国际制度视角下“一带一路”与大欧亚伙伴关系的对接

中俄所提出的两大倡议分别代表了各自在国际制度竞争有所加剧背景下的本国利益需求。二者都以拓宽欧亚经济合作渠道为首要目标,但是它们在原则、方向、手段等方面的差异是相互关系的不利因素。为了协调国际规则的制定,中俄确定对接两大倡议。一方面,中俄两国希望通过制度合作制衡美国霸权;另一方面,中俄在欧亚地区的一致性和冲突性并存,双方需要一个协调关系的制度框架。中俄两国既有以制度合作在国际体系层面应对美国压力的意图,也希望在地区范围内协调彼此关系。两大倡议的对接将增强国际社会新兴力量在国际制度体系构建和全球治理中的影响力,同时也能化解中俄双方潜在的矛盾,推动欧亚区域合作的进程。     

《汉书·五行志》考论

班固《汉书》创设“五行志”一目 ,集先秦两汉阴阳五行灾异学说之大成 ,对后出史书多有影响 ,而近现代学术界对之评价较低 ,重视不够。本文通过对中华书局标点本存在的标点、校勘问题和《汉语大词典》与《汉书·五行志》相关的立目释义和书证问题等的考查 ,认为对“五行志”一目的设立及其价值应当重估 ,在古籍整理和学术研究过程中 ,应重视“五行志”的文献价值     

论董仲舒的“大一统”思想对中华民族凝聚力的影响

中华民族凝聚力发展的过程,同时也是以汉族为主体的中华民族多元一体格局形成的过程。董仲舒顺应历史发展潮流,提出以政治统一为目的、思想统一为手段的“大一统”思想,并通过加强封建王权,利用国家力量达到“罢黜百家,独尊儒术”的目的,统一了思想,从而将中国统一国家的发展同中华民族的发展置于同一轨道。强大的统一国家政权为中华民族凝聚力的发展提供了强有力的经济和政治保障,同时日益增强的民族凝聚力,也为中国的发展提供了内在的保证。     

对当前主要大国安全战略调整的看法

面对国际金融危机冲击、全球性挑战凸显与新兴大国群体性崛起,面对异常多变的国际安全环境,美、俄、英、法、日、印纷纷强化安全战略谋划,意欲趋利避害、增强主动,主要大国安全战略调整既各有侧重、又不乏共同之处,全球化与多极化新时代的大国战略博弈将更为复杂激烈。     

Afghanistan in the Great War

The period of the Great War in Afghanistan was one of the most transformational periods of her entire history. Less than a year after the end of the Great War, both Afghanistan and her relations with the rest of the world had changed forever. The article covers Afghanistan and the outbreak of war, the Niedermayer-Hentig mission from Germany, pressure on the frontier and at court, and the aftermath of the Assassination of Amir Habibullah. At Kabul, the emergence of a ‘War Party’, which favoured the declaration of war on India on the side of the Central Powers, caused difficulties for Habibullah's attempt to remain neutral. Although the War Party was to have some support from the Niedermayer-Hentig Mission to Kabul, it was never strong enough to act until the Great War itself was over. On the other side of the frontier, the tribes were expecting to be called to fight at any moment. Keen to raid into the plains, they initially moved too early and were rebuffed but low-level tribal activity took place all over the frontier, though not at the intensity seen in previous large uprisings. At the same time, the Indian Army was taking out the best troops to send to Europe and other fronts, leaving a comparatively small force to protect the frontier. Large scale response to tribal raiding was not possible but the Indian Army was able to deploy aeroplanes, artillery and machine guns as force multipliers to help make up for the lack of fighting men. The cumulative experience was one of change which needed to be understood and accommodated in short order. Men like Sir Denys Bray of the Foreign Department and Mahmud Tarzi and Abdul Quddus Khan in Kabul were able to do this and, in so doing, facilitated Afghanistan's emergence to independence and nationhood.     

Sergey Glazyev and the revival of Soviet economics

A veteran Western observer and authority on Russia's political economy examines the recent debate on economic growth in Russia. Focusing on Sergey Glazyev, a prominent statist and nationalist favored by President Vladimir Putin, who reemerged at the top of the public debate, the author discusses the essence of his ideas (state capitalism, Eurasian integration, and expansionary fiscal and monetary policy). He proceeds to analyze the critical response of liberals, citing inter alia objections to loose fiscal and monetary policies. Russia's liberal economists favor broader international integration, whereas Putin is clearly in favor of state capitalism and Eurasian integration. This study ends with an up-to-date politico-economic assessment titled “Where is Putin going?”     

Timothy E. Cook: 1954–2006

Abstract

This article describes the organizational and operational aspects of diplomacy's interplay with the news media in Britain. It examines the media's role as a source of information for ministers, officials, and the wider public; the media's effect on official and unofficial thinking; the media's roles in interdepartmental coordination and during international negotiations; and the uses of the media by the government as channels to mold public attitudes at home and abroad. It concludes by considering the implications of advancements in media technology, and greater public interest in international affairs, for media diplomacy.     

The political consequences of transitions out of marriage in Great Britain

This article uses British Household Panel Survey data to estimate the effects of divorce and widowhood on political attitudes and political behavior. In contrast to previous research, which mostly relied on cross-sectional data, a matched propensity score analysis does not find any effects of transitions out of marriage on policy preferences, party identification, or vote choice. The results also show that divorce (but not widowhood) substantially reduces electoral participation. Some preliminary evidence suggests that this effect of divorce on turnout is partially attributable to the increased residential mobility that accompanies divorce.     

对“大走访”的解读与思考

为准确把握社会稳定形式变化，把工作着力点更多地放在准确掌握社情民意上，从源头上化解社会矛盾，构建和谐警民关系，增强群众的安全感和满意度，公安机关组织部署了“大走访”活动：工作机制上，从后发型到先发型，将问题解决在萌芽状态；方式方法上，结合本地区治安实际创新走访内容；群众工作方面，强化责任意识，着力解决问题，力戒形式主义。活动化解了一批社会矛盾，解决了一些关系群众切身利益的突出问题，密切了警民关系。总结这次大走访的成功经验，将大走访活动取得实质性的效果深入持久的维持下去，建立长效机制，这对推动新形势下的公安执法工作和队伍建设影响深远。     

Homeownership,the Great Recession,and Wealth: Evidence From the Survey of Consumer Finances

The owned home is central to both the American Dream and the financial lives of U.S. households. This article explores the typical financial trajectories of homeowners during the Great Recession, assessing the viability of positioning home equity at the core of a household's balance sheet. Using the 2007–2009 reinterview panel of the Survey of Consumer Finances, we describe the diverse balance sheets of groups of homeowning households. While some homeowners lost equity and wealth in the Great Recession, we find that an owned home introduced severe risk of loss, but homeowners were less likely than renters to lose very large proportions of their wealth. The experience of homeowners' balance sheets during the downturn was diverse, and the typical experiences of different groups are compared and contrasted.