“同舟共济”与适应性变革:经济增长、权力转移及中美关系

由于经济增长的差异,新兴市场日益崛起,亚太地区日益崛起,其中中国崛起尤为瞩目。纵观权力转移历史、理论与现实,中国积极寻求融入当前美国主导的国际制度安排,在战略上是正确的,中国成为这一制度的得利较多者,也是满意者和维护者。因此综合长期战略和当前金融危机冲击下的策略,除了积极推动美国对当前制度进行适应性变革外,对于美国目前的困境,中国应该量力积极帮助,共同促进全球经济早日复苏和全球善治,与美国"同舟共济"符合中国战略利益,中国需要战略规划;同时,需要面向未来,准备好美国经济复苏后的策略变化。美国凭其发达的金融业在全球财富再分配中占领制高点,金融业的发展意味着可以在财富的再分配中获得竞争优势,因此中国需要大力发展现代金融业。     

论合伙股东

合伙可以享有股东资格，具有法理学、民法学和公司法学上的理论依据。合伙可以通过原始取得和继受取得的方式获得股东资格，但合伙股东的资格取得，应当符合三个基本条件，即具有合伙协议、有权利行使人以及符合公司章程的规定。合伙股东所享有的股份财产及相应的权利属于全体合伙人，但合伙应当确定专人代表合伙行使合伙股东权利。     

熟悉中的陌生:一位80后返乡农民工的社区体验

基于实践社会学视角的个案考察,80后农民工返乡更多的是一种被动的回流,返乡使得他们走进一个被农村与城市双重边缘化的境地,城市排斥与乡土认同排斥的双重排斥感充斥着他们的生活与认知世界,在如此熟悉而又陌生的社区体验过程中,他们以一种策略性适应的实践逻辑去实现社区的融入。透过80后农民工生活世界的实践轨迹分析,研究最后认为,返乡农民工是一种单向度的城市化宿命。     

合伙债务的法律思考

本文首先探讨合伙债务与合伙人个人债务的区分意义 ,继而介绍合伙人对合伙债务承担形式的立法例 ,并在介绍中详细论证合伙人对合伙债务适用无限连带责任的合理性 ,最后笔者就合伙人对合伙债务承担无限连带责任在司法实践中应解决的几个问题提出设想。     

论有限合伙制的应用障碍及其立法对策——以推动风险投资行业发展为视角

有限合伙这种企业组织形式被具有成熟风险投资业的国家的实践证明,是风险投资企业最有效的法律组织形式,对促进风险投资的发展发挥着积极的作用。我国法律明确承认了有限合伙制度,为风险投资初步扫清了制度障碍。但是,目前在我国风险投资企业中,大多数仍以公司制而非有限合伙制作为企业的内部治理结构形式。究竟是哪些因素构成了有限合伙制在我国风险投资行业领域的应用障碍,文章从风险管理人、机构投资者、上市机制三个方面进行了探讨,并提出了一些立法建议和对策。     

Insurance strategic considerations in coalition-oriented systems: A consideration set model approach

During a vote-decision process, citizens elect between some of the parties – not all of them. In this paper, we explore a potential strategic reason to include an additional alternative in the consideration set. Drawing on research from the field of strategic voting, we study incentives to defect to a party at risk of falling below an electoral threshold in order to elect a winning coalition (”insurance”). Our argument is that these types of strategic considerations occur already in the campaign, but do not always translate into choice. Using the so-called consideration set model approach (CSM), which focuses on how voters select fewer alternatives among a larger number of parties, we model vote choice over an election campaign using panel data from the Swedish National Election Studies of 2014. In line with our argument, we demonstrate that the insurance strategy was prevalent earlier in the decision-making process, when forming the consideration set.     

Minilateral security's relevance to US strategy in the Indo-Pacific: challenges and prospects

The Indo-Pacific region's security landscape is unfolding in highly uncertain and potentially explosive ways. The postwar American-led network of bilateral alliances – underpinned by concrete guarantees of extended deterrence and containment – is now yielding to a more diverse set of alignments and coalitions to manage an increasingly complex array of regional security issues. Multilateralism and minilateralism have emerged as two increasingly prominent forms of such cooperation. Minilateralism's informality and flexibility appeals to those who are sceptical about multilateralism's traditional focus on norm adherence and community-building even as great power competition in the Indo-Pacific is sharply intensifying. However, minilateralism's track record in the region is underdeveloped. The potential for this policy approach to be applied by the United States and its regional security partners as an enduring and credible means of diplomatic and security collaboration in the region will remain unfulfilled as long as the Trump administration's own geopolitical orientation remains uncertain.     

非洲交通发展现状及前景

自20世纪80年代以来,虽然以轨道交通、飞机、汽船、汽车、管道运输为基础的新式现代交通体系进一步打破了非洲各地区之间的地理分割,但是现代非洲交通仍不能适应非洲各国发展经济建设的需要。非洲交通发展存在不少制约因素,如国家贫困,政府用于基础设施建设资金不足;自然环境恶劣,交通建设与维护难度巨大;专业人才缺乏,管理不善;交通方式落后,大陆内部一体水平较低。鉴此,非洲国家宜借鉴其他国家经验,结合本国国情,拓宽筹资渠道,改革管理机制,促进交通运输事业的进一步发展。     

论中俄关系发展进程中的人文交流与合作

21世纪的第二个10年是中国实现和平发展的关键时期,同时也是俄罗斯国力振兴、重新崛起的重要阶段。两国国家发展战略的重心都在国内,巩固睦邻友好、推进战略协作是两国维护各自国家安全、促进国内经济发展的共同需求。而中俄两国只有最大限度地利用经济互补性,制订共同战略、争取共同发展,才能实现各自的崛起与振兴。中俄两国领导人不止一次强调,中国和俄罗斯需要加强在政治、经济、安全等领域的合作,更要在人文领域开展对话。人文交流与合作是中俄战略协作伙伴关系的重要组成部分,对巩固两国关系的社会基础具有重要意义。     

More than wishful thinking: Causes and consequences of voters’ electoral expectations about parties and coalitions

Accurate expectations about the outcome of elections play a central role in psychological and economic theories of voting. In the paper, three questions about voters’ expectations are investigated. First, we identify and test several factors that influence the overall accuracy or quality of voters’ expectations. Second, the phenomenon of “wishful thinking” is tested and confirmed for expectations about the electoral performance of individual parties and coalitions. Finally, two mechanisms how expectations might influence voting behavior are identified and tested. Based on surveys from Austria and Germany, the results suggest that voters not only rely on expectations to avoid casting “wasted” votes for parties without electoral chances, but that they are able to engage in fairly sophisticated strategic coalition voting.