political variables and using alternative model specifications. 相似文献
34.
What determines electoral support for national incumbent parties and state-level challengers in sub-national pro-poor contexts? Based on survey data from the Indian states of Kerala and West Bengal, collected prior to the 2019 national election, we find that voters were more (less) inclined to vote for the sub-national incumbent relative to the national incumbent if their household economic conditions were perceived to have improved (deteriorated) relative to national economic conditions. Our findings indicate that voters in these settings correctly assume that the sub-national incumbent cannot be held responsible for changes in national economic conditions, but, at the same time, the existence of a strong welfare state at the sub-national level creates expectations that the sub-national government is responsible for personal welfare. Hence, the national election is used to assess the economic performance of both the sub-national and the national incumbent. 相似文献
35.
Gillian Howie 《Women: A Cultural Review》2013,24(2):159-170
Howie recognizes as a starting position that there is a significant and political problem with judgements that presume an easy and unrestrained identification of a thing or a person, but she is sceptical that all judgements of identity are necessarily implicated in the same politics. She investigates how 'identity' functions in logic, judgement and epistemology, and argues that a dialectical understanding of identity provides the grounds both for a realist appreciation of the world that includes a subjective element and for a recognition that a subject both is and is not how she is and has been identified. 相似文献
36.
用 8只小鼠接种柯萨奇 B3病毒( Coxsackie B3 viral CVB3),形成病毒性心肌炎动物模型。用免疫组织化学方法对心肌碱性成纤维生长因子( basic Fibroblast Growth Factor:bFGF)的变化进行了研究。目的是观察 CVB3对心肌的损害。结果发现小鼠感染病毒第 3天病变心肌中即有 bFGF阳性表达,并且随病程的延长其阳性程度随之增加。常规 HE染色通常在感染病毒 5天后才出现明显的镜下改变。本研究提示 bFGF可以为病毒性心肌炎早期轻微病变的判定提供帮助。 相似文献
37.
论经济全球化条件下发展中国家的竞争政策 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
程宗璋 《江南社会学院学报》2003,5(1):26-32
经济全球化条件下发展中国家的竞争政策既需要加强竞争法规制 ,维护竞争秩序 ,又需要通过竞争法豁免政策实现发展的目标。内容相互冲突的豁免和规制的并存 ,可能导致竞争政策的失效。为此 ,这种冲突必须得到适当的协调和控制。一方面 ,发展中国家在国际竞争政策的制定和发展过程中必须强调豁免政策的发展功能 ,拓展使用豁免政策的空间 ;另一方面 ,要加强对国际和国内限制竞争行为进行规制 ,并对豁免政策的使用施加适当的限制 ,避免滥用。 相似文献
38.
当前,经济犯罪初查制度面临诸项瓶颈,原因是立案条件过高,初查难以达到证明标准;现有初查手段有限且受限制过多,难以应对经济犯罪初查的复杂形势;初查行为性质法律界定不明,讼争纷纭。故此,应对经济犯罪初查制度进行司法性改良;解构当前的程序顺位,重建经济犯罪初查制度;构建司法审查机制,重构经济犯罪初查的支撑体系。 相似文献
39.
回顾举办世界博览会的发展历程,从投资、消费、改革开放与市场化角度分析举办世界博览会对经济增长的积极影响,世界博览会能够促进投资、拉动消费,具有增长极效应、开放效应和市场化效应;从政府财政支持、基础设施建设、市场开拓与组织管理、场馆及其配套设施利用角度分析世界博览会亏损产生的原因及其对经济增长产生的消极影响。2010 年上海世界博览会的举办在向世界展示中国改革开放与经济转型的伟大成就的同时,也为中国经济发展带来各种风险和挑战。 相似文献
40.
网络政治与大学生的政治成长 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
汪建云 《浙江省政法管理干部学院学报》2005,(4):75-79
网络的出现和发展给人类带来了前所未有的变化,深刻地改变着传统的政治发展模式,影响着人类特别是大学生群体的政治生活.本文从网络政治含义入手,分析了网络政治的特点以及与大学生政治成长的关系,突出大学生政治社会化的特点,研究了网络政治给大学生政治成长带来的机遇和挑战,为我国当前大学生在网络条件下政治上的健康成长提出可供借鉴的对策建议. 相似文献