关于强化大连在环渤海经济圈融合中的竞争地位论证

国家已经做出了环渤海经济圈整体开发的战略部署,并且在落实进程中逐步成长为中国第三大经济增长极.而着眼于环渤海经济圈整体开发的现实进程,以大连为核心城市的辽宁沿海经济带,与京津冀沿海经济带、山东半岛沿海经济带相比,却处于相对的弱势地位.在辽宁沿海经济带开发上升为国家战略之际,大连必须带头改变这种弱势地位,强化和提升在环渤海经济圈融合中的竞争实力与竞争地位.为此,需要认证大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的时代背景,分析大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的综合因素,明确大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的利益取向,创意大连强化在环渤海经济圈融合中竞争地位的推进对策:打破传统行政界线,提高区域合作意识;积极改善投资环境,强化城市服务功能;抓紧实施品牌战略,注重打造城市品牌;准确进行港口定位,促成联动发展格局;大力调整产业结构,增强综合经济实力;坚决克服地区封锁,造就市场利益关系;构建区域商贸体系,推动区域共同发展.大连只有这样做,才能切实为邓小平确立的"东北之窗"使命和创建东北亚重要国际航运中心的国家战略做出循名贲实的努力.     

The dynamic political economy of support for Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential election campaign

In recent years, students of voting behavior have become increasingly interested in valence politics models of electoral choice. These models share the core assumption that key issues in electoral politicds typically are ones upon which there is a widespread public consensus on the goals of public policy. The present paper uses latent curve modeling procedures and data from a six-wave national panel survey of the American electorate to investigate the dynamic effects of voters’ concerns with the worsening economy—a valence issue par excellence—in the skein of causal forces at work in the 2008 presidential election campaign. As the campaign developed, the economy became the dominant issue. Although the massively negative public reaction to increasingly perilous economic conditions was not the only factor at work in 2008, dynamic multivariate analyses show that mounting worries about the economy played an important role in fueling Barack Obama’s successful run for the presidency.     

The campaign dynamics of economic voting

This paper considers the relationship between election campaigns and the impact of economic evaluations on vote choice. The motivation is the standard expectation that the campaign generally serves to amplify the significance of economic considerations in the voter's calculus—to focus his/her attention on this “fundamental” element of the electoral decision. Drawing on survey data from ten national elections across four countries (Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States) and applying both parametric and semi-parametric statistical techniques, the paper finds no support for this proposition. The paper reflects on the significance of this conclusion for work on political learning during election campaigns, the literature on economic voting, and the study of electoral behaviour more generally.     

Economic globalization and voter turnout in established democracies

This paper asks whether international economic integration negatively affects electoral turnout. The theoretical model builds on the premise that economic integration constrains the ability of national governments to shape outcomes. Citizens are conscious of such constraints and take them into account when considering the costs and benefits of casting a vote in national elections. The result is a lower inclination to vote under conditions of high economic integration. Consequently, aggregate turnout is lower the more internationally integrated a national economy is. Analysis of aggregate data for parliamentary elections in 23 OECD democracies over the period 1965–2006 robustly supports this hypothesis. The empirical estimates suggest economic globalization as a central cause of the general decline in turnout within established democracies.     

以科技创新引领辽宁沿海经济带产业结构优化升级的若干思考及建议

2009年8月国务院对《辽宁沿海经济带发展规划》的批复,标志着辽宁沿海经济带的发展已上升为国家战略。辽宁沿海经济带发展也迎来了经济结构调整、产业结构优化升级的重大机遇和挑战。该文分析了辽宁沿海经济带发展现状,并从培育战略性新兴产业、加强产业核心关键技术攻关、加快科技成果转化等方面分析了科技创新对辽宁沿海经济带产业结构优化升级的作用。     

黄河三角洲高效生态经济区高等教育发展问题与对策

通过调研黄河三角洲高效生态经济区高等教育现状,分析其存在的投入不足、优质教育资源短缺、专业层次结构不够合理三大问题,对该区域高等教育与区域发展的关系、在全省高等教育发展中的定位进行了探讨,提出了该区域规划期内的发展目标,设计了建设名校、调优专业、深化教学改革、打造优秀团队、推进产学研结合的发展路径,对政府支持高等教育的发展提出了优化布局、增加投入、政策支持的三条对策建议。     

现行经济犯罪初查制度瓶颈的突破与完善

当前,经济犯罪初查制度面临诸项瓶颈,原因是立案条件过高,初查难以达到证明标准;现有初查手段有限且受限制过多,难以应对经济犯罪初查的复杂形势;初查行为性质法律界定不明,讼争纷纭。故此,应对经济犯罪初查制度进行司法性改良;解构当前的程序顺位,重建经济犯罪初查制度;构建司法审查机制,重构经济犯罪初查的支撑体系。     

当前经济犯罪的基本特征及公安机关的对策

当前经济犯罪发案数量居高不下,涉案金额连年攀升;冒用单位名义进行的团伙犯罪、结伙犯罪比例增大;智能化、技术化趋势明显;辐射面广,流动性大,呈国际化趋势;发案周期长,追赃难,破案难度大。对此,应强化法律对经济活动的规范作用;努力提高经侦队伍整体素质;加大打击力度;加强公安机关的内外协作,发挥整合效能;加强隐蔽力量建设。     

论我国经济犯罪刑罚体系的重构

以“依法从严打击经济犯罪”为指导,我国对经济犯罪的刑事立法取向上采取了重刑主义,但是“厉而不严”的刑罚体系以其超量的刑罚投入却无法达到预定的理想效果,昭示出了现行刑罚体系的无能为力。应采取民事、行政、刑事制裁相协调,编织一张严密的法网,废除死刑,慎用自由刑,扩大经济刑的适用,完善罚金刑的执行方式,增设限禁或剥夺业务活动的资格刑等方式,重构我国经济犯罪刑罚体系。     

东亚-北美经济失衡与再平衡分析

本文从国别结构和产品结构分析了20世纪90年代以来东亚—北美经济失衡的变化,认为美国贸易逆差不断扩大是其对外产业转移的结果,东亚地区贸易顺差与日俱增是其承接产业转移的结果。其中,东亚内部再次产业转移导致中国顺差迅速膨胀。为了实现东亚—北美经济再平衡,美国需要采取一些措施扩大出口,控制过度的信贷消费,并对美元采取更加负责的政策;东亚地区需要努力实现由外需驱动型向内需驱动型增长方式的转变,加快产业调整与升级,并把产业链向其他地区延伸。