Dealing with uncertainty: the illusion of knowledge in the study of counterterrorism effectiveness

Efforts to combat terrorism have become a priority in the security agenda of most countries around the world, while the respective policies, tools and instruments have amounted to significant costs. In this article, we review the literature on counterterrorism (CT) effectiveness and draw a series of rather negative conclusions with regard to the reliability of our knowledge in this area. We find that the literature displays case and data selection biases, and the results produced are oftentimes contradictory, mostly due to the use of different indicators. We then propose a conceptualisation of CT effectiveness, which should help to resolve some of the issues outlined. The article concludes by outlining some future research directions that should improve our methodological grasp in the field.     

关于强奸罪取证难问题的探讨

强奸案的取证难一直是检察机关探讨的问题，我们审查证据认定事实的时候，既不能让真正的罪犯逃脱惩罚，也不能让无辜的好人遭受冤枉，这一切都有待于证据的有效性。     

票据效力认定研究

票据效力认定问题是适用票据法解决票据纠纷、判断票据上权利义务的起点。基于票据商业货币的属性,流通性和信用性构成了票据的生命力。为了实现和保障流通性,产生了票据的诸多理念和规则。票据作为有价证券的基本属性是票据效力认定的基础;要式证券性是决定票据效力的因素;在对票据效力进行解释时,必须遵循有效性解释原则。     

非公企业党组织发挥实质作用的策略选择——以温州的实践为例

实质作用发挥是非公有制企业党建生命力的所在。目前,非公企业党组织的合法性不足,功能定位不清,工作方式不适应,党组织和党员的作用发挥受限等因素制约着党组织实质作用的发挥,党组织的力量面临被边缘化的危险。非公企业党组织必须在战略定位和策略选择上实现全面创新,把握非公企业党建的规律,增强对环境的应变能力和适应能力,以有效作为获取政治认同,确保在非公企业的权威和影响力。     

效益最优视角下的我国视频侦查工作进路——基于周克华案、波士顿马拉松爆炸案、伦敦地铁爆炸案的比较研究

我国视频侦查工作的实施状况包括投入与效果两个层面。周克华案、波士顿马拉松爆炸案、伦敦地铁爆炸案中的案件基本参数状况、资源投入状况与收益状况是评价视频侦查工作实施状况的具体指标。视频侦查工作效益最优是指在视频侦查资源成本投入一定的情况下实现侦查效益的最大化。视频侦查工作效益最优的经济学模型包括理想与现实状态两种函数。视频侦查工作的效益最优还应当兼顾法学与社会学领域的内容。效益最优视角下的我国视频侦查工作进路是一种体系化的工作形式,由原理、硬件、人员与机制四个层面的内容组成。     

权威、权益、权衡：当代中国公民的政策参与

从长远来看,社会和经济的发展会带来公民政策参与的扩大。而从理论与现实考量,不适度的政策参与带来失序和无效,只有适度的公民参与才有利于政策过程的顺利实施。而这种适度的把握来自于公民政策参与,政府权威与公民权益的权衡,权衡的真正本意在于追求公民政策参与的有序性和有效性。     

论我国船舶物权变动模式的立法选择

<物权法>对船舶物权变动采用了意思主义模式,在意思主义物权变动模式下,船舶物权变动不以登记为必要条件,登记是当事人的自愿行为而且登记只具有公示力而没有公信力.船舶物权乃物权,物权为对世权,本可对抗一切人,但依意思主义,船舶物权变动因双方当事人的合意而完成而且变动后的船舶物权在完备公示前不能对抗第三人,而不能对抗第三人之"物权"是否为真正意义上的物权,颇值疑问.一国立法在物权变动模式问题上应在考虑促进交易快捷,保障交易安全等因素的基础上做出正确的选择.     

Were Bosnian policy research organisations more effective in 2006 than in 2003? Did technical assistance play a role?

In 2003 the policy development process in Bosnia and Herzegovina was characterised by international community (IC) dominance. The IC provided the vast majority of the analysis of problems facing the country and drafted many of the laws. This article documents developments from fall 2003 to fall 2006 in the use of evidence and analysis in the policy development process and the role of local policy research organisations (PROs—often called think tanks) in it. The likely relation between these changes and the activities of a PRO mentoring project that operated over the same period is also assessed. Evidence comes as a series of interviews in both years with government officials and members of parliament, on the one hand, and leaders of PROs and advocacy NGOs on the other. The broad picture that emerges from the above review is of a substantial positive development in the policy development process in Bosnia and Herzegovina over the period. Factual evidence and analysis are playing a much greater role, and PROs have been a major provider of this information. The evidence indicates that PROs have been successful in convincing the policy community that they are purveyors of objective, disinterested advice and analysis. The improvements occurred in a conducive environment that steadily placed greater responsibility for policy formation on Bosnian officials. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

陕甘宁边区生产力发展成就的生成机理

中国共产党在陕甘宁边区成功地发展了生产力，保证了边区军民的丰衣足食和工业品基本自给，取得了举世公认的成就。陕甘宁边区生产力发展成就的取得，是中国共产党以革命的激进方式扫除了束缚生产力发展的一切障碍，解放和发展了这一时期生产力的胜利；是中国共产党以新民主主义理论为指导，使边区生产力发展适应了中国革命实际的胜利；是边区生产采取有效的组织形式的结果。     

大学生"热点"教育的过程选择与价值归正

随着社会主义市场经济的发展,高校面临的思想政治教育环境日益复杂,高校思想政治道德教育必须要结合社会发展的实际情况进行不断的发展与创新。其中,关键是要注重解决现实问题,尤其要通过对社会热点问题的分析,对大学生急于了解和关注的社会热点、焦点问题,给予科学引导和分析,使思想政治道德教育具有较强的实践性和时效性。